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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I think a lot depends on Detroit and KC. Right now, KC is getting by on some luck (they're a good team but playing four games over they pythag) and Detroit is basically handing away the division right now. I don't think KC makes a move if they make the playoffs (that seems illogical). But if they miss, anything could happen.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Great post.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    You're intentionally ignoring 2008 and 2009 when the Twins lost and won 163, only to have the honor of a depleted Twins team going up against the Yankees again the time they won. That's convenient. Garza's influence would almost certainly have been marginal in 2010 when the Twins were very good but it's ignoring reality to mold your argument to exclude his potential impact on the 2008-9 squads that were fringe contenders.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but you also can't blame Ryan for Smith trading a young starter for a problem child outfielder who can't play the outfield. We can't know for certain but I'm comfortable in saying there's a 99% chance Garza is on the Twins through his control seasons if Ryan stays at the helm. He traded one pitcher worth noting during his long tenure with the Twins - Kyle Lohse - who was pretty awful in his last season and had been relegated to the bullpen. As far as I can remember, he has never traded a young starting pitcher with upside. Garza is one player but he's a 2-4 win player. He makes the Twins better from 2008-2011 and given the collapse, the Twins probably move him and the rebuild is that much stronger at this point.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    IMO, the Twins are a long way from "finishing up the build"... I'm just skeptical that Ryan is the guy to do that when the time comes. Right now, the Twins are on the tail end of a rebuild... Maybe they're at the 75% mark. Next season, they *should* be around the 90% mark if things break right with Buxton and Sano. Which means the 2015 offseason is when things should get really interesting. Do you start building for a winner or sit on your hands for another season?
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. Ryan left Smith in a bad situation. Smith proceeded to fumble through all those moves - which is on him - but it doesn't absolve Ryan from leaving Smith in that position in the first place.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    To be completely frank, I think there's plenty of evidence that he's awful at FA signings. That is easily the most glaring weakness of Ryan, in my opinion. You want a guy to build a farm? Ryan's your guy. You want a steady hand to see a rebuild through to completion? Ryan's your guy. You want to trade away assets for valuable pieces in the future? Ryan's your guy. You want to finish off a build from the outside? I don't think Ryan's your guy.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that part of the 2011-2014 collapse is on Ryan. On the other hand, does Ryan trade Garza going into a season where he's also going to lose Santana? Does he trade Wilson Ramos? If the Twins have/had those two players, how different is 2011-2014? Bill Smith took a bad situation and made it so much worse. I can not see a situation where Ryan trades an up-and-coming young starter and a promising young catcher. With those two pieces, the past eight years look a whole lot different.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    So the page is loading and then redirects you to the App Store? Is anyone else seeing this?
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    *shudders*
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    In the context of my "80 win team", I meant the previous year. So, the earliest the Twins could be an "80 win team" is October of 2015 - provided they win 80 games - and then make the corresponding moves to contend the following offseason. With that said, if they pick up a free agent or two and the Twins spring into contention next July, then I'm all for trading a piece or two - nothing major - to make a push for the playoffs. But now, after coming off a 71-74 win season? Nah. Too many variables, too many players that will need to step up to fill the 20-win gap to the playoffs as a legitimate contender.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Sustained success comes through a solid foundation. Signing free agents does not build a solid foundation. Trading prospects for veterans does not build a solid foundation. Both should be used as complementary pieces for an already-solid foundation of young MLB talent from the farm.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I said nothing about acquiring free agents to make the team better, only that it's a mistake to give away internal pieces in the middle of a rebuild process. If the money and need is there, go find a decent free agent. I absolutely believe that's a good idea. I simply don't believe the Twins are currently in the position to trade away farm pieces they might need in 2016 if something goes wrong with their current batch of upper-minors prospects (not to mention that trading a prospect during 2016 might not push them into the 88 win territory but instead the 92 win territory). If the Twins find themselves in contention, a mid-season trade can always happen in June or July.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Now is not the time to trade prospects. It might take Buxton or Sano 1-2 years to get up to speed. One of them might fail. One of them might get injured. You trade prospects when you're an 80 win team pushing for the playoffs, not when you're a 73 win team trying to get its feet back under itself. Any veterans traded for today might be gone and/or ineffective by the time the Twins are ready to compete. It's a mistake to give up prospects you might need later when there are still so many question marks in the near future.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Ell-oh-ell.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Hendriks has been dominating AAA lineups for a long time now.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd go for two fixes: 1. A stop-gap CF option. Pick up a vet who can hold a bat without embarrassing himself with the expectation that either Hicks or Buxton will later take the job. Do all you can to move Santana to short. 2. A more long-term fix for LF or RF. Maybe not Melky but someone who is competent out there. By mid-season, that could be a pretty good lineup if Sano slides Plouffe into a utility role and platoon and Buxton/Santana slide into CF/SS and Escobar becomes a roving bench guy. At this point, I don't care what happens to the likes of Nunez, Parmelee, and their ilk. They're fine as bench guys until something better comes along.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    That's my biggest issue. I moved from Los Angeles five years ago. I love basketball, as do most people in that city. Now imagine moving from watching the Lakers to watching the Timberwolves. It's a pretty hard move to stomach.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Add in the massive talent disparity of the average college game and it turns painful. I used to love college basketball. Not really sure what was wrong with me but at some point I came to my senses. Speed it up and make college players push the ball (like the most entertaining college teams already do) and I'd start watching games again.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    We're doing some testing, just wanted everyone to get a heads-up. The site may be a bit slow for the next 2-12 hours.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    While we agree that it probably won't happen, the union shouldn't have any objections to such a deal. Any way you shake it, the player is receiving more money than he is via a regular or back-loaded contract. Of course, that doesn't mean the union wouldn't object, it only means they shouldn't object.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    That's a lot nicer than how I'd phrase it.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, sorry about this everybody. It's beyond aggravating. It's like a never-ending game of Whack-A-Mole and to be blunt, it shouldn't be this ****ing hard to get rid of these things. I'm as frustrated as anybody about this.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I know what time value of money means. I thought my point was pretty clear without going into an economics lesson. There are several ways paying money today costs more than paying money tomorrow. The point stands. If the Pohlads aren't carrying over profits/losses from year to year, I don't have much sympathy for them worrying about the valuation of $5m today versus $5m tomorrow.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, and that should be a consideration. On the other hand, if the Pohlads are worried about future depreciation of the dollar then they should carry over under/over-spending from season to season, which means they should have about $40m on the books to overspend in the next few years. I don't have a problem doing one or the other but I have a problem with doing both. If you underspend one year but don't reinvest that money later then you shouldn't care about dollar devaluation in front-loaded contracts.
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