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    Mariners 7, Twins 6: Sonny Gray Boils Down


    Ted Schwerzler

    In his first start after the All-Star Game, Sonny Gray couldn't separate from his previous outing, and despite cruising through four, melted down late. The Minnesota Twins made it interesting in the ninth inning, but wound up a run short.

    Image courtesy of Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

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    Box Score
    Sonny Gray5.2 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 4 BB, 5 K
    Home Runs: Joey Gallo (17), Max Kepler (13)
    Top 3 WPA: Carlos Correa (.128), Edouard Julien (.079), Joey Gallo (.044)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

     

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    The Minnesota Twins traveled up the coast on Monday after sweeping the Oakland Athletics over the weekend. It wasn’t pretty, but a three-game winning streak is nothing to scoff about. Looking to tie their longest positive run since April 11, the fighting Rocco Baldelli’s needed to best Logan Gilbert and the Seattle Mariners.

    After the Twins forced Gilbert to throw 26 pitches during the first inning, Sonny Gray took the mound for the first time since his third all-star appearance. He shut them down on just 11 pitches, punching out two, and both teams were ready to settle in.

    Minnesota and Seattle came into this series as very similar foes. With substantial strikeout issues on both sides, the Twins advantage can be seen in the longball. Byron Buxton found out hitting the ball to dead center against the wind wasn’t going to work tonight, and after Carlos Correa combined with Edouard Julien for a double play in the second inning, Ty France tallied the Mariners third strikeout of the night.

    Correa broke open the scoring during the third inning after watching Michael A. Taylor open with a leadoff double. He went the opposite way down the right field line and traded spots with Minnesota’s centerfielder making it 1-0.

    Byron Buxton continues to look befuddled at the dish. Coming up with first and third, no outs in the third inning, he failed to put the bat on the ball and went down swinging. His struggles have again resulted in a valley, and continuing to bat third hasn’t proven fruitful for Minnesota. Quite the opposite, Alex Kirilloff continues to have great at bats. After a close hit was called foul, he lifted a sacrifice fly scoring Correa and making it a 2-0 game.

    Max Kepler led off the fourth inning with a double aided by his ballet background, but the Twins couldn’t bring him across the plate. Dick Bremer dubbed it, “An adventurous trip to second base,” because of course he did.

    In the fifth inning, Gray decided to bury virtually every breaking ball he threw. France was begging to strike out down 0-2, Mike Ford was hit on the back foot by a bender, and then Jose Caballero drove in Teoscar Hernandez for Seattle’s first run after getting down 0-2. Despite being in command all night, he seemingly forgot how to pitch when getting up for the inning. It took catcher Ryan Jeffers blocking eight pitches in the inning to keep runners from trotting around the bags. Instead, Gray issued a bases loaded walk to Julio Rodriguez and Minnesota’s lead was gone.

    Jarred Kelenic pushed a doinker to left field scoring two runs, and Gray’s nitpicking came back to burn him in a big way. Seattle grabbed a 4-2 lead, and Baldelli’s starter had completely gone off the rails.

    The Twins lineup quickly made two outs against reliever Gabe Speier after Gray’s bad inning, and it looked as though they would make it a quick inning. Instead Joey Gallo went big fly on a 109.2 mph bomb to dead center for 422 feet. The “absolute bomb” as Justin Morneau called it, brought the Twins back within one.

    Gray walked Cal Raleigh to lead off the bottom of the sixth inning, and then allowed him to cross the plate on yet another spiked breaking ball. Command was non-existent on the pitch over his final two innings, and the nibbling was responsible for each of the five runs that Seattle gained against him.

    Minnesota created a threat in the seventh inning after Correa walked, Kirilloff singled, and Solano walked to load the bases. Despite Andres Munoz walking Solano, Max Kepler pounded a first pitch into the ground for a routine out to second base. As well as it came together, the Twins wound up with nothing.

    Oliver Ortega provided the Twins with a couple of nice strikeouts, and was within an out of ending the seventh still down just 5-3, but Eugenio Suarez sent a ball into orbit with Kelenic on. The two-run blast made it a 7-3 game, and Minnesota’s squandered opportunities continued to loom large. The Twins had gone just 2-for-9 with runners in scoring position to this point, and they had already left nine on base.

    The Twins haven’t been able to find a spot for Matt Wallner to make an appearance since his recall, but did with the four-run deficit as a pinch hitter for Taylor. He faced Munoz’s 99 mph heat and went down on three pitches.

    Despite Julien leading off the ninth inning with the Twins needing four runs, Buxton went down on strikes for the third time in the game, and Kirilloff couldn’t reach. Solano singled to reach base in his second straight at-bat, and that brought up Kepler needing to reach for the tying run to have a chance.

