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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    The Diamondbacks directly knocked out the loaded Phillies and Dodgers teams to make it to the World Series in an era where teams have to play more series' than ever. The 2010 Giants won, the 2006 Cardinals (83-79 record) won. The 2001 Diamondbacks won. The 2003 Marlins won. The 1987 Twins won. There are plenty of good, but non-elite teams who win the World Series. The 1987 Twins wasn't even good. It was a mediocre team.
  2. bean5302
    His signing bonus was $6.7MM. He's at $9.1MM career earnings already. Hopefully, he's not hurting for money.
  3. bean5302
    Then Funderburk can live in AAA for a couple months to learn.
  4. bean5302
    In no way, shape or form was that Miranda attempt "basic." That was an infield hit Miranda was trying to rob with an extraordinary play. Santana not blocking the ball and letting it get past him is where things went really sour. Can't let that ball get past you. It shouldn't have mattered since there was runner interference when Raleigh chose to run in front of Miranda. Cal Raleigh should be been forced to return to 2B, runner out at first. It wasn't a out-of-lane issue since the base running lane is only established at the point the fielder has the ball and is attempting the tag. Raleigh did adjust his lane, but not by 3 or more feet at that point.
  5. bean5302
    Severino isn't eligible for the rule 5 draft right now so how he's performing now is not relevant. How he performed last year is relevant. a25, 299 PA, .302/.452/.539 OPS .990, wRC+ 153 <--- left exposed. Not selected. a23, 153 PA, .233/.320/.511 OPS .832 wRC+ 100 <--- protected 1) Would a team have selected Severino? Probably not. 2) If a team would have selected Severino, would they have kept him? No way. He opened the year at .145/.251/.303 OPS .555 wRC+ 46 in AAA in 167 plate appearances. Even at 203 plate appearances he was .181/.281/.362 OPS .642 wRC+ 64 in AAA with a long history of being mediocre at the plate. Can you imagine how his stat line would have looked in MLB with him also being considered a poor defender? .100/.200/.250? A 50% K rate to boot? Nobody is keeping that on the 26 man.
  6. bean5302
    If you can't tell whether or not it's an intentional HBP, there is no message sent. If Funderburk wanted to send a message, it should have been the first pitch of of his night, not literally the 25th after issuing a walk and missing the zone all over the place. But, again, I think Funderburk was just wild. It was Caleb Thielbar or Cole Sands' message to send since they pitched after the Correa HBP. Funderburk had no business making the call if it was intentional. Let the veterans decide the correct course of action and learn from them. If Thielbar and Sands were okay with it, Funderburk should to stay in his lane. If it was intentional, Funderburk can go back to AAA because it was cheap, it was dirty and it didn't send any message anyway because he was so wild on his first 24 pitches and 7 batters faced.
  7. bean5302
    Not sure why anybody thinks a long term extension needs to bump Lewis to $20MM next year or something? That never happens. The Twins would lock him in using a stepped scale as if arbitration was happening. 2025 a26 = $6MM arb1 replacement 2026 a27 = $10MM arb2 replacement 2027 a28 = $15MM arb3 replacement 2028 a29 = $22MM arb4 replacement 2029 a30 = $25MM 2030 a31 = $30MM 2031 a32 = $35MM 2032 a33 = $35MM 2033 a34 = $35MM 2034 a35 = $30MM --------------------------- Full NTC ends 2035 a36 = $20MM team opt 2036 a37 = $20MM team opt 10yrs $243MM. That's how it might play out. But, even then, does it make a difference vs. waiting until the end of the season to see if Lewis can at least hold up that long? Nope. I don't see how it changes anything significant at all. For that matter, I don't think it changes waiting for Lewis to play a full year next year, either.
  8. bean5302
    Anthony Prato was a lot more impressive last year IMHO, and he didn't go anywhere when left exposed. So what if the Twins had lost him in the rule 5 pick, btw? You think a team was going to keep Severino on the 26 man the full season, especially the way he played out of the gate? The Twins would have just gotten him back again. He's #21 on our top 30 prospects for MLB. He's #40 on Fangraphs' which was just published 3 days ago.
  9. bean5302
    The chart above shows part of why Twins batters are getting hit so much. The Twins crowd the plate so if a pitch misses inside, Twins batters are more likely to get HBP than the average hitter. Pitchers are aiming low and inside because when you crowd the plate, that becomes a very difficult pitch to drive well. On top of that, late toe taps like Jeffers has makes it more difficult for him to get out of the way. Still an issue, but I agree with @Squirrel that the HBP's are not intentional. Retaliation for unintentional HBP is stupid because all it does is beget more retaliation against your own hitters. Just like when Delmon Young lost it on Jose Mijares back in 2009 because Mijares hit a guy intentionally for no good reason, and that resulted in Young taking a ball to the back next time through the order. Funderburk just missed IMHO. It might have looked like retaliation, but I don't think it was. It didn't make any sense for it to be retaliation since it came so much later, and after Funderburk had already pitched an inning plus another couple batters, and there was a wild pitch right after the HBP.
