Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Even the Twins Don't Seem to Know What Matters Most to Max Kepler


    Matthew Trueblood

    He's been a solid contributor over a long tenure in the organization. He's on the doorstep of free agency, but he's already gotten his biggest payday. Tuesday night, he seemed to make a business decision, at a moment that demanded less business and more carefree #want.

    Image courtesy of © Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    There are still managers left in MLB who will throw their players under the bus. Some do it when they sense that it's the only (or simply the most appropriate) way to motivate a player who responds only to certain styles of confrontation or accountability. Some do it when they simply lose composure and can't hold onto their own turbid frustrations any longer. For some, of course, it's a mix of the two.

    The salient fact, here, is that Rocco Baldelli is not that type of old-school. Like the majority of managers coming into the game over the last decade or so, he maintains a code of professionalism that doesn't permit making an example of anyone, or pointing fingers. When he feels it's fair, he will sometimes call out the overall effort or focus of his team, but even that is reserved only for time when he truly feels there's been a collective sag that requires a collective rededication. He doesn't ever lay one of his own players bare for media or fan criticism.

    He came about as close as he ever will, though, in response to a question after Tuesday night's loss about a play on which outfielder Max Kepler should have attempted to score, but stopped at third. The choice probably cost the Twins a run, and it was a bad, bad look.

    The mention of Kepler's lingering knee soreness isn't to be ignored. Kepler is, undoubtedly, playing at a bit less than 100%, something he doesn't do especially well, and it's only fair to account for that issue when evaluating choices or moves he makes on the field. When Baldelli says there was more to a conversation that he'll keep private, though, he's speaking in the code he's gradually developed with Twins media and fans. He was upset with Kepler, and outside the public limelight, he let his player know it.

    Well he should have, too. That was an inexcusable failure of effort, from a player who has shown too strong a tendency toward self-preservation before. It was a tricky play, with the ball behind him in the right-field corner, and given the pace with which it was hit, much about the go/stay decision for a runner depends on the prior positioning of the defense and the cleanness of their collection and relay process. Kepler had to count on Tommy Watkins, his third-base coach, for that, and it looked like Watkins was a bit indecisive. He gave his player the wave, but it did come slightly later than might be typical.

    The problem is clear, when you see Kepler approaching third base as the camera cuts to him: he was breaking it down even as he approached the bag. A right fielder himself, he knows that corner better than anyone else alive, and he knew that Carlos Santana had hit it so hard into the corner that he would get there very quickly most of the time. He made an independent decision not to extend himself and test his knee.

    If he had adequately assessed Atlanta's positioning before the play, though, he would have seen that Jorge Soler was playing well off the line before the pitch. Soler also isn't as fast as even this aged version of Kepler. He does have a strong arm, but he wasn't in a position to use it. Kepler should have scored on the play. If he had kept running, he almost certainly would have been safe. In any scenario in which he was out, the Atlanta defenders would have made such a good play that you just shrug and move on.

    Instead, Kepler seemed to shrink from the potential damage of turning on the afterburners with his knee still balking; the danger of a possible collision at the plate; and the difficulty of changing gears after starting to decelerate a bit. He can see free agency from here, and he didn't want to hit the market as damaged goods. Unfortunately, that's as good an explanation for his willingness to play through this issue (when he's so often gone on the shelf with similar ones) as the fact that his star teammates Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa are already out.

    At this point, Kepler is a marginal contributor. Giving him playing time instead of any of Matt Wallner, Trevor Larnach, or José Miranda feels like a losing proposition for the Twins, though it occasionally happens, just for the maintenance of all four players' health and out of deference to Kepler's veteran status. It's fair for him to want to protect his own health, but he has to have the situational awareness and baseline hustle to be in position to score on a play like that. With one out, stopping at third could have been harmless; the Twins were a bit unlucky not to score for the balance of the inning. That factor might also have been in Kepler's mind; he's generally been a smart player.

