Well, they're 5th in the AL in runs scored and 13th in ERA. That sounds a lot like a 17-19 record overall and their expected pythag is indeed 17-19. But... It's unlikely they remain anywhere near 5th in runs scored as the year progresses. On the other hand, it's also unlikely that they remain 13th in team ERA given that Deduno, Hughes, and Nolasco are now in the rotation and pitching well enough to stay in games. I think the team is a low 70s win team, just as I did before the season. Whether they drop below or rise above that depends on injuries and how much Meyer and/or May contribute this season.