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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    A ton of walks is still an understatement. Cust's MiLB isoD was an absurd .145. And all Cust turned into was a decent, though unspectacular, DH for four seasons. Walker's MiLB isoD is .053. Carlos Gomez had a MiLB isoD of .062. So yeah.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. Let's not screw with either Plouffe or Dozier, who are the Twins' only above average position players. Go find better players, don't jerk around the guys who are succeeding.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Fryer is fine as a backup catcher. Suzuki is fine as a backup catcher. That's kind of the problem. Both players have their weaknesses, though in different areas.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, the situations are pretty different. The Twins probably won't get a high upside risk like Meyer for Plouffe. I think they'll be targeting something more in the league average range with a high floor, which is fine with me. I'm not in a hurry to trade Plouffe by any means but turning him into a decent catcher makes a lot of sense if it can be done.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I care far less about the strikeouts (though they're so prevalent it's hard to ignore them entirely) than I do the lack of discipline. If he wants to be a successful MLB player while missing the ball a lot when he swings, he needs to know when not to swing in the first place. It's impossible to become Rob Deer, Ryan Howard, Adam Dunn, or Jim Thome without the walk component. It not only makes them a much more valuable hitter overall through avoiding the out, it's an indication that they knew which pitches to wind up and jack out of the park. If you don't know which pitches to lay off, why would an MLB pitcher throw a pitch you can hit? This isn't AA or A+ where pitchers are constantly missing their spots and giving you something to juice. It's MLB, where pitchers will put the ball where they want and if you're not ready to lay off an unhittable pitch, it's going to lead to disastrous results. It took Carlos Gomez 5+ seasons to become a valuable player and the only reason teams tolerated him for that long was because of his defensive ability and ridiculous speed. A guy like Walker isn't going to 1700 plate appearances to figure it out like Gomez did between the Mets, Twins, and Brewers.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    And that's where we differ. I believe it was a baseball decision first but also a nod to Joe and his continued health outside the game. I don't see why the two things need to be separate.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    And that's more reasonable but you keep veering toward the only outcomes of a concussion being "death" or "good baseball player". There's a huge grey area between those two points and that's what most of us are discussing. Since Mauer had the concussion, he has been a .730 player after being an .850 player for his entire career. We saw it with Morneau. We saw it with Koskie. We saw it with Span. A player can be severely affected by a concussion to the point they aren't a valuable player for years after their last concussion. It's about mitigating permanent injury risk that will force someone out of baseball (Koskie), yes. But it's also about keeping a good player productive (Morneau). Mauer could squat behind the dish and get another concussion. He'd probably keep playing baseball for awhile after that point but what kind of player would he be after his next concussion? Kurt Suzuki?
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    This. Three True Outcome players can be valuable but only if they have the two good parts of the three outcomes (eg. Adam Dunn, obviously). Dunn had a MiLB isoD of .121 (!) on top of a .304 batting average. Walker needs to be more selective or MLB pitchers will tear him to shreds. If he can't lay off the bad pitches, MLB pitchers will refuse to throw him good pitches and he won't make the kind of contact it requires to rack up those doubles and homers.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    You're the one who brought up driving and, by its implication, car accidents. As far as I can tell, nobody else here cared about the danger of driving an automobile because it's completely unrelated to the argument at hand. Never mind that because almost everyone drives or uses our roadways on a daily basis, it's an assumed risk we all take and completely irrelevant. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_the_well
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I think so as well, though you may need to throw in a B or C prospect depending on the catcher's age and market scarcity. Plouffe is lining up to be an 8 WAR player over the past two seasons and he has two more seasons of team control. That's a really valuable asset to a team that believes it's a contender in the short-term.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that how he gets there often isn't pretty but he gets the job done. Over his last 681 PAs, he has an OPS+ of 96 (101 in 2014, 87 in 2015). In a perfect world, you want Escobar as a utility guy. It's not a perfect world and Escobar is the best option on the roster right now.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, all of this. Santana needs extensive coaching and work on his fundamentals at the plate (not to mention his fundamentals in the field) and the Twins are glomming onto the guy because he hit out of his mind last season and posted pretty good numbers in a AAA stint. They continue to ignore the bright flashing "DANGER, WILL ROBINSON, DANGER" lights that surrounded him going into the season and I don't understand why.