Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Royals 4, Twins 2: Rocco Baldelli's Ejection Doesn’t Inject Life Into Twins. What Can?


    Tom Froemming

    After falling 4-2 at Kansas City Monday night, the Twins are now 3-7 to start 2025. I should have a more witty way to get this recap started, but sometimes the facts say all you need to say.

    Image courtesy of © William Purnell-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 5 2/3 IP, 8 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 4 BB, 6 K, 1 HER, 107 pitches, 63 strikes (58.9% strikes)
    Home Runs: None
    Bottom 3 WPA: Woods Richardson -.155, Carlos Correa -.132, Christian Vázquez -.099
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs):

    chart.png

    Rocco Tossed
    Rocco Baldelli often presents himself as more corporate than coach, but he’ll stand up for his guys and chew out an ump when the situation calls for it.

    In the bottom of the sixth inning, home plate umpire Nic Lentz called a pitch clock violation on Simeon Woods Richardson. It was on a 3-2 count, so the call resulted in a walk. Prior to the pitch, it looked like there may have been some issues with the PitchCom device between Woods Richardson and catcher Christian Vázquez. Woods Richardson stepped off the rubber, but was not granted a disengagement by the umpire, for whatever reason. That delay cost them some time on the clock, but it seemed clear that the righty still started his delivery with two seconds to spare.

    Like most situations, whether he was right or wrong, the ump stuck to his original call. I’m sure Baldelli knew he had no chance of changing the call, but he couldn’t just let that slide. It was Baldelli’s 17th career ejection but first since 2023. 

    Just Put It In Play (No, Not Like That!)
    Monday continued an odd trend for the Twins lineup, where they put the ball in play but have nothing to show for it. It’s an encouraging shift in organizational approach, but it’s difficult to get too excited about it when the results aren’t there. 

    Twins hitters posted the highest strikeout rate in the league back in 2023 at 26.6%. They managed to slash that all the way down to 21.3% last year, which was one of the lowest 10 K rates across baseball. The Twins entered tonight at 23.2 K% so far in 2025, slightly above league average.

    While contact has not been a major issue this season, production is a different story. The Twins entered tonight ranked 29th in on-base percentage and 27th in slugging. They only struck out five times tonight but that only translated to seven hits and two runs. 

    There were eight balls the Twins hit in excess of a 95 mph exit velocity tonight that resulted in outs. They had five batted balls with an expected batting average over .500 that were outs. These things are bound to happen, but when you’re struggling it’s just more salt in the wound. The league, as a whole, is running a .285 BABIP so far this season, a rough number that could indicate the ball is slightly deader than in the past few campaigns. It's too early to be sure either way on that front, but not too soon to wonder about the efficacy of the Twins' approach.

    Woods Richardson Eclipses 100 Pitches
    The Twins needed some length from their starter tonight. In the early going, it didn’t appear that was going to happen, as Woods Richardson threw 66 pitches over the first three innings.

    To his credit, the junior member of the Twins rotation grinded through 5 2/3 innings. It wasn’t a great start, but he did throw a career-high 107 pitches. Not exactly heroic stuff, but it beats most of what his rotation mates have delivered so far this season. He only eclipsed 100 pitches once in his 28 starts last season.

    It’s early April, not mid-August. Bullpen fatigue shouldn’t be such a topic of focus this early, but here we are. This was only the second time in 10 games that a Twins starting pitcher recorded an out in the sixth inning.

    Ode to the Mop-Up Man
    Pablo López technically leads the Twins in innings pitched with 12, but that’s just because the mop-up role has been a revolving door. If we treat that spot on the pitching staff as one player instead of three, the mop-up man has accounted for 13 innings.

    Randy Dobnak opened the year in the role and provided 5 1/3 innings in his one outing. His reward was being DFA’d. Darren McCaughan took over the role and provided another 5 1/3 innings over three games pitched. He was DFA’d this morning to make room for a fresh arm, Scott Blewett

    Blewett finished off tonight’s game for Woods Richardson, covering the final 2 1/3 innings. He, much like Dobnak and McCaughan, pitched great. That trio of mop-up men have combined to throw 13 innings and have only surrendered two earned runs on eight hits and three walks.

    We salute you, mop-up men. Thank you for your service … but don’t get too comfortable.

    Spring Training Vibes
    To my eye, the level of energy the Twins are bringing into these games feels similar to what you’d typically see in spring training. This feels like a group of guys trying to get work in, going through the motions and trying to remove a winter’s worth of rust. It’s not as if their opponents have been playing with an October intensity, but they’ve consistently flet more awake and alive than the Twins. 

    While it’s true that the baseball season is a marathon, you don’t see many marathon runners walk the first mile and a half.

