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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not sure we should be that worried about Sano's batting average, as it's a very incomplete stat, doubly so for someone on the extremes of batting profiles like Sano. Obviously, hitting .170 is unacceptable but in today's scoring environment, .250 would be nice but isn't necessary for him to be a well above average hitter. Right now, his BA is .183 but his OBP is .315... That's an isoD over .130. If he's walking a lot and climbs back up to the top of the exit velo leaderboard, a .250 batting average would likely turn him into one of the best hitters in the league. But no matter where his batting average lands on the season, if he keeps his strikeout rate at or close to career lows (~35%) and keeps that exit velo up (climbing the board lately but only after a disastrous start to 2021), he'll be a very good hitter. At that point, the batting average will likely move into an acceptable territory but it's not the stat I'd lead with to evaluate his worth as a hitter. Actually, it's near the bottom of stats I'd look at to evaluate him.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Me in the tenth inning:
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins badly need to win this game to make a statement about not being a terrible team. If they’re going to climb back toward .500 (and it’s hard to predict anything better than that this season), they must first start winning series 2-1 against decent teams.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I’m all in favor of robot umps but if an ump is consistent, I’ll take it.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Robles getting some free strikes tonight.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano has been so good the past ten days that both his context neutral stats like wRC+ look good and his clutch stats like WPA are close to neutral (currently -0.2). I don’t know how many times this needs to be said, it seems like a yearly thing with Sano, but you cannot write off a player after 75 plate appearances.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    A nice win but this team needs to stop playing sloppy baseball if they expect to win close games or post a long winning streak. Tonight will be a challenge with Bieber on the mound.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    But a lot of people *didn’t* think he would recover his stats. I saw calls for his DFA a half dozen times in the two weeks leading up to this hot streak.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    As am I, which is why I set the bar so low at “not atrocious” and still questioned if they’d even play a “good” stretch of baseball this season.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno if you watched that game but Giolito was filthy. That was just a dominating performance, it happens (the Twins pitching also performed quite well that day). And no one is winning me over, remember i couched this in “not atrocious”.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    That particular inning had little to do with my opinion other than “the Twins don’t look like garbage tonight”. My point is that the team isn’t creating ways to lose right now. Even their 2-1 loss to Chicago was a relatively solid game, they just happened to lose it. And if this team doesn’t create ways to lose, they’re going to be a solid team at minimum. There’s too much talent for the water level not to rise if they stop sabotaging themselves.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I don’t know if this team will put together a “good” stretch of baseball this season but it feels like we’re past that atrocious stretch.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I just learned not to embed a Twitter profile on the site…
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Leave to put my kids to bed with the score at 4-0. Come back right now…
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    It sure is fun watching Kirilloff hit.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Anyone who expects any player to hit .400 or even close to it in this baseball environment is dreaming.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Is Dobnak pitching well or is he pitching against Cleveland? I can’t tell.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Looking at him kinda gave it away.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    BTW, I was at the game Refsnyder made his Twins debut and had absolutely no idea he’s Asian until like 2-3 days ago. Didn’t see that coming based on the name. I call this the “Khalil Greene effect”.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Hey, that one guy hit a home run.
  21. Brock Beauchamp

    Kirilloff straight into the MN lineup tonight? Didn’t see that coming, thought he’d get reps for SPS.

    1. Seth Stohs

      Seth Stohs

      He played for the Saints the past two nights, and homered in both games. 

    2. Brock Beauchamp

      Brock Beauchamp

      Ah, okay.

      How’d I miss that?

    3. Seth Stohs

      Seth Stohs

      Must just be busy with other stuff... Ha! 

  22. Brock Beauchamp
    wRC+ is context neutral. You’d want WPA (win probability added) for situational performance. wRC+ is basically like OPS+ except a little better because it attempts to properly weight the true value of, say, a double versus a home run in relation to the number of runs each is worth (whereas OPS+ uses raw OBP + SLG numbers, which are good but flawed because each base added is weighted equally).
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a good reminder why we shouldn't call for the immediate release of a player based on well under 100 plate appearances. After a disastrous start to the season, Sano's OPS+ is up to 109 in basically one week of play, which is somewhere around league average first baseman territory. If he continues this tear for even a few more days, he'll be back up to very good hitter territory.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    You forgot the vegemite.
  25. Brock Beauchamp

    Miguel Sano’s wRC+ now at 107, which is closing in on league average first baseman territory. 

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