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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It's possible but Santiago has pitched at an acceptable enough level long enough that I'm not really worried about his performance if healthy.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    It was mentioned during yesterday's broadcast. Gibson goes Sunday, Saturday is still up in the air. I assume Saturday will be Mejia.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Unless the team goes something like 8-2 in their next ten, I'll start to believe some time near the end of June. They have a lot of games strung together with few days off in the next month. If their pitching staff is going to tire and implode, this is the stretch it will happen. I'm quite confident in the offense. It won't be world-beating but I suspect it will continue to take small steps forward as the season goes along.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    TV Show: The Walking Dead. I ****ing hate this show. It has the same flaws as the comic: it's repetitive, circular, and boring. Whereas Game of Thrones condenses and improves upon the novels by removing the weakest parts, The Walking Dead goes hard at the worst parts of the book over and over again. Which is too bad, because the comic was amazing through the first 40 issues and pretty good through the first 80 issues. The show had a template what not to do and chose to move around set pieces but not really change some of the stuff that really needed to be changed. The second season of the show is one of the laziest, phoned-in seasons of a show I've ever seen on television.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Santiago hasn't been terrible in May, he had one truly horrific start in May. His starts this month: 6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 SO 6.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 5 BB, 6 SO 2.2 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 1 SO 5.0 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 1 SO He's been pretty typical Hector Santiago outside of that single start. He walks too many guys, strikes out too few, but manages to get through the lineup enough times to put together an acceptable start. To me, the question marks in the rotation are Berrios (but less so with each start) and Mejia (the true wildcard here). If Berrios holds steady as a #3 and Mejia pitches like a #4, the Twins are probably in okay shape unless somebody gets injured. But I have very little faith in Mejia, at least in 2017.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I doubt that's his strategy. At least I hope that's not his strategy. I suspect the more likely situation is that it's still May and no one is available. Going into the season, the Twins had a ton of arms that weren't very good but that was probably enough to get through to June or July. Unfortunately, Trevor May's injury crippled that approach before a single game was played.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    He's a fringy starter, for sure. But it's not as if the Twins have someone else who profiles significantly better in the OF. And given that Rosario is still only 25 years old, I'm willing to give him more leash. If there was a better option available, I might feel differently about it. Grossman is an option but I don't want him in the field more than once or twice a week, tops.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Thus far in the season, 25% of Kepler's plate appearances have come against LHP. He's getting his reps against lefties but not to the detriment of the team.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    This bullpen is like clockwork. It may work like a 1980s Casio wristwatch with a cracked screen you found in a ditch, but it works.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, um... yeah.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, I didn't check for games started, only games played. But I doubt the difference is large either direction.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Heh, they've actually played the same number of games.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Today is a very good example why it's important that Byron not strike out 50% of the time.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano was a 2.0 fWAR guy in 330 PAs as a rookie and DH. He peaked too early.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Lazy answer. As we all know, Avila is not Sano. It's weird to see Cameron dismiss the guy who is making the rest of baseball look bad with his exit velocity as a four win player. Five wins? Maybe. Six wins? Sure. Sano's defense is going to limit his value somewhat but the guy has shown he can be elite with the bat. Cameron is basically saying that Sano's ceiling is Denard Span. Sure, okay.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm far from sold on Rosario as an every day regular but his BABIP is still .030 below his career line. He gets until the break to see how/when/if he normalizes.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I understand his thinking and don't disagree the Twins have a good chance of fading but it's getting harder to see this team being sellers with each additional day. We're almost into June. At some point, one has to admit this team is likely to be a fringe contender at the very least. Sure, maybe they enter the deadline 2-3 games under .500 but that's a fringe contender in today's game. And they'd have to be pretty bad to be three games under .500 at the deadline. They'd have to string together a couple of 10-15 months in June and July to get there. It's pretty hard to squint and see that happening when the Twins are currently looking to exit Baltimore with a sweep.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    So Cameron thinks a 2.7 win player over 41 games is worth 4 wins in a season. Got it.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I just really dislike the idea of trading what has become a rather established position player for pitching. It's such a risky game to play. Prospects for pitching? Sure. Prospects fail at a pretty high rate and fail to meet their ceiling at an even higher rate. But established position players are like money in the bank. Sure, they have a chance of injury but it's a small risk compared to pitching.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Kepler and Sano are my two untouchables in the lineup. Kepler has been drastically underrated by analysts. He's damned near a perfect hitter now that he's roping the ball. And that was kind of expected, as he's still only 24 and gaining strength. The signs were always there that he'd be a productive MLB player, he simply didn't put it together until 2015 or so.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Career stat line. We've talked about why it's not really indicative of Santana's performance ceiling.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Because there's not a strong correlation between player performance and RBI but there is a strong correlation between team RBI and win-loss record. And RBI is largely a team stat, not an individual stat. The exception is the solo home run.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd consider it if the deal is right and it brings back pitching. Given this rotation, it's not terribly difficult to see a net gain by swapping Dozier for a starter.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    It's an overstatement. RBI are extremely valuable. RBI are also an extremely poor evaluation tool. Guys who hit lots of home runs collect lots of RBI. It's that simple. Mauer walks an incredible amount in RBI situations, which further deteriorates his number. The best outcome of an RBI situation is to get that RBI. The second best outcome is to get on base. In that regard, yeah, I guess Mauer isn't the greatest outcome player, he's simply the second-greatest outcome player.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    It's disappointing how prevalent the Mauer hate is in less stat-centric circles. A few days ago, I was reading the comments section of I Love Minnesota Sports' Facebook page. They posed the question "Who was the better Twin, Hunter or Mauer?" Some people said Mauer, which is probably the easy and right answer. A few said Hunter but pointed out his clubhouse leadership skills. I'm fine with that. But a bunch - and I mean a bunch - went after Mauer hard. They downplayed everything Joe was good at and talked about how Hunter was better at everything. Most threw in potshots at Joe over the contract and even his personality (weak, lazy, whatever). And that is just an idiotic opinion to have on Mauer. We all gripe about his faults at times but he's one of the best players to ever wear a Twins uniform. That can't really be disputed but some people out there act like he was Nick Punto in his prime, not a record-breaking catcher who was at the top of the sport for several years (it's hard to say Hunter was ever at the "top of the sport", he was a very very good player, not elite). So, yeah, it's not really an overcorrection.
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