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    Chris Paddack Leaves After Comebacker and Four Other Things That Might Matter


    John  Bonnes

    In a 9-8 win over the Red Sox at Hammond Stadium, the Twins survived a scare, saw some great defense, and a couple hitters continue to show off their bats. 

    Image courtesy of © Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

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    Twins starting pitcher Chris Paddack left Saturday’s game after a comebacker glanced off the tip of his glove and hit him in the head. Statcast measured the exit velocity of the ball as 97.6 mph. The Twins reported that Paddack suffered a head contusion but did not suffer a concussion. It was the second time a comebacker had hit Paddack in the same inning. Three batters earlier, he had taken a ball off of his tricep but remained in the game. 

    “I think he's going to be okay,” Twins manager Rocco Baldelli said after the game. “The ball deflected off of his glove, the webbing of his glove, and probably kind of lessened the impact, who knows how much. He seems like himself."

    Prior to the event, Paddack had been cruising. He sailed through the first two innings on 18 pitches. His fastball was sitting in the 93-95 mph range and generated four swings and misses in the 27 pitches he threw, which included 22 strikes and two strikeouts over 2 ⅓ innings.

    Luke Keaschall Is Taking Advantage of Camp
    Just by looking at lineups, one can get a feel for which players are getting some extra attention. For instance, eight of the players in Saturday’s Twins lineup are either projected to make the team or at least be in the mix. That makes the ninth player stand out a bit. 

    That ninth player was Twins Daily’s #3 Twins prospect, Luke Keaschall, who started at designated hitter. On Friday, he had a similar honor, batting as a designated hitter in a similarly loaded road lineup that included Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, and Jose Miranda. On Saturday, he acknowledged the honor with a 413-foot blast to left field for his first spring training home run. 

    And after the game, Baldelli acknowledged that Keaschall had earned those opportunities. “He's having really good at-bats. He plays hard. He's fulfilling his end of his responsibilities being in major league camp as a young player. He's doing a great job. So yeah, if he was overwhelmed with the experience, I probably wouldn't be wedging him on in there.”

    Keaschall normally plays in the infield and is only playing designated hitter right now because he’s coming back from Tommy John surgery. He delayed that surgery for most of last season, but it didn’t slow him down; Keaschall hit .303 with a 903 OPS between High A and Double A. He underwent surgery in August so he could be back in time for the full 2025 season. If this year follows last year’s (and this spring’s) script, this won’t be the last time he finds himself in a lineup full of Minnesota Twins. 

    Jhoan Duran Looks Like Jhoan Duran
    Jhoan Duran pitched the fourth inning in Saturday’s game, needing only seven pitches to mow down the Red Sox in a scoreless inning. But those seven pitches included two that cracked the 100 mph barrier, the first time we’ve seen that from Duran this spring. Those seven pitches also included a three-pitch strikeout of Red Sox first baseman Nick Sogard. Finally, it gave him the lead (relievers category) in the Twins’ pitching staff’s new “Fewest Pitches in an Inning Contest” this week, though the week goes through Monday.

    Buxton Steals Bases and Hearts, But With His Glove
    In the third inning, Rod Sox outfielder Jarren Duran hit a ball 386 feet to the warning track in right-center field. But Byron Buxton chased it down, gliding into the wall shortly after the catch. He made the catch look so routine, it feels a little silly to mention it, except that there was nothing routine about stealing that extra-base hit. In fact, it was how routine he made it look that is the remarkable part. 

    So, of course, he did it again. Three innings later, Buxton turned and sprinted down a similarly impressive 401-foot, 102-mph liner to deep center field. The victim? Poor Jarren Duran again. 

    Baldelli admitted after the game that, as a former center fielder, he appreciates watching Buxton, but thinks Buck has an even bigger admirer on the team, and one with a Gold Glove. “I think Harrison Bader in right field might have enjoyed it more than anyone else,” he said. “When one of the best defenders in baseball is also your biggest hype man, that's pretty cool.”

    We May Need To Get Ty France a “Wonderboy” Bat
    Repeat after me: spring training stats don’t mean a damn thing. Spring training stats don’t mean a damn thing. Spring training stats don’t mean a damn thing. OK. Good exercise. 

    Now let’s all get irrationally excited about new Twins first baseman Ty France’s spring training stats. France added a double and home run to his already gaudy stats in Saturday’s 9-8 win over the Red Sox. To put it mildly, France has made a good first impression, going 11-20 (.550 batting average) with two home runs and a 1641 OPS. Basically, he’s been Roy Hobbs. 

    Also like Hobbs, this is a little hard to believe. France is a 30-year-old who the Twins signed one week before spring training for $1M. Last year, he was designated for assignment in July. That was the result of a two-year slide, and the first led to the second. “I shouldn't have, but I panicked a little because I wasn't used to that kind of production,” France said about the first of those two years. “So I was like, ‘Okay, how can I get back to being my old self, or putting up those numbers again’ and kind of got lost.” He started overthinking everything and thinks that, along with some injuries, turned the one down year into two down years. 

    France emphasized that this year he’s just trying to keep things simple, quit worrying about mechanics so much, and get back to enjoying the game. That is all working right now. For a player who was unemployed a month ago, it’s the kind of (fresh) start that France needed.

    Now, once again, repeat after me…


    Are we being too rational about France's start, or not rational enough? Let us know in the comments. 

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    1 hour ago, bean5302 said:

    I didn't split. I just chose the seasons where he was a starting pitcher for the last 4 years (flip flopped 2022/2023). He's not remotely the same pitcher he was in 2019.

    The point is the expectation a pitcher who hasn't gotten good results as a starter in years and years is still a guy who is looked at as a rotation lock.

    Well, starting pitching ERA is what we should use to judge a starting pitcher. Besides, it was 4.03 as recently as 2022.

    ST stats are a mixed bag (except pretty much wins and losses, which are meaningless given all the late inning substitutions). For vets with locked roster spots like Correa, you just want to see them "getting their work in" professionally with good health. For fringe players (like France), or those on the outside trying to catch big league eyes (like Keaschall), they do matter; it is how you win jobs (like Castro a few years ago), how you get future looks, or how you can lose both.

    The next few weeks are more important than the past few as teams trim extra players, and the remaining group hones in on the regular season, but...

    France is here on a glorified tryout/showcase, and with his future on the line, he is cashing in (with not just the Twins noticing). Pretty sure he's hit his way onto the team despite Julien showing signs of hitting life, and if minor leaguers are pushing by May/June, France could be a great trade chip.

    No way I want Keaschall starting the year with the Twins at DH. He needs time to work back into his field defense after TJ surgery, and should do that playing every day in St Paul until all facets are MLB-ready. If France makes the team, they essentially rotate him, Miranda, Lewis, Correa, Larnach, and Wallner through DH, which is plenty of pop, and gives some players who could use it, semi-days off.

    It comes down to this.

    If you want to ignore Paddack's struggles over the past 4 years and pretend he's the same prospect pitcher he was 2 TJ's and 6 years ago, there's good reason to be optimistic.

    If you value Paddack's actual results and performance based on the last several years, there isn't a good reason to lock him into the rotation right now.

    I don’t know if Paddack is healthy or the ceiling of the healthy Paddack. I do see that his velocity this spring seems to be in line with the velocity over his career including his healthy 2019 season.

    I wouldn’t lock him into the rotation but I would trust the evaluation of the staff if they choose to start with him in the rotation. Last year Varland was removed after 4 ineffective starts. A similar four starts from Paddack and they need to look for another option. This is their last year of control. He needs to perform.




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