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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree. It's a dangerous tactic to employ as a mid-market franchise. I mentioned that in another post, but not the post you quoted.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    No, I shouldn't. T-Mo's coverage has improved immensely, as they continue to make money and buy spectrum. And they're not a terrible, rotten company. That matters to me. Without T-Mo, we'd still be stuck under carrier contracts and a slew of other anti-consumer practices that ran rampant through the industry before Legere took over.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Padres, A's, Cincinnati, Tampa. That's the top of my list. Teams that struggle with bad fan support, a middling market, and little immediate hope for the future. After that, it becomes a mix of Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and Kansas City. Maybe Toronto because of the exchange rate knee-capping their potential market and their dome stadium. Honorary mentions to Arizona and Colorado for pretty obvious reasons, though their markets are solid.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Friedman, that's why. I don't think the Rays organization is what it once was and their stadium/market only hurts them more. I don't think their front office and scouting is bad, just not terribly impressive... and they're easily the worst MLB market in baseball. Overall, that makes for a team that I wouldn't want to be drafted into. Whereas the Reds are a questionable front office and their market sucks. That's why I'd put them at the bottom of the list.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Well said. In no way am I saying that this front office deserves an entirely blank slate, but they do deserve a little leeway, particularly when they actually do something different than their failures of years past. I'm skeptical of what happened yesterday. I preferred going with the big talent in Greene and letting it play out. But the Twins didn't do that. It doesn't mean they're wrong, it doesn't mean they're right. But, at the very least, they deserve a little slack to see where all of this is going.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Never mind that he already has a sketchy reputation about free agency. Baseball is a small community. Boras could essentially blacklist himself with that kind of move. And if Boras is blacklisted, potential draftees stop signing with him. That kind of move is a classic "counting pennies while the dollars fly by" situation. Boras doesn't have one client. He can't afford to piss off everybody in baseball with an underhanded move because it will cost him tens of millions, potentially hundreds of millions, down the road. Boras isn't a stupid guy. He's not going to risk his future over $500,000 on a single player. I'm sure he's going to drive hard at the Twins and get the most money possible for his client but it's unlikely he's going to make a face and say "neener neener neener, I LIED, stupid Twins!" during negotiations.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm talking about his prospect ranking, not his draft ranking. Buxton was the cream of the crop as he progressed through the minors with almost every analyst taking him as the #1 overall prospect.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I tend to agree. Position needs to be considered and I don't see McKay being the next Texeira. I could be wrong (naturally). If McKay profiled with that bat at even third base, maybe the Twins don't try to underslot him. I just don't like the idea of two-way players much. They're fun to think about in the abstract but I think the game is too hard and too complex to be effective as a two-way guy.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I mean, maybe... but I counter with "the Rays". If I was a pick, that's one of the last teams I'd want to fall to in a draft (though Cincy would probably be the bottom). The Twins aren't much higher on that list but they are higher.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, my problem is that they didn't reach with the 35/37 picks, not that they didn't draft any single guy. Because my knowledge of any single guy is so limited that I'm just making **** up as I go along.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    And there's something really wrong with Buxton that virtually no one identified for years. The guy was the consensus #1 prospect in baseball and absolutely annihilated every level of competition. Buxton was a great pick that has unraveled for reasons unknown. Any prospect who is universally adored by scouts and analysts every moment until he hits an MLB field has to be considered a good pick.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    While I know you're kinda joking, Chris Gimenez is pretty bad at most things. I just don't know that it's possible for anyone to have enough hours in the day to focus on their swing mechanics and the 3+ pitches it usually requires to be an above average pitcher. Doubly so for McKay, who is a LHB. It's hard enough for a lefty to become competent enough against LHP to be an everyday player, much less a lefty who has to pitch every fifth day.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    And while I know some people love the idea of a two-way player, I simply don't know if that's possible in the modern game. There is so much specialization and the competition level is so high that I think you may end up with a guy who's mediocre at everything where he could be truly special at one or the other.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeesh. That was some bad advice from him agent. As predicted, McKay fell to the Rays and there's no way he's getting 1-1 money at 1-4, where the pool is a full $2.5m lower.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    When they build a team that isn't in first place?
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Buxton and Gordon have been their only good first round picks in the past several years. And breaking down the draft into individual positions and players starts to get murky. We're literally dealing with two similar data points here, one of which doesn't even play the same position. Maybe it wasn't that they Twins liked Lewis so much, maybe it was because they didn't like McKay at all and refused to draft a pitcher at 1-1. That throws the entire analysis on its head. Any comparison to Berrios and Leach is eye-roll worthy on par with the Nishioka/Park comparsions. Berrios is a short latin player. Leach is a frickin' huge Canadian. They throw with the same hand so they have that in common.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    It's pretty hard to compare individual players at different positions. For all we know, Epstein would have taken Lewis or somebody completely off everyone's radar at the 1-1 slot.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    So it's the same guys who failed in the past with one approach and now take a different approach but are still the same guys so are automatically doomed to failure because they failed in the past with a different strategy under different leadership. This is my problem with these arguments. New leadership comes to the organization, keeps some of the old staff on, use a different draft strategy, but they still have past failures hang over their head because they're "the same guys".
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    The only thing that impacts attendance is prolonged winning. Even the promotion of a Jose Berrios or Byron Buxton or Miguel Sano only nudges attendance upward for a brief period of time.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, the former regime missed on some really ugly-looking pitching drafts a few years back. And they didn't take pitching this year, but that's still a problem in the eyes of many. In my opinion, emulating an Epstein approach is rarely a bad strategy. Isn't that what we screamed for year after year after year under Ryan? But then the Twins do just that and people still scream about it. I disagree that Rooker will be 25 when he reaches Minnesota. Sure, it's possible, but he profiles as a guy who could be here next year as a 23 year old. For him to reach Minnesota has a 25 year old, he'd have to spend nearly 2.5 seasons in the minor leagues. Is it possible? Sure. Is it likely? Not if the Twins got the pick right.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, anything lower than 20 and you're meddling in potential second round guys anyway. The lines blur after pick 15 or 20, depending who you ask.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the Pohlads have virtually zero input in the draft. Why would they? That's a Steinbrenner move and the Pohlads have never been those types of owners.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    And therein lays my problem with the draft conversation every year. We all pick our guys and get disappointed when they're not chosen by the Twins. But, come on, this is the sixth draft that Twins Daily has recorded. I encourage everyone who participated in previous draft threads to go back and read their comments. It will instill some humility in your certainty over whether this draft was good or bad.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know if that's true at all. I heard several scouts say Gordon "might stick at short". Some were higher on him than that. Today, it's pretty apparent he will stick at short. It's hard to predict where an 18 year old kid will be as a 24 year old because if he's 6'4", 220 lbs, it's going to be damned hard to "stick at short".
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I double checked this to be sure. I'm slightly off. The Cubs took a pitcher in the supplemental round a few years back, which is technically the first round. And they seem to draft pitchers about 2/3rd the time in the second round. So, yeah, I was close, just a bit off in the details. No pitchers in the "true" first round, though. And the Cubs picked high from 2011-2015, no lower than ninth overall and as high as second overall.
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