    Why not, the German lefty smashed a three-run bomb, making it a 7-6 game and the Mariners brought in closer Paul Sewald to face Jeffers. Forcing Seattle to use their closer in a game they had in hand is a big win for Minnesota during a four-game series, but that was as moral as it got tonight. Jeffers punched out, and that’s how Monday’s tilt ended.

    Notes:
    Edouard Julien has a five-game hitting streak in which he has gone 10-for-15.

    Carlos Correa extended his on-base streak to 14 games.

    Playing third base, the least used position of his season, Donovan Solano made a pair of great fielding plays.

    Byron Buxton is now riding an 0-for-22 streak with a 14/1 K/BB.

    What’s Next? 
    The Minnesota Twins are playing their first four-game series since mid-June when they played the Boston Red Sox. Baldelli’s club is in the Pacific Northwest through Thursday, and they’ll face a handful of good pitching matchups.

    Tuesday 7/18 Bailey Ober vs Bryan Woo (8:40pm)
    Wednesday 7/19 Kenta Maeda vs Luis Castillo (8:40pm)
    Thursday 7/20 Pablo Lopez vs George Kirby (2:40pm)

    Postgame Interviews

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

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    Because the Twins had a bad first half compared to their potential and the weak division, they've essentially used up all of their wiggle room. So no one at this stage deserves the benefit of the doubt to "work things out" on the field of play. This is essentially what they are rolling out every day:

    • A fourth outfielder defensive replacement/specialist in right (Kepler)
    • A 2 true outcomes lower third of the order hitter in left (should be right, but because of Kepler) (Gallo)
    • A DH who can't hit...I mean can't make contact...batting 2-4 in the lineup every night (Buxton)
    • A 4th outfielder defensive specialist starting in centerfield every night (Taylor)

    4/9 of the day to day lineup consistently batting near .200 BA / .300 or below OBP / .700 or below OPS. And when one of them needs a break...Willi Castro plays in the OF who is same or worse.

    You accept that a lineup will have one or maybe two of these kinds of guys somewhat regularly in a lineup in today's game (e.g. Vasquez at catcher), but when your entire outfield + DH...all positions where you should be getting the opposite of this output...

    My argument on the margins can be debated...but generally, this is nuts to be rolling this out every day in the way that it is.

     

    8 hours ago, Twins_Fan_in_NJ said:

    I don't necessarily think Buxton's hurt. I think he's so far inside his head right now and he can't figure it out. If he's looking for Popkins for help, that's not going to do a whole lot.

    I agree. If he's hurt, then this is really bad managing because his output doesn't justify him being out there hurt. Secondly, he just looks absolutely lost. It's nearing a repeat of Sano-level lost. Chases everything. Can't hit fastballs down the middle. Constantly pitch guessing (incorrectly) on third strikes instead of reacting. He has some of the fastest hands in baseball. He should be able to react at an above average rate.

    I feel for him. I love him as a player and a human. I want him to figure it out for his benefit and ours. I won't stop rooting for him. But batting him 2-4 consistently and occupying the DH spot is inane at this stage in the season and given what is at stake.

    On the flip side I do NOT think he should play center (unless that does magically unlock his hitting ability). Save him for the playoff run, then stick him in center for Oct. But make adjustments to the lineup now to get to the playoff run...obviously :)

    12 hours ago, Einheri said:

    Byron, Byron, Bux, please, go on the IL and get yourself healthy.  Twins will need you hitting and not fighting a lingering injury if they reach the post season.

    He’s not hurt (beyond the knee maintenance thing)…confirmed today by Falvey in an interview with Chad Hartman on WCCO radio.

    5 hours ago, David Maro said:

    The question to ask is if Ober or Varland started throwing pitches feet out of the strike zone would Rocco go get them. Jeffers looked more like a hockey goalie than a catcher. At this time Gray looks OK for 50-60 pitches. If the SP keep looking this bad the team is lost. Hopefully Ober does his thing tonight and they win.

    Last outing it was the 2nd inning & then he was fine through the 6th. Just gets waaay too fine and his waste pitches are worthless…….starts the ball 14” off the ground and it travels 56 feet and hits at front of batter’s box. I’d say 1/3 of his pitches were sliders outside & half of those were bounced……over a dozen balls bounced. Can’t routinely get ahead and then throw 2 of next 3 pitches wide in the dirt……there’s no way a hitter is going to offer at a pitch that never sniffs the zone out of his hand!!!

    Then you hang a couple curveballs in the zone and you’re down 2 runs in 10 minutes.

    Last game he walked guys and gave up 5 singles……4 were soft grounders or flares….all in one inning. I think 6 runs in the 2nd - right? At any rate it was as ugly as last night.

    4.35 ERA since May 1. His stuff is too good for that to be the case. Needs to change his approach when ahead with hitters….,can’t just waste 2 pitches in nearly every AB!




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