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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    The Twins have hired Adrianza to work with player development. This is the best thing to happen for the organization thus far. Ehire is a great person with excellent baseball knowledge; well respected.
  2. tony&rodney
    Only saw Cartaya play once (milb.com). Bat looked broken. Defensively, Cartaya looked ok, not good or bad. I actually thought he looked similar to Jair Camargo. Again, one game means nothing but the Twins should not send anyone they believe will contribute to their team.
  3. tony&rodney
    2025 might be a pivotal year for the Twins organization. There are number of players just past the rookie level and several who should be close to making contributions. Avoidance of injuries is key. Most of the Twins affiliates were ok, with only the A and A+ teams finishing over .500. The minor leagues are for development so one should not focus much on won-loss records. It does seem like the Twins are developing some pitching and we can hope some of these guys pan out. The hitting looks a little behind right now but patience is key with prospects. Two guys who stood out were Payton Eeles and Carson McCusker. I'm looking forward to see how the minor league players perform in 2025.
  4. tony&rodney
    Winter is dark. The Twins are dark too. The light comes along later. The Twins? They seem to have the team they want. Perhaps they find a team who wants something while having a player we want. I have yet to see a single quote from the front office or owners related to the payroll being set at $130M. It is confusing to see a note in every article related to that when it hasn't happened. This is a severe hangover from Joe Pohlad's past comments on "right sizing", which were made quite a while ago. The writers need to pop a few Advils to work past that thing in their head until we actually get a quote or another "right sizing" comment.
  5. tony&rodney
    That is all that was intended. I messed up with the revenue and also didn't add a note about either BAM or TV reduction. Thus, the post was a bit of a loss. My preference for roster discussions is a focus on the possible instead of the refrain of "owner imposed" blah, blah, blah.
  6. tony&rodney
    Good question. I used articles published last November (2024), but rechecking the revenue numbers are, indeed, from 2023. I guess numbers for 2024 are not out anywhere. This does change things certainly and i apologize for the error. As such, the expenses should be from last year and not the projected 2025 numbers. The payroll numbers below are rounded using 40 man roster plus MLB costs of benefits and bonuses applied to all teams. MIL. $144 Rev. 320 45% DET $110 Rev. 306 36% CLE. $125 Rev. 315 40% KCR $143 Rev. 302 47% MIN $149 Rev. 342 44% CHW $157 Rev. 288 55% FYI Thank you the question. I don't usually go over this stuff too closely. Seems like teams are more or less doing what they can, but we might be able to see how some teams can add or understand that the White Sox are a mess.
  7. tony&rodney
    I watched several games when Gonzalez was in the outfield. My immediate response was that no Twins scout had ever seen him play before Seattle sent him over in that trade. Is that even possible? There were four balls hit to Gabriel in one game. He had a strategy. When it landed or stopped rolling pick it up and fire it back to the infield. The wide angle lens on several fly balls was damaging. Clearly he can improve and the contact rates, the swing, and his youth are all favorable. Gonzalez has a long way to go before he attracts much attention. He might be the best example of backend Top 100 players not being all that. Enough criticism .... I believe others know about him now and he can work through the issues in the next couple of years to raise his game. A bunch go change and go right in a couple of years for Gabriel. Yasser is a toolshed. He has it all but he needs a ton of repetitions and playing time to refine those skills. The swing from being a star at one level to being a bum at the next is classic baseball and Yasser will have to deal with the failure in order to polish those skills and remove the weaknesses. It's a tough job. The Twins will be patient with him because there are a number of good outfielders above him in the organization.
  8. tony&rodney
    The top 2 salaries from each team / next 24 players out of 26 person roster/ 26 man team payroll /Revenue. Seems like each team has an additional $26M in player costs. Add cost to payroll, divide by revenue for percentile of finances spent on players. Caveat on all numbers from Cots and Statistica. This always makes me think of how we hear about players receiving around 50% of revenue. Hmmmm? MIL ($42M/$59M/$101M) / $320M @40M CWS ($32M/$27M/$59M) / $288M @30M CLE ($31M/$57M/$88M) / $315M @36M DET ($40M/$63M/$103M) / $306M @42% KCR ($38M/$67M/$105M) / $302M @43% MIN ($59M/$75M/$134M) / $342M @47% Seems like the Twins have it better when it comes to spending on players beside the top two salaries. I'm guessing Detroit, Kansas City, Cleveland, and Milwaukee still have some room for additional payroll. I'm expecting those teams to make some additions. Bregman and Verlander to Detroit? The Twins look maxed out, which leaves the front office to be "creative". I'm counting on some fun gains from our guys and hope the front office finds a productive deal or two. I am thinking that a number of younger / inexperienced players make a difference.
