Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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I agree that hairdressers need money just like everyone else but once we try to drill down the "need to haves", people are going bankrupt because Congress has deadlocked itself on minutia for months. Casting a net this wide isn't a particularly good solution but I don't see how we really had any other option.
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Barks, love you always and wish for the best for you and yours. We miss you here.
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Well, first I think bars and salons are at the bottom of the list of things I care about but I share your sentiment. The thing is that had we, as a nation, started stockpiling those vital components of safe interaction months ago, we might have something to talk about here. But right now, people who literally deal with COVID patients intimately don't have the equipment they need to keep people safe, the same equipment we want to use to get our hair done. Let's get past the point of "hey, I need that mask to not die while I try to keep another person alive" before we get to anything else. And this administration has so completely failed in that regard that I struggle to find a reason why anyone even disputes that fact.
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I agree with most of this but you don't *need* a haircut, Glunn. Vanity is not a vital resource, and I'm saying this as a person who goes too long without a haircut and is on the verge of shearing off all my hair because it's going to be at my shoulders in a few weeks and it's driving me crazy. I will gladly shear off my hair at home if it keeps society a little safer. But I agree that we need to work smarter, not bigger.
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I'm donating a large portion of my stimulus money to family who need it and charitites. Feel free to do the same.
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Weird how Parker bolded a couple of adverbs to highlight the uncertainty of his viewpoint while you bolded entire portions of a sentence to... say what, exactly? Oh, to point out what you inferred from Parker's post, not what he actually said. And before you get super upset and reply, I have no interest in responding and will not do so. Read Parker's posts again and try not to infer your own political stance upon them. Just read the damned posts, they're informative and useful. If you wish to debate the merit of them afterward, feel free to do so. -
One thing I think needs to be brought up is that rural and urban areas do not suffer the same kind of risk. As an urban resident, in a typical day I would come in close contact with, say, 100 people. If I was a rural resident, that contact might be 20 people. It's really hard to determine what matters and what doesn't in this conversation but contact is the biggest variable in question. Does it make sense to shut down rural areas the same way we shut down urban areas and if it doesn't, how do we enact those rules?
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Wait, why would he be a "mutineer"? I'm legitimately curious. As governor, Walz is tasked with the welfare of his citizens. He's working with local private industry to create that network. Isn't that what we're supposed to do in this situation?
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Yeah, most health agencies seem to be getting the tail of the graph woefully wrong. It will likely be a slow burn down, one that extends well into the summer.
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Influenza kills an average of 35,000 Americans a year based on CDC data during the seven most recent years of tracking (excluding very recent projection years that do not yet have hard data). Coronavirus has killed close to 8,000 Americans in the past four days. I never want to hear people mention "it's the same as the flu" ever again in my life and they better not do it on this forum.
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This seems like a pretty good place to bring up Calvin Griffith and his racist ideals in a baseball context.
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My understanding is that it's *extremely* easy to teach a knuckleball, but it's *extremely* hard to learn how to do it and get it near the plate. The entire point of a knuckleball is to stop spin and let wind and gravity take hold. Literally *stop* spin. A bad knuckleball is basically a 75mph fastball.
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The reality is that we can’t prepare for every scenario if the, you know, really hits the fan and demand jumps astronomically for a specific set of devices/equipment. What we’re not paying enough attention to here is that this didn’t blindside us. Experts knew this was coming, at least in some capacity, 4-5 months ago. And we did almost nothing. And I’m being generous by using “almost” in that sentence. These orders to shift production should have come two months ago, which would massively lift the burden. Every day we didn’t act is two days lost to alleviate the supply chain problems we see right now.
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One critical point no one is talking about (on top of your very valid points) is our "direct-to-now" supply chain that views inventory as a critical evil of bloat. Break a small part of that supply chain and it becomes pretty hard to supply more demand as needed or even to continue regular demand supply. Massive distribution channels have spent decades priding themselves on how little static inventory they carry at any given time. Normally, a good thing for shareholders. Right now, maybe not so awesome. Inversely, the upside is that we’re far more scalable now than we ever have been in the past but the initial hit still hurt... a lot. Better, earlier leadership could have prevented many problems in this situation.
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It's a different game. Killebrew didn't spend the final four innings of almost every game facing a specialized reliever to get him out. Strikeouts were frowned upon, while now they're just a thing you suffer through for the greater good of offense. And in that situation, walking more definitely hurts a player's ability to drive in runs as balls in play is RBI if you're a slugger. Never mind all the good points brought up in the article itself; it's a lot harder to drive in runs if the entire lineup isn't built for 2-3 guys to drive in runs and instead favors 6-7 guys driving in runs.