  10. bean5302
    I'd have my eyes on Snell and Ray. Robbie Ray threw 45 pitches in AAA on 6/23 so he could be back in MLB with 2-3 starts before the trade deadline. Snell is scheduled to make another rehab start in AAA today.
  11. bean5302
    I'm okay with Jax, Duran (let him throw fastballs, please), Alcala and hopefully Brock Stewart will be ready to go in a couple weeks. Move Varland into the 'pen as well with Dobnak and Boushley pitching more than well enough in the rotation at AAA. Zebby Matthews is ready for AAA. Gotta make some room.
  12. bean5302
    Yeah, I expect the Mariners to try and lock up Gilbert this offseason. I'm guessing they'll be floating like 5 years $100MM at him.
  13. bean5302
    I seriously wonder why MLB doesn't do a combine. Makes utterly no sense for a sport which is so dedicated to metrics at this point. Easy to set up the combine during the All Star Game week. It could be huge.
  14. bean5302
    If the Twins win the World Series this year, I guarantee there is more payroll flexibility. Payroll limit probably goes to $180MM next year as season ticket sales will skyrocket and ticket prices will increase a lot, too. Lots depends on how the Twins perform. I think it's pretty clear Joe Pohlad isn't going to be doing a lot of interviews in the near future without having gone through a lot of coaching, lol.
  15. bean5302
    Severino feels like a AAAA hitter to me. His wRC+ 120 overall performance in AAA is good, but not elite. I'm not sure why the Twins felt the need to add him to the 40 man last year. Sure, he had a bunch of home runs in a short stint with St. Paul, but his bat was only league average and he's far removed from being the 2B prospect he was years ago. Maybe the Twins can capitalize on this hot streak to get a small return for him this year? Really nice game out of Dobnak. Skipping him and Boushley to call up Festa, and after Varland has gotten some chances makes it pretty clear what the pecking order is. I think both Dobnak and Boushley look great as emergency depth guys at this point. Makes more sense to move Varland to the 'pen with that considered.
  16. bean5302
    I can't see any possibility of Lewis taking an incentive laden deal. The MLBPA would be against it, his agent would be against it, and the only party in a position to win is the Twins. MLB contracts do not have big escalators relative to the base contract because it guts the spirit of a guaranteed contract.
  17. bean5302
    There's a lot more of batters who make a conscious decision to not get out of the way as well. Wallner is a perfect example. He'll make no effort not to get hit. Wallner has historically ended his stance sooooo close to the plate, it makes him vulnerable to inside strikes. Double-edged sword.
  18. bean5302
    The Twins winning 2 of 3 is the reason the Diamondbacks are a sub .500 team. Diamondback's sweep, they're 41-40. We've won or tied 5 series' against teams over .500 this year. We've beaten both of the AL Championship teams, we've beaten both the defending World Series teams...
  19. bean5302
    I didn't see a statement. I saw Funderburk being wild.
  20. bean5302
    411 would be more accurate. "Why is this happening? Can you tell me how to fix it?"
  21. bean5302
    3B is way harder on the body than CF, IMHO. More hard throws, more hard acceleration, more diving and more jumping. Center Field isn't any different than Right Field. Just a few more plays during the year, and the player covering CF needs to be able to run faster to cover the ground. Fundamentally, not any harder on the body.
  22. bean5302
    Can't do it right now. Can't have both Buxton and Lewis on huge deals at the same time. Maybe at the end of the season if Lewis remains healthy, and a new TV contract lets the Twins ownership green light $150MM+ again.
  23. bean5302
    Nobody gave up on him too fast. He was going absolutely nowhere, and he had to approach the coaches to fix his game. He's looking great now, but there was no reason to expect this turn around. Absolutely no signs Woods Richardson was a viable prospect anymore.
  24. bean5302
    I think the A's will shop him. Relief pitchers are volatile, and the Athletics are going nowhere in the standings until their new stadium is ready to open which is years away. It's reasonable to think Miller has maxed out his performance and value. It's tough to say what the Athletics can command for him, but if they hang on to him and he turns into a very good, but not elite (like he was last year) reliever, the opportunity to cash in will have flown by the A's for at least a bit.
  25. bean5302
    So glad to hear Correa's wrist was bruised and negative on the X-Ray for breaks. Still, it wouldn't surprise me if he has to miss a couple games. Minnesota hitters have been drilled an MLB leading 55 times this year (tied with CLE). Getting sick of it.
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