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    While defensive metrics aren't the be all, end all of the conversation, they tell a pretty convincing story: Escobar: 1205 SS innings, -2 DRS Santana: 751 SS innings, -11 DRS This echoes what I've seen on the field. Santana is flashier and makes some outstanding plays but Escobar is steadier and gets the job done on a nightly basis. Danny Santana will probably end up being the better defender in time but once you factor in his "OMG are you joking?" bat, the answer becomes pretty obvious which player is going to help the team stay in contention through August and September.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, the Reds have to sell. Once Pittsburgh turned white-hot, their chances of being even a fringe contender approached zero.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Escobar isn't a bad shortstop. It still doesn't make sense.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Testing article comments. Nothing to see here.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    This is the worst possible scenario for the Royals. It completely changes the dynamic of the team. http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/story/kansas-city-royals-alex-gordon-injury-carted-off-strained-left-groin-070815 Gordon's slash line: .279/.394/.852 A lot of weight is going to shift to Moustakas, Cain, and Morales (who are all good players in their own right). I'd put this on par with the 2010 Morneau injury in the "oh noes" department. The Royals were an outstanding team with Gordon. It's hard to say they're outstanding without him, though they'll still be quite good.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought Oliveros should have been called up in May. Instead, the Twins started him in Rochester for a few games and then he got suspended. Huzzah.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    For the life of me I cannot understand why Escobar hasn't been given a legitimate shot to be the starting shortstop on this team. It's as if the team completely forgot that he was pretty good last season. Starting the season with Santana was the right call. On a rebuilding team that isn't expected to contend, you let the younger player with a higher upside start games and hope he turns into a consistent player. Well, not only did Santana struggle (not just a little struggle, a "OMG he's horrible at the plate" struggle) but the Twins surprisingly became a contending team. Yet the team seems unwilling to adjust from their Opening Day mindset. I don't get it. Santana's 43 OPS+ has slightly more PAs than Escobar and his 87 OPS+ while Eduardo has started 27 (terrible) games in the outfield. It boggles the mind.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, this. I think the Twins should approach Sano in the offseason and see if he's open to a deal... Which he probably will be. What 22 year old turns down $40m guaranteed? Buy out 7-8 seasons (control years + 1-2 seasons) and give Miguel a fat stack of cash. Plus, that sends a good message to May, Gibson, Buxton, Rosario, etc. "Go big and we'll hand you a check with lots of zeros on it."
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    There are so many different directions one can take the rotation and bullpen (primarily the pen) that I don't care about the details as much as I care that changes are made. But I know one thing for certain: if May isn't pitching high leverage innings in the bullpen, he needs to be back in the rotation after the ASB. If you want to give him a breather so he's stronger for the stretch run, I can deal with that. I'm not in the clubhouse so I don't know Trevor's mindset and how he feels going to the mound every fifth day. But if you're not going to put him in the rotation following the ASB, he needs to be pitching in a lot of 1-2 run games with runners on base. Anything else is a waste of his immense talent. If I see Trevor enter a 6-2 game in the fifth inning after the break, my head will explode.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    While Fryer is nothing special (and I really mean nothing special), giving Kurt some time off for the stretch run can't really hurt because he has been so terrible. Even if Fryers posts a .450 OPS for a week, that's Suzuki's recent line so whatever. No loss. Something needs to be done to spell Kurt and let him catch his breath. The ASB is a good time to do that. He's not a good starting catcher but he's better than he has been recently.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    If Plouffe is going to be traded, it's probably going to be in the offseason. 1. Long-term assets are easier to trade during the offseason. Instead of picking from 1-2 teams that might have a need and are a contender, you have a pool of 5-6 teams who believe they can be contenders going into the season and they're more likely to have the assets you want and need to make the trade happen. At that point, it's easier to generate a seller's market and leverage offers against one another. 2. It'd be a huge gamble to dish off Plouffe during the season when the Twins are in contention. It could easily turn into a 2014 Athletics type of fiasco.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Uh, neither do most concussions... But that doesn't mean they aren't damaging in a myriad of ways.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    He didn't get any chances to show greatness or failure. Everything I saw was pretty routine and he handled it.
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