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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Ah, how'd I miss that? Thanks for clearing it up.
  2. Sure, there is way more involved. I'd prefer a manager with analytics experience but what is most important is the willingness to adapt versus digging in your heels when your boss tells you do something. Molitor, despite his apparent faults, seems to be open to a more analytics-based approach. From what I read of Mientkiewicz, he was quite hostile to the idea. That's why I didn't want Mientkiewicz managing the Twins three years ago and that's why I have no problems with letting him go today.
  3. There's a lot more to analytics than OBP (not that you're saying that, I'm just boiling it down to a base element). There is launch angle, swing type, approach, pitch limits/approach for health, etc. It's not as simple as just getting a guy to do Thing X in the majors. There's an entire approach the front office wants to implement and they need their MiLB staff on board.
  4. But that directs back to my fourth point. Maybe the Twins handled this badly. Or maybe Steil requested to be the one to do it because he has a relationship with Mientkiewicz. Or maybe Falvine and Mientkiewicz have a hostile relationship. We simply can't trust the word of Mientkiewicz in this situation. We know he has handled things badly in the past and comes up with some jacked up rationale to behave the way he does. The Boston game seven ball still makes me shake my head. In my opinion, that told me all I need to know about Mientkiewicz's mentality.
  5. Joe Mauer has nearly as many 3+ hit games this season (12) as he had in 2015 and 2016 combined (13). He has as many four hit games this season (three) as he had in 2014, 2015, and 2016 combined.
  6. I honestly don't understand why people are so upset that Falvine didn't call Mientkiewicz. A few things: 1. We literally have no idea what kind of relationship they had to Dougie, if they had one at all. 2. Steil is Mientkiewicz's boss. 3. We don't know whose decision it was to move on from Mientkiewicz, though I feel it's most likely all parties were in agreement. 4. We're getting one side of the story here, yet many have determined the move was "classless". For all we know, Mientkiewicz did or said something really ****ing stupid and the Twins are "classy" enough to just stay silent on the matter. We read quotes from a pissed off ex-employee. Any working adult knows just how unreliable a person can be in that situation. So I'm going to just go from what I know. I know the new front office is analytics-driven. I know Mientkiewicz is not. I know Mientkiewicz has done some on-field things in the past that likely embarrassed the organization. I know Mientkiewicz was demoted down a level prior to the season. I wish him the best. Personally, I'm glad he's no longer with the Twins organization because he represents a mentality I want to see the Twins leave behind, a mentality that was partially responsible for the mess the organization has found itself mired in for the past several seasons. It's so weird to me to see some of the same people who generally agree the Twins need to modernize their approach complain about the firing of a guy who doesn't align with that modernization.
  7. Okay, this is going to be my last post on the subject. Again, he said this: "I don't know what the Twins have done to him, but it's not great." I am not interpreting his words to mean what I want them to mean. The strict definition of his words imply the Twins did something wrong. There's literally no other way to interpret those 14 words. That's what they mean. If that wasn't the writer's intent - and maybe it wasn't - then he's the one at fault for not properly using the English-freaking-language. If regression was his intent, then he should have used the word "regression". You're the one implying intent, spycake. There's not even a hint of a suggestion a regression to the mean is involved, a statement I actually would have shrugged and and said "yeah, that's entirely possible". It's super-weird to me that I'm using a strict definition of his words and I'm the one being accused of twisting intent and injecting personal bias whereas you just brought up something that wasn't even implied, not even a little bit. If you want to argue that the comment was entertaining snark, I get it. I disagree with the comment but different things appeal to different people. I can dislike the comment, you can think it's fine. But you can't accuse me of personal bias and then defend it by injecting a bunch of stuff into the statement that he simply did not say.
  8. Very well said.
  9. Something smart managers do when entering a new organization.
  10. Nor did he handle the Boston game seven ball with grace.
  11. Yeah... There are loads of "natural" things that can cause cancer. You know, like THE SUN.
  12. I know this may sound harsh but... good. The way people rave about Mientkiewicz, you'd think he's Joe Maddon. My understanding is that Dougie doesn't only avoid sabremetric-based analysis, he's often hostile toward the idea. His comments over the years have led me to believe he's simply not going to come around on the topic, which means he's no longer a fit for the organization. Adapt or die. If you're not going to play ball with the new front office's vision for the future, you have no place in the organization. This team had a development problem and I'm not going to cry if Falvey and Levine begin to clean house in the minors.
  13. That's still pretty high. Maybe Buxton can max out around .350 but it's hard to see him higher than that. My understanding is that line drive rate correlates more strongly with BABIP than speed.
  14. I'm speaking of Santana's general expected performance, not his 2017 performance (and good pitchers will be available). Also, fWAR doesn't have Santana nearly as high was B-Ref.
  15. Could be a tough day against a good lefty.
  16. This would infuriate me for that reason. Keep Gibson, go find a FA starter as good or better than Santana. The money is there.
  17. Nooooooooo. We've seen this from Gibson before (in fact, I believe his peripherals in the middle of 2015 were actually better than his recent play). Take the one year deal and prepare to move on. Lots of arms in the system that will appear in 2018 and 2019. One of them should work out well enough to replace Kyle when the need arises.
  18. Right. Debating the lineup versus a LHP is a moot point.
  19. It's basically Seattle and the Angels at this point. If the Twins manage to just play .500 ball for the rest of the season (and given their schedule, that's a pretty low bar to hurdle), the Angels have to go 11-5 and the Mariners have to go 11-4... And that's to force a game 163, not to reach the postseason. So yeah. If the Twins close out this homestand 5-1 (take two of three from Jays), this thing is close to over.
  20. If America had an actual brain on its shoulders, approximately 20 million people would care about global warming after it helped wipe out a large part of the southern United States over the past few weeks. Great timing on this post, by the way.
  21. He wouldn't be so I think that's a moot point. No matter the handedness of the starter, I suspect Molitor would run out Rosario, Buxton, Kepler (and I think that would be the right decision).
  22. Also an option but honestly, you just let Eddie swing away in that situation. His K% is down to 18% this season. That's not Mauer-esque but it's damned respectable, one of the lower rates on the team. And even if he makes an out, Rosario is a LHB. If he puts wood on the ball, it's likely going to the right side of the infield or RF. Buxton advances anyway.
  23. shaddup snepp no one wants to hear your opinion anyway god dont be such a jerk all the time
  24. Houston with a commanding 4-1 lead in the ninth. The Twins should enter tomorrow with a three game lead on the Angels.
  25. From August 8th through yesterday, Eddie Rosario has a .959 OPS and a .284 BABIP. His career BABIP is .327.
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