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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd have no problem trading Santana if Ryan can get value for him... But that'll be a tough sell. Maybe bundled into a deal with another player might work. And good point about Michael. He looks like he might be a futility guy, though I don't think he can play short.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough. I don't think we're really arguing here. I want to see Santana get one more shot... After that, I'm not sure.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's kinda weird to pin some of the Twins' postseason failures on a guy who received zero postseason plate appearances with the team (but played in three seasons the Twins made the playoffs). If you want to talk about the Twins starting Juan Castro or Nick Punto as part of their problems in the 2000s, that's a fair conversation... But the backup middle infielder? I don't see an argument to be made about that, especially one as talented as Santana (who has a higher ceiling than most futility guys).
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    To post three times in a row because it's fun, there are many good baseball teams through history that have filled the back of their roster with toolsy, unpolished players. Those guys have uses: late inning double-switches, pinch-running, occasional fill-in roles. Santana can do all those things. And when you get right down to it, we're talking about possibly losing Nunez here. Is that really much of a loss? Given the potential make-up of this team, one athletic, toolsy guy at the back of the roster isn't going to get in the way of success. There are plenty of bench bats available should the Twins want a bat-first player in pinch-hitting situations: Vargas, Arcia, Pinto... Never mind that Santana had a pretty nice season in AAA, even if he stunk up the joint in Minnesota. There's potential there... I didn't want Santana starting after May 1st of 2015 but that doesn't mean he should be off the team entirely. At least not until we get another look at him.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    The question to ask yourself about Santana is "if exposed to waivers today, would he be claimed?" That answer is a resounding "yes". There many teams that would want to claim Santana immediately. The kid has upside, athleticism, and is 24 years old. That's not a guy you let walk away without giving him another chance.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Alexi Casilla didn't kill the Twins when they were good in the 2000s. Santana has the same kind of upside. It didn't work out with Casilla but that doesn't mean Santana can't make adjustments in a backup role. Discarding athletic up the middle players before they turn 25 is short sighted.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Many of these same arguments were made about Dozier and Plouffe a few years back. Hicks may be on this list as well, time will tell. At this point, I think Twins fans should know better than to write off an early 20s up-the-middle guy, especially one who posted pretty good - albeit luck-fueled - numbers just ~14-20 months ago. There's room for Danny Santana on this team and the Twins would be foolish to part ways with him at this point.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the pretty obvious choice is to put Santana in the futility role and hope he figures it out. His flexibility on defense and his speed make him a good candidate for the role.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    At times, it seems the Twins have about 15 spots on their 40 man taken up by 1B/DH types. Adding another one seems ridiculous.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Pinto is mentioned in the interview, albeit briefly.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    By the way, this year's handbook is going to be nearly 50% longer than the previous handbook... I just wrapped up designing 34 (!) pages of free agency players.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I think there's a good chance that played a part but the guy was down 1-2mph on his fastball for the season. I don't think he was right most of the year. Of course, multiple factors probably came into play. Was he changing his pitch selection due to coaching or was he changing pitch selection because his arm wasn't right? I don't know.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, that's about it. I hate to say it, but... Season over.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Whooooo TWINS!
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I love these recaps so much.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I like Wild Card teams but I'm not sold on the one-game playoff. I'd prefer three games but I understand why MLB is resistant to that idea. First, it extends an already too long season and second, it forces other postseason teams to sit too long and possibly get rusty.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    We shouldn't be concerned. This is a typical arc for a young player that thrives after a call-up. Pitchers and coaches acquire film on the player. They find his weak spots and exploit them, often by throwing an inordinate amount of breaking balls. Now it's up to Sano and Bruno to adjust to the new approach.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Perkins in entrenched as the closer provided he doesn't implode... And I'm okay with that. Given the role of the "closer" in baseball, I've come to the opinion your best reliever should not be the closer. Coming into a fresh inning with the bases empty and a 2-3 run lead is going to result in a win the vast majority of the time with even a mediocre guy in the closer role. So if no one in baseball is going to use a true Bullpen Ace model, the best guy on the staff should be used in the seventh or eighth innings depending on the game, ready to come in with runners on base during a critical situation (or even a fresh inning with the heart of the lineup coming to the plate). Put your second-best guy in the "closer" role and go with a quasi bullpen ace model.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Play nine games that way and see who wins more consistently. Come on, you're being intentionally difficult. This is baseball. Sometimes games are won with a swinging bunt. That doesn't mean you train your players to rely on swinging bunts. The pitcher who can put the ball where he wants it (command) is going to beat the player who can throw it in the strike zone (control) more often than not.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    The two are sometimes used interchangeably but yeah, that's about right.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Rotations like the Twins' 2011-2014 rotations are an example of the weakness of FIP/xFIP. If a pitcher is really bad, it tends to break those stats because FIP/xFIP assume a pitcher has a relative level of competence and isn't getting drilled every time contact is made with the ball. This isn't an indictment of FIP/xFIP, though... It's an indictment of those rotations. They were terrible and most of the rotation underperformed their advanced metrics by a healthy margin. Also, I'm sure terrible OF defense helped balloon those old ERAs while the more advanced metrics try to weed out that statistical noise. In short, FIP/xFIP are not a good indication of the relative quality of the 2014 vs. 2015 rotations. The 2015 rotation is considerably better, both because the Twins have better pitchers and because they have better defenders behind those pitchers. Phil Hughes and Kyle Gibson had a lower FIP than ERA in 2014 while everybody else had a higher ERA than FIP (anywhere between a few percentage points to 2+ runs). Advanced metrics can't seem to accurately track pitchers who are so terrible that "luck percentages" don't seem to apply because they don't give up an expected level of medium/hard hit contact. Long story short, 85mph pitching machines seem to "break" advanced metrics and the 2014 Twins had the majority of their starts come from 85mph pitching machines.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Sorry guys, there was a hiccup that set me back a few minutes this morning so the tickets didn't go live until a little after 8am.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    So, yeah. Tyler Duffey.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    9/19. You going to be in town? I'll buy you a beer... and then probably ban you because it's funny.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    That's why I said "likely phoning it in". Cleveland is on a nice run but I suspect they'll be out of it in a week or two with a few more losses. Whether they decide to start playing prospects more is up in the air.
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