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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It's possible to get a GM midseason but I suspect that you'll limit your pool of candidates in a very bad way if you demand a midseason hire. Would Falvey have left midseason? Would Cleveland even let him leave? Hard to say but there's certainly a chance the Twins miss out on Falvey if they hire in June or July.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Most Trek is pretty meh its first season. DS9 was meh in its first season, pretty bad in its second, and seasons 4-6 might be the best Trek ever put on television. Voyager meandered around for the entire series but season one, again, wasn't great. Voyager gets a bit better later on but its lackluster cast held it back in those early seasons.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I just don't have a strong opinion on this. Murphy *should* be a capable hitter but his defense is middling. Garver has a better reputation as a defender, though Murphy earned his reputation in MLB while Garver did it in MiLB. Hard to get a read on that with any kind of accuracy.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    For some reason I had it stuck in my head that Garver was a lefty but he's not. In that case, another month or so in Rochester might be in order to see if his bat is legit and then consider giving him a bench spot. I don't like the idea of carrying three catchers but if one of them has the ability to hit, it's not such a problem. Still kinda hard to fit in another (essentially) no position player, though. Garver's stat line looks nice but he still has only about ~150 PAs in Rochester and his career MiLB OPS, even with the nice AAA run, is still only .769.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    They should call up the catcher that buys into the front office's plans and goals the best. And if that catcher is Chris Gimenez right now, well then I guess he stays a bit longer.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I doubt it mattered but it was pretty damned cold today. Cloudy, humid, and 50 degrees.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Ugly situation but it's refreshing to see an actual apology instead of a sorry-not-sorry. Everyone makes mistakes. What matters is that he apologized and hopefully learned something from the situation.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    You're not wrong there, I guess we just have different priorities. If the Twins acquired two arms better than Kintzler, I'd be in favor of moving him out of the closer role. That would make Kintzler the fourth best reliever on the team (I'd currently put only Duffey in front of him). I'm simply against moving Kintzler out of the closer spot before the Twins find two better relievers: one for the seventh, one for the eighth. I think those roles are more important than closer.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect everyone hoped Gibson would stay down longer, including the front office. Unfortunately, the weather hasn't cooperated. It allowed the Twins to punt on the fifth starter decision for quite some time but a reckoning is coming. Hopefully, both Mejia and Gibson step up and take the opportunity.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    His wRC+ lines up with my expectations. Previous to 2017, he was a solid, though unspectacular, hitter. This season is waaaaay above that. It will be interesting to follow if/when that BABIP normalizes.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. This is why I don't try to "play" the market. I buy stocks I believe in and stick with them for at least a year for the lowered tax rate. I tried to play a couple of stocks short-term and was soundly beaten for it. Know your limitations.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, Kintzler is going to occasionally give up a string of hits because he isn't a swing and miss guy. In a perfect world, you want that guy in the sixth, not the ninth. But Kintzler has a profile that plays out pretty well in a fresh inning situation. It usually requires multiple hits to score a run, as he doesn't issue a bunch of free passes and he doesn't offer up many gopher balls. Given his groundball tendencies, he should limit extra-base hits in general. Considering the Twins bullpen situation, the ninth inning seems like a pretty good fit.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    This is where I struggle to come up with an answer that isn't "we needed a new front office". Where you see the need for a better-drafting team, I might see the need for a better-developmental team. Or maybe both. Hell, maybe neither. Maybe the old front office did just fine with their picks and development, they just happened to run into a spat of terrible luck in their highest profile picks. But at what percentage did drafting/development need repair? 20/80? 50/50? 80/20? We can all agree the Twins have likely gone wrong somewhere in the drafting and/or development process. My problem mostly stems from us laymen stating with any kind of certainty where they went wrong and in what capacity. Hell, just today Seth posted an interview with Law where he said the Twins have picked pretty well overall, it just hasn't worked out as well as we'd like.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I briefly mentioned that but it's an important point to note. Though Gordon has nearly as many triples in 2017 as he did in all of 2016. Now, we're dealing with relatively small numbers here so that could be an aberration but given the size of FSL stadiums, if Gordon was really ripping the ball in 2016, he probably should have had more triples. He's not nearly as fast as his brother but he's supposed to have pretty good wheels.