    On balance, though, this was an egregious failure of effort, at a juncture of the season when the Twins can't afford it. This is a rough stretch of the schedule, going very badly for the team, and they need to seek out and occasionally force good moments, rather than sit and wait and hope things come round right. It's a stretch that tests what you really want, and how badly.

    Modern baseball analysis leans hard toward the mechanical, the strategic, and the antiseptic. There is, however, still a significant role for emotion, intensity, and desire in the game, especially as August tilts toward September and the stakes of every game steadily rise. Great teams need talent and data-driven feedback, but they also need energy, selflessness, and leadership. Kepler is a deeply respected player, and a tone-setter, even if he's not often a vocal leader. On Tuesday night, his energy and his selflessness--and, by extension, his leadership--was insufficient.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    I didn't see the play live, but I will say that Kepler does not run the bases with aggression. He is conservative to the point where one would think he is a slow runner. Last year at a crucial point, he didn't take second on a supposed double steal and I've seen several times when he is in cruising speed when there would be a chance to take an extra base. 

    That said, Kepler makes few overt mistakes on the bases. I don't know if it is a function of trying to avoid injury or if he is just wired that way. 

    2 hours ago, stringer bell said:

    I didn't see the play live, but I will say that Kepler does not run the bases with aggression. He is conservative to the point where one would think he is a slow runner. Last year at a crucial point, he didn't take second on a supposed double steal and I've seen several times when he is in cruising speed when there would be a chance to take an extra base. 

    That said, Kepler makes few overt mistakes on the bases. I don't know if it is a function of trying to avoid injury or if he is just wired that way. 

    As nobody here knows the extent of the knee injury or the pain he plays in, this is a valid question.  Lot's of discussion in previous months about Buxton only going 90% to avoid risk of injury, it could easily be that Kepler basically fine with a few exceptions (like putting on the brakes then trying to kick into gear again).

    That being said, Watkins should know the status of Kepler's base running,  This is 100% Watkins.  His inability to make the right decision on sending runners has been atrocious for years.

    On 8/28/2024 at 12:21 PM, chpettit19 said:

    I haven't seen an overhead shot that shows Watkins so it's hard to tell what happened. Listening to the broadcast clip it sounds like Watkins waived him late. If Rocco is upset with Kepler it would seem the vast majority of the blame should be pointed at him. But I'd like to hear why Watkins was so late waiving him. From the clip it looks like Kepler is at 3B before/as Soler is picking the ball up at the wall. That should've been an easy waive from the start.

    I don't like questioning player's character, effort, etc. I don't know them. There was a poster on yesterday who was upset with Lewis because he smiles on the field too much. People used to always get on Mauer because he didn't react as outward emotionally as they wanted. Claimed it meant he didn't care. I think those are outlandish takes. Somebody not reacting the way you would doesn't mean they aren't as competitive, don't care as much, or aren't effected. But if Rocco is throwing veiled jabs at Kepler I'd think it's fair to assume this situation involved more than his knee or a late Watkins waive. Not a good look for Kepler. I don't know if it's about free agency as the article suggests, but not a good look no matter what the real problem is.

    I pointed out this base running gaffe the day following - others immediately protected Kepler and pointed to Watkins. There was a replay from Press Box angle shown immediately after the play and Provus even commented on Kepler’s approach - he turned his head and nearly stopped going around 2B and then cruised to 3B. The Camera picks up Kepler 35 feet or so from 3B getting conflicting signs from Watkins. IF HE HAD HUSTLED THROUGH 2B and picked up his coach instead of taking some wandering approach, he would have scored easily and there would have been zero issues with Watkins.

    Watkins certainly deserves criticism after sending Margot, after a terrible jump from 2B, with no outs the very next night. I don’t think he deserves any criticism at all for the Kepler play.

    In both cases Kepler and Margot anticipated being held and started slowing. The runner has one job in these situations- run as hard as you can and pick up the third base coach for a sign. Neither runner executed properly. Now both decisions by Watkins were horrible and he certainly has a checkered past in this area but in both cases nobody did their job. Which is not surprising- the Twins are not good at basic fundamental parts of the game. 




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...