    It’s not as if the Twins have prioritized rest, either. Sure, Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton have been taken out of a few games early, but both have also started all 10 games for the Twins so far this season. That’s typically a recipe for success, but instead it’s an example where even a piece of good news can be viewed negatively when you’re in a slump. Had Correa and/or Buxton missed time during this poor season-opening stretch, at least we’d have an excuse to point toward.

    Correa and Buxton have stunk so far. They’re going to play better than this, but the question is for how much of the season are they both going to be in the lineup together? Sure, the Twins are missing some other guys, but it feels like they need to maximize the periods in which both Correa and Buxton are on the field together. That’s not happening.

    Postgame Interview

    Bullpen Usage Chart

      THU FRI SAT SUN MON TOT
    Varland 20 0 16 15 0 51
    Blewett 0 15 0 0 31 46
    Alcalá 11 0 23 0 0 34
    Topa 0 0 17 10 0 27
    Durán 0 0 8 13 0 21
    Sands 0 0 11 10 0 21
    Jax 0 0 0 17 0 17
    Coulombe 0 0 0 8 0 8

     

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    Career averages from expected contributors this year
    Miranda .299
    Correa .274
    Lewis .268
    France .262
    Wallner .254
    Martin .253
    Vazquez .252 <-- this is almost unbelievable
    Castro .248
    Buxton .244
    Bader .242
    Larnach .236
    Julien .233
    Jeffers .230
    Lee .221 

    It's a good starting spot for people trying to identify the likelihood a guy hits .250+. 

    1 hour ago, JD-TWINS said:

    Guys that can hit get playing time. (not Kiersey)

    (Kiersey) ”…..he was a pinch runner, & he stole a base…..”. Seems the coaches remembered then?

    I like youth but Kiersey isn’t displacing anyone currently playing…….if he showed he could hit at the MLB level he’d be playing. The coaching staff has been observing his abilities for years. They need offense and IMO, he doesn’t move the needle.

    Julien is an issue and not really much of a contributor to date either. I see Keaschall or Lewis at 1B going forward and Eddie needs to get his hitting together to carve a niche at DH and occasional 2B……….do not see the organization letting him play 1B on any regular basis.

    Keirsey hit in AAA. How do you know he can't hit? You believe social media? Almost nobody can hit in the MLB if they don't get ABs. You are totally disregarding his AAA production before he came up & evaluating him on nothing.  He needs a chance which he hasn't been given. Give him that chance then you can evaluate his hitting.

    "Even so, he's still valuable as a LH CFer to spell Buck against RHPs, a pinch runner or a defensive sub. He was used as a PR, he stole 2B, provided a spark, scored a run, became a defensive OFer & then was forgotten"

    2 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    Keirsey hit in AAA. How do you know he can't hit?...

     

    1 hour ago, DJL44 said:

    He did not. An 850 OPS in AAA is not impressive, especially for a 27-year-old. Good hitters put up an OPS > 1000 in AAA. Alex Kirilloff had an OPS > 1100 in AAA.

    To further quantify Keirsey's hitting prowess by season at the level he played the most...

    2018 = a21 Rookie Ball - .307/.371/.427 wRC+ 111
    2019 = a22 Low A Ball - .137/.245/.161 wRC+ 29 <--- no longer a good prospect
    2020 = DNP
    2021 = a24 High A Ball - .199/.297/.433 wRC+ 96
    2022 = a25 AA Ball - .271/.329/.395 wRC+ 86 <--- no longer a prospect, period.
    2023 = a26 AA Ball - .305/.363/.488 wRC+ 123
    2024 = a27 AAA Ball - .300/.368/476 wRC+ 119

    Now, the whole "he hit at AAA" argument conveniently ignores Keirsey's age 26 results at AAA in 2023.
    2023 = a26 AAA Ball - .264/.375/.364 wRC+ 93 <--- didn't hit well at AAA, even at an advanced age.

    3 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Career averages from expected contributors this year
    Miranda .299
    Correa .274
    Lewis .268
    France .262
    Wallner .254
    Martin .253
    Vazquez .252 <-- this is almost unbelievable
    Castro .248
    Buxton .244
    Bader .242
    Larnach .236
    Julien .233
    Jeffers .230
    Lee .221 

    It's a good starting spot for people trying to identify the likelihood a guy hits .250+. 

    Wallner was hitting .150 or maybe less until 2 games ago - now he’s at .303. It’s not terribly difficult for a bunch of guys to hit their career average or .250 after 20-35 AB’s. If a half dozen guys hit .250-.290 they’ll be OK. 

    55 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

     

    To further quantify Keirsey's hitting prowess by season at the level he played the most...