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I Ate Like the Minnesota Twins For a Day
Brock Beauchamp replied to renabanena's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If you're mixing cocktails on a regular basis, creme de menthe is a staple of the cabinet. Mind you, our bottle is like ten years old because we don't use it often but when you want it, it's there. -
While I miss the catcher blocking the plate like a madman holding a position, I do NOT miss the takeout slide at second. The play at the plate is definitely more dangerous overall, but often times the runner and catcher had a silent agreement that they're going to collide with ferocious intent to see who comes out the victor. Sometimes the catcher had the advantage and would put a shoulder down to stop the runner and put a serious hurt on them, other times the runner would have the advantage and put a shoulder down to bowl over the catcher. The play at second, not so much. One player was always at a disadvantage and often suspended in air to make a dynamic play while the runner went straight at their knees or feet in a potentially crippling move. Mind you, I have no issues with either play being banned from baseball but the play at home had at least something approaching an equal footing a lot of the time. The play at second rarely had an equal footing and was little more than a deterrent suggesting "do this and I'll injure you". There's a significant difference between those two plays.
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Though Mauer was at a huge disadvantage because he was a catcher and DH. While he mashed as both, mashing as a DH doesn't give much in the way of WAR, though he was still a huge plus for the team because he spent so much time behind the plate. Despite being a beast that season, I suspect his DH WAR is a fraction of his total WAR. And let's not ignore that Mauer missed all of April that season due to injury. He came back that season and posted that WAR over five months, not six. Though I won't really argue with anyone who slots Carew or Mauer above one another. There are arguments to be made for both.
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Sano can't do it because he doesn't put the ball in play often enough and he draws a ton of walks. That cripples his ability to be a massive run-producer, though I should point out that's not a negative statement. Joey Votto (I know, the Reds aren't a great example here for run-producing but bear with me) is a beastly hitter all around, posting a .300+ BA for his career but he has never driven in more than 110 RBI in his career because he puts the bat on his shoulder and spits on pitches if they're not the in zone. Sano, while not *quite* at that level, does the same a lot of the time. Any player who walks 10% of the time is at a serious disadvantage for RBI, while also being a huge boon to the team.
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I Ate Like the Minnesota Twins For a Day
Brock Beauchamp replied to renabanena's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Glad to have you around Twins Daily and I've enjoyed your BBTN podcast segments over the past several months! -
I don't disagree with some of the premise of this post, that Santana perhaps isn't HoF caliber... but how you got there is kinda wrong. Cliff Lee didn't have a prime anywhere near that of Santana. Johan had five full seasons of 150 ERA+ ball. Cliff Lee had two. Johan's "mediocre" 2007 season was basically how Lee pitched during his best seasons, minus the two 150 ERA+ outlier seasons. And that's why, despite pitching roughly 100 fewer innings, Santana is worth about 10 rWAR more than Lee in his career. Kaat is an interesting point to bring up, though he kinda screwed himself by sticking around for a VERY long time and not being good. Kaat finished his career with a 45.2 rWAR. Through his first 17 seasons, he had a 48.1 rWAR. Through his final seven (!) seasons, he hung on and posted a -2.9 rWAR. And it's not as if he stunk it up for a year or two, he was roughly replacement level or worse every year out of those seven. I never realized he was so bad for so long, yet kept getting playing time in the era of free agency.
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While I support the general idea of this article, Johan is a fringy HoF candidate, at best. Baseball history is littered with elite pitchers who fell off a cliff around age 30. I'm saving my outrage for when Mauer gets snubbed in the first few ballots because he was literally a player who did things no baseball player in history had ever done and rocked enormous JAWS ratings on par with the best catchers in baseball history.
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My friend, who is a mathematician, a couple of months ago said that we should probably be multiplying positive tests by roughly 40x (!!!!!!!) to get close to a true infection number because of the lead time, lack of testing, and asymptomatic responses within some people. That's pretty terrifying and given how the rest of his math has been right about positive tests and the curve in the past two months, I certainly can't disagree with him about much of anything.
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Taylor Rogers and the Value of the First Pitch
Brock Beauchamp replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I remember somewhere in the 2003-2004 seasons when the announcers pointed out that Radke hadn't gone to a 2-0 count in something like 65 batters, which illustrates just how freakin' much that guy was a poor man's Maddux. Anyway, the first pitch strike matters a hell of a lot. While we all love the swings and misses, getting that first pitch over the plate for a strike matters *a lot*. -
And this is always giggle-worthy and apropos for our world, particularly when you realize Kristofferson was a Rhodes Scholar at Oxford for poetry. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRBOi-JrvMM
