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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    I think you meant Walker struck out. Easy mistake.
  2. Whammy
    Oh boy, here we go Terry Ryan.... Should've added bullpen help. #bullpenissues (Just for clarity that's Bullpen Issues, not Bull Penis Sues)
  3. Whammy
    http://33.media.tumblr.com/f59bbbae4d2047238b6fee689b92a393/tumblr_inline_nw2wc4rxPz1t10bt3_500.gif
  4. Whammy
    Many good thoughts, but I think you just missed on one important point, that sort of relates to complacency and cheapness, though not necessarily directly.... The Twins are risk averse. You mentioned some of this risk aversion, but missed what I think is our most harmful risk aversion. Contract Extensions. The Twins are so desirous of cost certainty that as soon as someone shows promise or exceeds their current contract the front office becomes terrified of "what if they keep performing like this.... they are going to ask for a huge contract." I can't think of a single recent example of this working out in the Twins favor.
  5. Whammy
    I disagree with the premise that a 79 win projection is depressing.
  6. Whammy
    I'm going with: Buxton - 2 Kepler - 18 JO - 19 Jay - 56 Gordon - 78 Gonsalves - 90 Polanco - 92 I'm sure he's not in the top 100, but Keith Law has always been on the Vielma bandwagon. Actually, he has probably been driving the bandwagon
  7. Whammy
    From last year's top 100 "I do not consider players with professional experience in Japan or Korea "prospects" for the purpose of this exercise, which means no Jung-Ho Kang this year (among others). I also exclude Cuban players who are considered professional free agents by Major League Baseball by virtue of their experience in Cuba's Serie Nacional de Béisbol. This list excludes Rusney Castillo and Yasmany Tomas, but will consider Cuban players whom MLB treats as amateurs, like Roberto Baldoquin (who just missed this list) and Yoan Lopez."
  8. Whammy
    Kepler is a little higher on this list than the BP list, but I'm still surprised he isn't higher. When you start comparing age, stats, and projection from guys 20 spots higher, the look pretty similar. Bradley Zimmer? What does he have on Kepler? Zimmer is one year older and struggled at the level that Kepler dominated.
  9. Whammy
    I always thought he was more dangerous that he was given credit for, but he hasn't played in about 18 months.
  10. Whammy
    33yo (34 in August)
  11. Whammy
    I could probably win a foot race to first base against Usain Bolt if i started 30% closer
  12. Whammy
    Once again the great fallacy of Joe Mauer pops up. Say what you will about Joe Mauer (and I've said plenty) but he is NOT slow. He might LOOK slow, but he's not. He's probably one of the fastest first basemen in the league. Do we want our first baseman to be the fastest in the league. Maybe not. Speed in often equated to SB and Joe doesn't have many because he gets some of the worst primary and secondary leads in all of MLB. His lack of SB is almost completely attributable to risk aversion.
  13. Whammy
    For the sake of argument, let's say Lucroy never had concussion issues and/or we were guaranteed from a higher power that they wouldn't be an issue going forward.... What would you give up for him? Arcia and Stewart? Polanco, ABW, and 11-15 ranked prospect? More? Less?
  14. Whammy
    oops
  15. Whammy
    In that same article is this nugget, which might actually be the most interesting thing (twins related) that I've seen on MLBTR all off season. La Velle E. Neal of the Minneapolis Star Tribune tweets that Twins scouts believe left-hander Fernando Abad was tipping his pitches last season, which resulted in the veteran’s struggles. The Twins believe they can correct the issue, per Neal, which would give Abad a shot to break camp with the club. Minnesota signed the 30-year-old to a minor league deal earlier this offseason. Abad posted a 4.15 ERA with Oakland last season but had recorded a 2.27 ERA across 95 innings in the two seasons prior.
