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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I tend to agree - I'd prefer to see Antony out of the GM chair - but I'm sticking to my opinion that the new POBO gets something approaching a free pass for their first 3-4 months on the job. There's a lot to sort out and a lot to do. I don't expect Antony to be retained but I wouldn't fault the new POBO if they want someone with organizational experience near them as they attempt to restructure.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh sure, I didn't mean to suggest if the POBO kept Antony that it automatically meant the decision was permanent. There are plenty of reasons to keep a guy around while you evaluate your options.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins waited too long to trade him. Typical.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    No good President of Baseball Operations will accept a job and then defer to ownership over how to choose their underlings. If a POBO keeps Antony, it's for one of two reasons: 1. The Twins picked a lousy POBO who can't/won't make their own decisions, which defeats the purpose of a POBO at all 2. The Twins picked a decent POBO and they decided Antony was a good choice to steer the ship
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not a huge AA fan but I believe the Twins could do a hell of a lot worse than him. I'd be generally positive on this hiring.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    The key difference being that there is a five month gap to rest/get healthy/whatever in between seasons. Never mind that actual team wins are accumulated and counted per season. Or that, when using a season of data, I'm not picking and choosing when to start/stop counting to slant an argument. They're not really the same thing at all. One is a natural, logical cutoff and the other is entirely determined by the person making the argument.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree in that I suspect steady performers are more valuable than feast or famine guys. I'm not really arguing with you. I'm just tired of people constantly trotting out random dates to skew an argument, completely ignoring the fact he didn't even play baseball for five months in between those dates. Dozier's struggles early this season were a problem. It impacted wins. His late 2015 struggles were also a problem, as the team was in contention. But I fail to see how the two are connected other than they happened to the same player, a guy who went straight-up MVP style immediately afterward.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Guys who seem to be so streaky that they ebb and flow every half season are naturally going to book end bad/good half seasons from time to time. As Levi has pointed out, he's not comfortable building around a player that streaky and that's fine. But using Dozier's Arbitrary Date 2015-Arbitrary Date 2016 as proof of anything seems disingenuous. Seasons are natural cutoff points. Five years from now, no one is going to remember Dozier's 07/15-05/16 but they'll remember his 2015 and 2016 seasons as complete units (one pretty good, the other outstanding).
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    As a stakeholder in this site who is married to a lawyer, I feel it's my duty to state that if you feel it necessary to show up with a bag on your head, a few guidelines: 1. Paper, not plastic. 2. No tape. Never tape.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not required but it's probably a good idea.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    The design is in the article itself.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    No comments on the shirt? I figured people would either groan or chuckle at the design.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I was a touch more optimistic, hoping Kepler, Buxton, Berrios, & Co would be positive contributors. Only Kepler has met that goal and he's falling off a cliff in real time. I had them at 81-83, I think. Basically, improving enough to make up for the luck of last season, give or take a few games.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    This is how I read the article as well. It's a cautionary tale and a reminder that movement is not synonymous with progress. The trait I most want in a GM is intelligence, not perpetual motion. Sometimes, the hardest decision is the one that requires you to sit on your hands and wait it out.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. I could see this team winning anywhere between 75-85 games depending on how things broke with a few players, especially the young guys. No one reasonable saw this season coming. Waaaaayyyy too many negative contributions up and down the roster.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    "And that's just the American League" is misleading. The AL is stacked with second base talent. The NL is not. Ranked by WAR, the best NL second baseman would be fourth in the AL. The second best NL second baseman would be seventh in the AL.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm really pulling for an Andrew Albers start in this game.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    The Pierzynski/Mauer comp is terrible. Mauer was the consensus #1 prospect in baseball, a nearly flawless prospect at age 21. 2016 Jorge Polanco is not 2004 Joe Mauer.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Given how they're struggling to supply their own needs - for example, the PowerWall is back-ordered like crazy and has been for over a year - I don't believe excess inventory will be a problem for them any time soon. They still have almost 400k of Model 3 preorders to fill as well.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    That's a good question, one I don't know off-hand... But I suspect Tesla put in place safeguards to make sure the Gigafactory doesn't supply batteries to their competition, as the Gigafactory is Tesla's ace card in the electric car business.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Interesting, I hadn't really thought of Panasonic. I suspect the margins will become increasingly thin on batteries but there's a lot of money to be made in that arena. But, given how Panasonic is a pretty massive conglomerate, will the battery business move the needle for them? *shrugs*
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I think Banks is an interesting comparison. 1100 games at short, then another 1200 at first with diminished offensive performance. There's a good chance Mauer ends up with a similar split, though lower numbers all around (currently with 900 games at catcher, should end season close to 400 at first base).
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Mauer is absolutely a better player than Mattingly, if only because he played good defense at the hardest position on the diamond, not the easiest. As for offense, if Mauer was a first basemen from day one, he has hundreds of more PAs at this point in his career. Maybe even 1,000. Maybe even more because of the concussion. Mauer crossed 600 PAs only four times while he was a starting catcher. Mattingly crossed 600 PAs five times through his age 30 season and 700 PAs twice. Add up those 50-70 PAs over a decade and you have nearly one full season that Joe didn't play and not because he was injured, but because he played the hardest position on the field.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Ding ding ding. They were basically the same player. Good average, good discipline, good power, good defense at a non-premium position. Both suffered career ending health issues too early, though Mattingly gets sympathy points for not eating himself out of the game. Mattingly: PA: 7722 Slash: .307 .358 .471 .830 OPS+: 127 rWAR: 42.2 Hrbek: PA: 7137 Slash: .282 .367 .481 .848 OPS+: 128 rWAR: 38.4
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't understand why people are so upset about the Tonkin piece of this article. Whether you believe Tonkin to be a decent middle reliever piece or not, he's playing out of position and that's an all-too-common theme around Twins Territory over the past several seasons. Maybe Tonkin isn't a great example of the problematic thinking behind this franchise but it doesn't really matter because he's one example of many. Put guys into the role where they are most likely to succeed. It's not as if the Twins have such bullpen talent that they can't find room for Tonkin. How many aggravating mediocre vets has this team rolled into close games over the past 4+ seasons? They put Tonkin into long relief because they wanted to put him in long relief, even though he has pitched 2+ innings in less than 10% of his career appearances. All of this points back to Nick's primary point: the Twins do not appear to have a plan. With too great a frequency, it appears they move a player around the diamond or change his role with a "let's see what happens" approach. Miguel Sano, Danny Santana, Trevor May, Michael Tonkin, Alex Meyer. It's a long bloody list. Occasionally, "let's see what happens" is an acceptable approach when you're in a pinch or backed into a corner. It should never, and I repeat never, be the first option. Hell, it shouldn't be the second or third option, either.
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