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SmellEm

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  1. The best part is that he has spent much of the last year complaining about how toxic social media is when he built his entire brand on being the snarky guy who would call people idiots for not agree with his opinions on prospects.
  2. Baseball Reference WAR is heavily dependent on park factors for pitcher's which is hurting his value quite a bit. It's why they also had Mike Minor and Lance Lynn as the 2nd and 3rd highest WAR pitchers in the AL last year because Arlington graded as the most hitter friendly park in 2018. Fangraph's WAR grades him out quite a bit better.
  3. In general, if Law thinks a guy is most likely going to the bullpen he will rank them much lower than the rest of the industry. He just doesn't think there is much value in relief prospects.
  4. What an absurd question. Of course he will make the roster.
  5. It's pretty difficult to tell exactly what we can learn from these sorts of stats without at least a few years of data to review. Advanced defensive stats tend to be pretty noisy. Their 2017 and 2018 numbers for Polanco are also poor, but nowhere near as bad as last year. And in 2017 Dozier graded as well above average and then in 2018 he was well below average. Obviously that's possible with the injuries Dozier was dealing with his last year here but that's a pretty significant swing.
  6. That account actually came out a couple of days later and said he was just a Braves fan who made it all up.
  7. This 100% reads as Donaldson trying to use the Twins as leverage to get Atlanta to up their offer.
  8. Strib is reporting that the Twins think Donaldson has no interest in playing for them and they are now moving on. Just a wonderful off-season. http://m.startribune.com/twins-likely-out-of-the-bidding-for-josh-donaldson/566722402/
  9. How big of a disaster would this off-season be if Odorizzi's agent was good at his job?
  10. So there's our rotation. No impact free agent and no impact trade. We got swept by the Yankees, they add the best pitcher in baseball and we hope we can get Gibson/Perez level production from a guy whose ceiling is mediocre and the most injured pitcher in MLB history. Eagerly waiting to hear that we made a competitive offer to Donaldson but he chose Atlanta or DC for reasons. Great job on the front office for dropping this on a holiday so maybe no one will notice. What a joke.
  11. People need to stop comparing the Bumgarner and Wheeler situations as they really aren’t the same at all. It looks like Bumgarner really did want to go to Arizona and took significantly less money to do so basically forcing Arizona to sign him. Obviously the Twins probably weren’t going to get him with any sort of reasonable offer. But he is also pretty clearly an exception as most free agents aren’t going to leave that much money on the table. But Wheeler’s situation was completely different. As far as we know he turned down a slightly higher offer from the White Sox to sign with Philadelphia because he preferred the location. Obviously if a player has multiple similar offers where the money is pretty similar, other factors are going to come into play. But we have no idea if he would have signed with the Twins if they made a similar offer because they didn’t. All we know is that he preferred the Phillies over the White Sox when the money was basically the same. There is no reason to think he wouldn’t have seriously considered the Twins if they truly made the best offer.
  12. I'm fairly certain this is the article he was referring to. It names a US blog as the source and says he's going to sign for 4 years and $73 million. A translation for the blog's name comes up as "Bleachery Port" which I'm guessing is supposed to be Bleacher Report but I can find no mention of the story on Bleacher Report. http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2019/12/19/2019121900618.html
  13. "The Twins' guiding principle in free agency seems to be to seek out all the No. 3 starters they can find. That has worked out about as well as you'd expect: Sometimes they get a solid No. 3 and sometimes they get something worse. Coming off a big 101-win season and with payroll flexibility due to the youth on the roster, have the Twins aimed higher this offseason? Nope. They re-signed Michael Pineda." https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28290800/the-best-worst-free-agent-signing-decade-all-30-mlb-teams#AL%20Central
  14. Yes, I'm sure it was very easy for the Polands to spend a half a billion tax payer dollars for Target Field. Now it's time for them to pay us back.
  15. The big difference between guys like Odorizzi/Berrios vs Cole/Verlander/Scherzer/etc is that the real aces keep their teams "in the game" for 6 or 7 innings not 4 or 5.
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