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Nick, I don't really get the "Kintzler isn't a closer" thing. With the Twins, he has entered the game with a one run lead in a save situation just ten times in the past two seasons (this was a quick scan of box scores so if I missed something, let me know). Eight of those times, the Twins left the game a winner. That's an 80% conversion rate on the most difficult of saves. Can we really expect better from a closer? Overall, he has 27 saves and only four blown saves. Entering a clean inning and getting out of it shouldn't be that hard and Kintzler seems to have the mentality and makeup to do it. He keeps the ball on the ground. He doesn't give up home runs. He doesn't walk a bunch of guys. Leave Kintzler in the ninth. Find guys for innings 6-8 who are better, guys who need to enter a game with runners on base in a critical situation. Kintzler is acceptable in his role. If the Twins had four excellent relievers, sure, move Kintzler out of the closer role but the Twins don't have four excellent relievers and it's highly unlikely they'll ever have that many good relievers out of the bullpen in 2017.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I live about three miles from the stadium and it's drizzling. Given how the entire sky is nearly black, I'm not hopeful they'll get this game in tonight.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Ouch. My entire portfolio was hammered today, losing nearly 3%.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Because there are some really bad farm systems out there, the kind that don't have several arms with ceilings high enough to expect a few of them to turn into competent MLB players. Look at the Marlins. They have one arm with a B-/B rating. The Angels don't have a single MiLB arm with a rating higher than C+ grade. The Tigers have one arm with a B or higher grade (though a few B- arms). Even the Red Sox have just one guy at a B grade or higher. I could go on. There are several other teams that struggle with similar problems. As for the Twins, they have three arms with a B or higher grade and three more with a B- grade. Bottom five indicates incompetence on some level, that the situation is rather hopeless. "Kinda bad, maybe mediocre if you squint" is something rather different because there's talent there, it just hasn't matured (and maybe never will).
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm intentionally writing off Nolasco because it became apparent he simply wasn't going to pitch well in Minnesota. I have no idea why he imploded - maybe it was the old front office's fault - but he was a terrible pitcher nearly every time he took the mound for the Twins. Given that he started 56 games with the team, I have absolutely no reason to think he'd be any different in 2017 than he was in 2014-2016 if he was still wearing a Twins jersey.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins knew Meyer better than anybody so I'm viewing this trade purely results-based. If Meyer succeeds, the Twins evaluated him incorrectly and got burned because of it. If Meyer flounders and Santiago keeps the Twins in the race through September, the Twins made the right call. It's that simple. I don't believe this is a process decision in the vein of the Meyer/Span trade, which I supported. Meyer was a high risk, high reward guy and it didn't pan out. Sometimes that happens but I liked the thinking behind the move. Whereas now Meyer is 27 years old and the Twins watched him closely for 4+ seasons. What he becomes in MLB, good or bad, will tell us whether the trade was smart or dumb.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Heh, I brought up this point last offseason several times. Infrastructure doesn't magically appear with a snap of the fingers. Analysis needs to be done on need, software needs to be purchased/created, hardware needs to be bought and integrated into the network, and then people need to be trained how to use it and/or get up to speed with the best ways to use it. And then you need to go hire more people to actually generate and distribute the information you want. All of this takes time. Quite a bit of time. Falvey might feel the Twins are 80% of the way there today. He might feel the Twins are 20% of the way there today. Neither answer would surprise me in the least.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins have arms, which is why I don't believe they're bottom five. But their lack of high upside arms keeps them out of the top half of baseball, for sure. Without scanning the rest of baseball and going from expectations based on past experience, I'd struggle to put the Twins higher than #20. They have several (as in 5+) "interesting" arms, which is pretty solid depth but without one or two high profile arms to go along with those mid-rotation ceiling guys, the pitching in the org is going to look moderately weak.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I was one of the few people lukewarm on the trade but given how Santiago has pitched and the fact the Twins are in contention in part because of his performance, it's too early to make a call on that deal. We've seen flashes of competence from Meyer in the past. One game isn't going to drastically alter how I view him.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Though I just found this, which adds to the confusion. The timeline doesn't make any sense. The article is dated May 15th but Mejia pitched on the 16th. *shrugs* http://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/twins-adalberto-mejia-away-from-team-due-to-child-birth/
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I haven't seen anything official but I'd put 90% odds on it being Mejia. I just dug into the wrap for last night's Red Wings game and, as previously mentioned, Mejia only went three innings. He only threw 33 pitches. No mention of weather interrupting the game or a reason for Mejia to leave the game at all. Which means that unless the reporter missed something significant in that write-up, Mejia was pulled because he's going to start in Minnesota soon.
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