  16. Whammy
    This paragraph from MLBTR just makes me sad: Lynn Henning of the Detroit News breaks down the series of events that led to the Tigers’ signing of Justin Upton to a six-year, $132.75MM contract today. As Henning notes, owner Mike Ilitch went into the club’s annual offseason holiday break with some reservations about the concept of a Cameron Maybin/Tyler Collins platoon in left field. By the time Tigers’ brass returned to their offices, Ilitch was committed to signing one of Upton, Yoenis Cespedes or Alex Gordon to upgrade in left field. Tigers scouts and analysts went to work on making as informed a decision as possible, and GM Al Avila consulted with assistant Alan Trammel and Tigers broadcaster Kirk Gibson about their personal experiences with Upton from the trio’s days together in Arizona. Henning notes that Detroit also considered Chris Davis, as Jon Heyman reported, but ultimately concerns over his ability to handle left field at Comerica Park eliminated him from the fold. Upton’s age and superior on-base percentage appear to have been focal points in the decision, though Henning notes that Cespedes was under serious consideration until last week. Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports tweeted the same yesterday, noting that Detroit negotiated with both Upton and Cespedes simultaneously before deciding on Upton. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/01/whitesox-yoenis-cespedes-three-years.html
  17. Whammy
    Detroit's payroll looking to clear $180M now.
  18. Whammy
    I think the point here isn't that they could be spending $120M. An extra $12M doesn't move the needle that much. The point is they could be spending $150M. THAT moves the needle. As stated above, Detroit was at $175M last year. Their revenue is a little higher than the Twins', but not that much higher. I know. I know. They've got an owner that really wants to win. There should be 29 other owners in that boat, but I guess having an owner committed to success is an aberration.
  19. Whammy
    Unlike the other major sports in the US, for a long time there was no trading of draft picks in MLB. That changed slightly a couple years back with the amendment that you could trade competitive balance picks. Given their long history of being traded, the other sports have a fairly well established value of draft picks. Not MLB. Given the Twins' relatively large draft pool, because of our 2nd round competitive balance pick and our compensatory pick for not signing Kyle Cody, I think it would be a smart idea to try to get their hands on a 1st round competitive balance pick, then go over-slot on someone. But what the heck is the value of that pick? Would a team like the Padres or Rockies think Oswaldo Arcia is enough value for their pick? I have no idea if that is laughable, and if it is laughable, who's laughing.
  20. Whammy
    The Tigers have no problem jumping into the $170M range and their team revenue is only $30M more than our Twins.
  21. Whammy
    Hughes Santana Gibson Duffey Milone With Berrios ready to jump from AAA because of injury or performance issues
  22. Whammy
    I did the math on this a while back, but if he magically cut his K's in half, he would project to be an annual MVP candidate. Edited to add: Here's the link to the math: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/18595-adam-brett-walker-ii-my-case/ That was in June, so the numbers are from roughly a half season. If I have time today, I'll do a similar thing for his full season.
  23. Whammy
    I agree with you conclusion that I'd rather have one ace than three #3 starters, but I do think that Ryan deserves at least a little credit..... Hughes - That initial contract was tremendous. Great value in 2014. Not great in 2015. 2016 he could either continue to be an inexpensive quality pitcher, trade bait at the deadline, or a possible candidate for a qualifying offer, which might yield the Twins some draft pick compensation. But Ryan had to go and screw up his initial great deal with that "one year too early" extension. He always seems to do that and I think you can directly tie that to our small market mentality. We're so scared of having to dole out some mega contract if the player's success continues that we dole out large extensions after modest success. Seriously, when was the last time that worked out for us? Nolasco - Total failure Santana - Can't really blame Ryan for the drug suspension and once Santana got some innings under his belt he pitched like the guy we paid a bunch of money to. Criticizing the deal because your gut tells you that Santana is due to tear his UCL doesn't hold water.
  24. Whammy
    Quoting Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart.... "I know it when I see it"
  25. Whammy
    The author's underlying premise, though not explicitly stated, seems to be that change is good. It was almost viewed as a good thing that the Cubs have had 8 GMs in the time that MN has had 2. Stagnation seems to be his point, and I don't disagree that often the Twins seem a bit stagnant in their approach, but I'm not sure how plowing through GMs at the rate of one every 3-4 years is a good approach either.
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