  9. tony&rodney
    Perhaps the Twins can swing a deal for Cartaya but it would need to be a lower level prospect. Maybe returning Doncon to LAD for Diego works.
  10. tony&rodney
    Guys like Lewis, Lee, Keaschall, Castro, Larnach, Wallner, Rodriguez are pretty good. Obviously Buxton and Correa. Miranda can hit. The Twins have players. They just seem to be a mishmash to me without clearly defined roles. Maybe that shifts this year. Oh, the pitching staff looks pretty good right now. It is easily a .500 team and with a few tweaks, maybe 90. That is a fair team.
  11. tony&rodney
    Agree with this. I'm not offering the Dodgers much though. I have much more confidence in all of Larnach, Wallner, Rodriguez, Jenkins, Keaschall, and even McCusker than I do for Pages and Outman. Apparently the Dodgers aren't too high on these guys either or they would get more playing time. As far as young catchers go, the cost would be high for what we need. I would pay quite a bit. Rushing-no. Teel cost the White Sox Crochet so he isn't available. I have no idea if Quero (MIL), Romo (COL), Ford (SEA), or Basallo (BAL) are available at any price. Basallo might be more a 1B, but he will rake. Ford may not be a true catcher but he is very athletic. The Twins plan may be to go year to year with veteran catchers, which often works. I would try to squeeze Romo, Ford, and especially Quero away from their squads. Can't hurt to try.
  12. tony&rodney
    Rushing swings a big bat. I'm not that sure he ever pans out beyond a DH/1B/ poor LF though because he looked horrible with a glove on his hand whenever I watched him. I don't think the Twins are interested in Rushing. Rodriguez and Jenkins are in an entire different category. EmRod strikes out a ton which may be a problem. Otherwise, those two run, throw, and field at a high level with better power and really good hit tools. You are correct when you say the Dodgers would demand a ton for Rushing. I don't think it happens.
  13. tony&rodney
    LewFordLives 1,694 Gold Caretaker Posted just now I think this sums it up. They are not a big market team, and never will be, yet they have over a third of their payroll sunk into two guys, Buxton and Correa, who are essentially part-time players. Half the teams in MLB are in the same boat or worse than what the Twins face in terms of allocating their financial resources. Pity the Angels, who I don't include in the lower half, with dead money near $76M in Rendon and Trout. That leaves them well below the Twins. It's the same old song. Forget Buxton's and Correa's salaries. that is set. I'm wondering if Falvey feels the team is set or if he plans to make a few transactions. The team has talent but any additions of a has been will just interfere with what is present. Additions will need to be for better talent via trades with teams where an exchange is a match, need for need.
  14. tony&rodney
    Dodgers, like Yankees, get hype on their prospects. It's pretty natural with those big markets. The Dodgers will be trying to work out a trade in the next few days. I always forget the sequencing of DFA, claims, and that process. Usually, if a player is seen as having any value at all, a trade is completed. BTV had him at 20 last year and at 2 a year later.
  15. tony&rodney
    Diego Cartaya looks like a trade for a prospect in the #20-40 range. Defense was an issue for him as it is for Dalton Rushing. The Dodgers are increasingly using Rushing as an outfielder and first baseman while hoping he can learn catching. When i tuned into the Dodgers minor league games to watch Rushing I was very impressed by his bat and very much unimpressed by his overall skills as a catcher. Maybe the Twins can send someone like Ben Ross or Yunior Severino to the Dodgers for Cartaya.
  16. tony&rodney
    I mentioned this a while back, a couple of weeks ago. Dan Hayes wrote the article. Lewis wants to regain some of his flexibility and speed. The Athletic is part of the New York Times, which is available for $4 per month. My spouse likes the puzzles. I read The Athletic. When it first started there were a ton of really good writers. It was an ambitious undertaking. The NYT bought it out though and shrunk the size of the writing force. There are still good writers and Hayes does a good job.
