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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I found that article a few months back. It's fantastic.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I understand your point about hits v. walks - and to an extent, I agree - but you lost me when you transitioned to seasonal comparisons of counting stats. Puckett was an everyday centerfielder who had 600+ PAs most seasons and a few 700+ seasons. By comparison, Mauer was a catcher who crossed 600 PAs only four times and never approached 700. Some of that was due to injury - Puckett was mostly healthy while Joe had issues - but a large portion of it is due to the demands of catching. Seasonal comparisons of counting stats will always skew in favor of the non-catcher.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    If Joe's OPS continues to drift upward for a year or two and flirts with .800 for awhile, I think that helps his cause. At that point, it's painfully clear the concussion is what derailed his career (despite what many have argued over the past few years). Just look at that OPS by year: .939 (SSS) .783 .936 .808 .864 1.031 .871 .729 (bizarre injury year) .861 .880 concussion .732 .718 .779 If Joe posts another .780-ish season, I don't see how anyone can argue the concussion is what did him in. It wasn't the shifts, it wasn't aging, it was the knock to his face. Sure, maybe those other things contributed a bit but shifts and aging don't account for 150 OPS points overnight. Hell, look at the Cubs, the most advanced team in the league. They (mostly) stopped shifting, which puts into doubt its overall efficacy.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    He accumulated 79 of those IBBs from 2004-2010. The hitter slotted behind Joe in most of those games? Justin Morneau. So... no.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    The Minnesota Twins in August: .798 OPS, 2nd in the AL. 5.69 ERA, 14th in the AL (props to the Angels for somehow being worse than this team). 9-12 record. So, yeah, you kinda have to trade Dozier for pitching. Not catching, not another positional player... Pitching. It's risky but when your rotation has this little upside, it's a move you need to consider. This trend isn't going to reverse by itself. Yeah, maybe Berrios gets better. Maybe you put May in the rotation. Maybe Santana holds steady. If everything goes right, this rotation is league average. One needs to aim a little higher than that.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I shake my head at any notion of a "ruined" player who is 22 years old. This isn't a dish towel. It's a human being who plays baseball and has barely entered adulthood. We're not talking about child abuse here or something that emotionally scars a human for life. Anyway, not really arguing with the idea the Twins (or other teams) haven't helped their prospects in any way, I simply don't care for that word in reference to a human being.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Dozier's hot streaks are amazing.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Gonsalves is a promising, though not yet elite, prospect. He has 10 starts in AA. He'll finish the season with 12-13 starts. His career high in IP came last season at 134. He's currently at 125 IP, which means he should close the season a tick over what he pitched last season. If he continues strong in AA, the Twins should consider moving him to Rochester to start the 2017 season but only if they think he's ready to take that last step toward MLB. He's only 21 years old. If he gets the call in June of 2017 (provided everything goes well in the next 10 months), he'll be just 22 years old when he makes his MLB debut. It's a typical promotion schedule for a promising but not elite prospect. The Twins are doing what most other teams would do in this situation (to this point, anyway).
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I can't help but wonder what Byron Buxton would look like today if the Twins hadn't called him up on May 31st. I was against the move at the time but said "now that he's up, you play him every day and let him figure it out". Buxton only has 55%-ish of a season of total MLB plate appearances. I'm not in panic mode - yet - but I really dislike what the Twins have done to his development. Again, his high water mark of plate appearances at a single level before promotion/demotion since June of last season is 169. That was 45 games, or just over 1/4 of an MLB season. I'm not sure why we expect anything vastly different than what we've seen so far. Sure, maybe he shouldn't be this bad but the Twins haven't given him a fighting chance at success. The moment he succeeds for three weeks, he gets promoted. The moment he scuffles for four weeks, he gets demoted. It's ridiculous. If a guy needs to fix his plate approach and/or swing, he can't do it in two ****ing weeks.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought it was a good discussion. The mouth-breathing was minimal.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, he has been eligible for 3-4 years now.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd say Bonds is the #1 snub but Raines should have been in years ago.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    If Edmonds gets in, Lofton needs to get in.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    My father lives in Iron River, I know the area well. Just curious where you lived. Houghton is lovely, though there isn't anything to do up there that doesn't involve drinking.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Where did you live in the UP?
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    That's your opinion, Mike. "Value" can be measured individually or partially as a team stat. I have no problems with voters leaning toward the player who plays for a better team, provided the two players are relatively close in performance. In my opinion, the MVP is about the value that player brings his team and that can be measured in many, quite different, ways. It doesn't have to be constrained only to abstract numbers favored by sabre disciples. If a voter wants to reward a player for knocking in 140 runs in a season, that's a fair way to (partially) judge a player. "Value" doesn't only work in the abstract. If Miggy drives in 140 runs, that happened. The Tigers won more games because Miguel Cabrera drove in a bunch of runs. Who cares if he was "lucky" while doing it? Who cares if the team helped boost that number? In the end, he's the guy who initiated an action that resulted in a run(s) scored. Frankly, I don't get too upset about the MVP or how writers vote. When Mauer wasn't unanimous, I didn't get upset about it (and got into an argument with Nick Nelson over it, actually). Different people value different things and that's okay. Generally speaking, I only get upset about awards when voters do stupid things such as allow a player's offensive output to influence their Gold Glove votes. That's absurd; there's not a lot of wiggle room in the definition of "best defender at the position".
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I think so because of two things: 1. His peak along with the MVP and batting titles came at the position 2. He left the position due to injury, not age and/or ineffectiveness Given how much focus has been put on concussions in the past decade, I think voters will view Joe in a (generally) positive light due to his enormous peak and sudden collapse that forced him off his natural position.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Patience is overrated? What? Buxton barely has half a season of MLB plate appearances. If you expect every prospect to start off like Kepler, you're going to have a very disappointing relationship with baseball. Buxton has been frustrating and bad but I lay a lot of that on the Twins. Over the past season and a half, he hasn't been allowed to play at one level for more than 50-ish games. That's bad management and that falls at the feet of the front office. They've been jerking him around unnecessarily.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    The more I look at the numbers, the more I shake my head over the "Mauer isn't a HoF player" argument. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/jaws_C.shtml Sort by WAR, Mauer is ninth. Every guy in front of him is in the HoF (or on their way). Sort by OPS+, he's, again, ninth. Sort by WAR7, he's fifth. He was considered a very good defender behind the plate. He won three batting titles, something no other catcher in MLB history can say (and how often can we say something like that about a modern player?). Exactly what hasn't Mauer done to deserve entry into the Hall of Fame?
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, I don't buy it. Stats be damned, Mauer did something no AL catcher in history has done... And he did it three times. That in itself gets him strong consideration for the Hall. Mauer has right around 50 career WAR and anyone at that mark should receive consideration. Given the rest of Mauer's trophies, he should get in.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I just searched the past five pages of this thread and no one used the phrase "can't miss" in reference to a an "ace" pitching prospect.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Berrios is the only guy at that level. Jay might get there but isn't today. Unless the prospect is Strasburg level, even the best pitching prospects usually land as a #2 or 3.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Probably to maximize his plate appearances.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. When I say "ace pitching prospect", I do not mean a pitcher who will turn into an ace. The likely landing spot of almost every "ace prospect" is #2/3 anyway. My expectation would be a #2-ish level pitcher with an upside of ace and floor of a #3 (barring injury or developmental catastrophe).
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    You'll get no arguments from me on that point... But given the current structure of the voting, I can understand why someone would pass over Maddux - who is a shoe-in - and giving his/her 10 votes to candidates who aren't guaranteed election.
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