    2018 = a21 Rookie Ball - .307/.371/.427 wRC+ 111
    2019 = a22 Low A Ball - .137/.245/.161 wRC+ 29 <--- no longer a good prospect
    2020 = DNP
    2021 = a24 High A Ball - .199/.297/.433 wRC+ 96
    2022 = a25 AA Ball - .271/.329/.395 wRC+ 86 <--- no longer a prospect, period.
    2023 = a26 AA Ball - .305/.363/.488 wRC+ 123
    2024 = a27 AAA Ball - .300/.368/476 wRC+ 119

    Now, the whole "he hit at AAA" argument conveniently ignores Keirsey's age 26 results at AAA in 2023.
    2023 = a26 AAA Ball - .264/.375/.364 wRC+ 93 <--- didn't hit well at AAA, even at an advanced age.

    If he could hit he’d be in the line-up! The fans don’t NEED to see a guy perform for the Team to make a sound judgement on his capabilities…….agree with your AAA comments………again, if he were capable the Team would take advantage!

    39 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

     

    To further quantify Keirsey's hitting prowess by season at the level he played the most...

    2018 = a21 Rookie Ball - .307/.371/.427 wRC+ 111
    2019 = a22 Low A Ball - .137/.245/.161 wRC+ 29 <--- no longer a good prospect
    2020 = DNP
    2021 = a24 High A Ball - .199/.297/.433 wRC+ 96
    2022 = a25 AA Ball - .271/.329/.395 wRC+ 86 <--- no longer a prospect, period.
    2023 = a26 AA Ball - .305/.363/.488 wRC+ 123
    2024 = a27 AAA Ball - .300/.368/476 wRC+ 119

    Now, the whole "he hit at AAA" argument conveniently ignores Keirsey's age 26 results at AAA in 2023.
    2023 = a26 AAA Ball - .264/.375/.364 wRC+ 93 <--- didn't hit well at AAA, even at an advanced age.

    His best projection is .250/.310/.375 and his worst is .225/.275/.335. I'd say there's an 70% chance his production is in that range.

    4 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    Keirsey hit in AAA. How do you know he can't hit? You believe social media? Almost nobody can hit in the MLB if they don't get ABs. You are totally disregarding his AAA production before he came up & evaluating him on nothing.  He needs a chance which he hasn't been given. Give him that chance then you can evaluate his hitting.

    "Even so, he's still valuable as a LH CFer to spell Buck against RHPs, a pinch runner or a defensive sub. He was used as a PR, he stole 2B, provided a spark, scored a run, became a defensive OFer & then was forgotten"

    Once Lee or Keaschall or Martin hit well enough they will take his spot on the 26 man roster. Castro will play the OF as needed as others that play IF can contribute.

    Last year I was begging to let Kiersey play in the Show! My real life assumption is that the Team doesn’t think he can hit - if he could he’d be in the line-up. Right? What would be the reasoning to hold a good hitter out of the line-up? Is Rocco trying to get himself fired - is the whole coaching staff trying to get themselves fired?

    The progression for success in the Show isn’t, put guys in the line-up and let’s hope they can break through - that’s an under .500 team  approach in late August/September……can’t be in the mix and experiment at MLB level.

    I DO AGREE that I’d rather see Kiersey or somebody else “with promise” getting AB’s v. Gasper and a couple other fringe guys like France.

    10 hours ago, LambchoP said:

    I know it's only ten games, but I think a message needs to be sent. Give Zebby Paddack's rotation spot and move him to the pen. Demote Gasper and or Julien and call up Keaschal and Martin. Show this team that results are expected and if you're not doing your job, someone else will get a chance to do it. This team has no energy or fire and it shows. No leadership, no direction. Total mess, really sad. Other coaches get the best out of their players. Seems like we get the absolute worst version of our guys. What's the deal with Correa? If he hits like this while costing the team 37 million? Lol?! It's not like you can send him to AAA. IL most likely, but then who plays SS?

    DFA Paddack, I bet he clears waivers

    4 hours ago, JD-TWINS said:

    If he could hit he’d be in the line-up! The fans don’t NEED to see a guy perform for the Team to make a sound judgement on his capabilities…….agree with your AAA comments………again, if he were capable the Team would take advantage!

    I mean... there's no absolute guarantee Keirsey can't hit, just it's very unlikely.

    3 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    His best projection is .250/.310/.375 and his worst is .225/.275/.335. I'd say there's an 70% chance his production is in that range.

    I think the models are mostly aggressive on him. I'd take OOPSY's projection because that's exactly what somebody in front office would be saying at the end of the year if Keirsey gets more than 150 PA.

    Need to have Ryan George do a "whoopsie" pitch meeting for the Twins at the end of the year...




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...