  17. tony&rodney
    San Diego or Seattle seem like the best destinations for Roki Sasaki. The weather is decent and these are fine places to live and work 6-7 months per year. As tempting as the endorsements are in New York, Boston, Philadelphia, Los Angeles, and Texas these are better places to visit. The fans are crazy. Spend 5 minutes reading the comments from the East Coast teams. That is reason enough to avoid them and we know the players ignore all of that nonsense. I'm really wondering how Baltimore and Seattle are going to keep up without making a trade or two. It should be interesting to see what trades occur in the next six weeks.
  18. tony&rodney
    Royce Lewis was my choice at first base back in November when we put out the rosters. I do not think he is wasted there because he has enough first step to field and his experience with ground balls should help on digging out bad throws. Royce needs a position with some permanence where he can be successful and avoid an injury. The big muscles don't work elsewhere in the infield. Nevertheless, the idea falls flat for Twins Daily readers, Falvey, and Lewis himself. So it doesn't happen yet.
  19. tony&rodney
    Well, since the bs comment of "right sizing" over one year ago (the only comment by the Twins), there are about 20 teams who have discussed some form of payroll checks. The most surprising (to me) was from St. Louis.
  20. tony&rodney
    This is a well-written article covering what could be a fun story to follow, similar to Kelly and Fedde as Cory has stated. Hart may be looking for a two year deal and hoping to get a full opportunity to start. I'm guessing the Orioles sound like the best fit. An aside. ... Are all writers required to put "owner imposed payroll restrictions" somewhere in their articles by the owners of Twins Daily? I get everyone's frustrations (me too) but I'm not seeing that refrain on other team's sites.
  21. tony&rodney
    There are not too many established players under consideration in my views due to a variety of reasons, primarily financial costs. There are a number of young players who are good now or ready for their opportunity that could be available if the Twins are willing to take a few chances.
  22. tony&rodney
    The Brewers aren't looking for prospects like Amick except as filler. Jeferson Quero is a concern due to his shoulder surgery. He projects as a serious top flight defensive catcher almost out of the box with an unknown hit tool. I have been high on him for. couple of years. As such, I'm willing to trade Brooks Lee for Quero. I do not think either Falvey or Twins Daily likes that idea.
  23. tony&rodney
    I don't think the Twins pursuit of Sasaki is too much different than buying a lottery ticket. They spent a little time to show interest (bought a ticket) and now hope that luck works its magic. One should not expect Sasaki in the organization, but it can't hurt to minimally wish and hope. The market on trades may be held up until Sasaki makes his decision. Hard to read what happens next across MLB much less for the Twins.
  24. tony&rodney
    Baltimore makes for an interesting but somewhat shaky trading partner. The Orioles may have an eye on Pablo Lopez. They have been very reticent at giving up either Sam Basallo and/or Coby Mayo in trades. These guys are both highly regarded but also potential busts due to K-rates and positional questions. I prefer Lopez but sometimes gambling works. No idea what the Twins would need to send for Mountcastle. The Orioles would likely want a starting pitcher.
  25. tony&rodney
    Roki Sasaki is an extreme long odd worth any or all of the time invested. Can't get him if he doesn't receive notice of our interest. This is just hope, pure hope and luck. Pete Alonso is a true slugger that any team would love to slot into the middle of a lineup. However, in fact, his market is super restricted. He has already been bypassed by most of the few clubs whose markets allow for a big contract for his type of player. Alonso is not out of an owner imposed limit, he is out of a market size limit. Teams in mid markets won't have any interest unless a deal is very creative. Likely, Alonso resigns with the Mets or goes to the Angels; limited choice. The Twins will not have any difficulty trading either Chris Paddack and/or Willi Castro. Both have value to a number of clubs. Perhaps the roster payroll allows the Twins to retain both with Paddack in a swing role and Castro as a utility player. Christian Vazquez requires a replacement not currently within the organization, so it is a little less likely that he is moved in a deal, but certainly the Twins will be open to what another team has in mind. The Twins have talent. The opportunity still exists for several trades if the front office feels a need to upgrade the talent on the roster. I'm sure there are teams willing to discuss transactions with the Twins. The question is whether the front office feels positive about the ideas and exchanges discussed. Perhaps many teams, including the Twins, are waiting out a decision from Roki Sasaki.
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