Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    A Way-Too-Early Minnesota Twins 2026 Opening Roster Projection

    The Minnesota Twins' 2025 season is (thankfully) all but over. Let's speculate on what the 2026 Opening Day group could look like!

    Cody Schoenmann
    Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    After plummeting from AL Central division title contenders in mid-May to sporting the league's second-worst record with one week left in the season, your Minnesota Twins' 2025 campaign can be summarized in one word: Disheartening. Witnessing franchise cornerstones like Carlos Correa and Jhoan Durán depart from the organization, while learning of the Pohlad family's intention to continue owning and operating the organization for the foreseeable future, those who closely follow the club would be justified in resigning from being emotionally invested in an organization that doesn't have their best interest in mind.

    Perhaps the Twins are unlikely to contend for the AL Central crown or an AL Wild Card spot in a serious manner next season. That doesn't mean the club won't be competitive or fun to watch. With the front office operating under significant spending restrictions, the 2026 Opening Day roster likely won't look much different from the current configuration. However, some notable changes may occur between now and next March. What could they be? Let's take a look:

    Catchers (2): Ryan Jeffers, Jhonny Pereda
    Entering the final week of the three-year, $30-million contract he signed with Minnesota in December 2022, veteran catcher Christian Vázquez is expected to go elsewhere this offseason, leaving a significant hole behind fellow backstop Ryan Jeffers.

    Since earning a promotion from Triple-A St. Paul on Sept. 5 following Jeffers sustaining a concussion, 29-year-old Jhonny Pereda has impressed in the field and at the plate, sporting a 143 wRC+ over 32 plate appearances while being a significantly better defensive catcher than fellow fill-in Mickey Gasper. Pereda has the upper hand on Gasper heading into next season, and given that team decision-makers are unlikely to spend their limited resources on the position during the offseason, Pereda could succeed Vázquez.

    Entering his final season under contract with Minnesota, Jeffers is one of the organization's few reasonable extension candidates. The club could reasonably lock up the 28-year-old backstop on a deal not much different than the one Vázquez is just completing. Jeffers is one of the AL's best-hitting catchers, and will generate significant interest from contending teams this offseason. Still, Minnesota would be wise to hold onto the former second-round pick—and lock him up beyond 2026.

    Infielders (5): Kody Clemens, Luke Keaschall, Royce Lewis, Brooks Lee, Rhys Hoskins
    As noted earlier, next season's team will closely resemble this year's, and this trend will be most noticeable in the infield. There is a strong chance Minnesota enters next season with Kody Clemens at first base (at least against righties), Luke Keaschall at second base, Royce Lewis at third base and Brooks Lee returning as the primary shortstop.

    Keaschall and Lewis appear set to patrol their respective positions for the foreseeable future. Despite struggling his first two seasons in the majors, Lee has the inside track on the shortstop job, too. If he struggles, top prospect Kaelen Culpepper could quickly usurp him, with Lee returning to an infield utility role or earning a demotion to Triple-A.

    I believe Twins decision-makers will use their limited spending resources at first base, signing former Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers slugger Rhys Hoskins to a one-year contract in the $7-9 million range. Battling through significant injuries with Milwaukee this season, Hoskins has effectively lost the starting job to Andrew Vaughn. That being the case, the 32-year-old is a virtual lock to depart from Milwaukee when he hits free agency this fall, making Minnesota a reasonable destination.

    Now, signing Hoskins doesn't mean he is guaranteed to stay with the club for the entirety of next season, especially if the Twins are out of contention come the trade deadline. As a righty with big power in his bat, though, he's a compelling fit for the roster.

    Outfielders (6): Austin Martin, Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner, Walker Jenkins, Alan Roden, James Outman
    Next March's primary outfield configuration could include present-day contributors like Martin, Buxton, Wallner, and Trevor Larnach. Here, though, I predict that team decision-makers will non-tender Larnach this winter.

    Larnach's departure could open the door for 2023 fifth-overall selection and top Twins prospect Jenkins to make his first Opening Day roster at 21 years old, given a strong performance during Spring Training. Minnesota is entering a new era, and if there is one thing that could light a spark under the most disillusioned fanbase in baseball, rewarding Jenkins with an Opening Day roster spot is it. Will he be a star out of the gate? Those who follow the team shouldn't be frustrated if he isn't. That said, his success is the most consequential variable in Minnesota's ability to return to contender status in the near future.

    Jenkins could primarily play right field, with Wallner being the designated hitter against right-handed starting pitchers. The star prospect could also play some center field, alongside Byron Buxton and James Outman, with eyes toward succeeding the former at the position long-term. Alan Roden and Austin Martin could platoon in left field.

    Starting Rotation (5): Pablo López, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, Simeon Woods Richardson, Taj Bradley
    Assuming the front office elects not to trade López or Ryan, Minnesota's starting rotation would be the club's strongest unit entering next season, possessing the potential of being one of the AL's most formidable units. Their success will heavily rely on López, Ryan, and Ober being able to return to performing like they did in 2023 and 2024. Still, given a full offseason of rest, there is reason to believe the three veteran arms could return to frontline status.

    Given his strong performance in September, Woods Richardson has the inside track on fellow young arms Zebby MatthewsMick Abel and David Festa in earning one of the two final rotation spots entering next season. Despite possessing a lackluster 7.82 ERA and 5.08 FIP since joining Minnesota, Bradley has demonstrated flashes of blossoming into the hard-throwing mid-rotation arm many pundits believed he would become with Tampa Bay. That being the case, there is reason to believe the 24-year-old also has an inside edge on Matthews, Abel, and Festa for one of the last rotation spots, meaning the trio will likely begin next season in St. Paul as the club's starting pitching reinforcements.

    Bullpen (8): Cole Sands, Kody Funderburk, Travis Adams, Pierson Ohl, Cody Laweryson, Marco Raya, Connor Prielipp, Andrew Morris
    Despite being the weakest unit on the roster, I don't think this group will draw much of the team's attention this winter. The club could bring back Justin Topa on a $2-million team option. Yet, given his struggles and ownership becoming even more parsimonious, I don't expect that.

    Sans Topa, six spots could be open for competition next Spring Training, leading to one of the more wide-ranging positional battles in recent Twins history. Adams and Ohl (who worked in stretch roles this season) are strong candidates to transition into short relief roles. Laweryson has impressed in a small sample this September, giving him an inside track on a mid-leverage relief role heading into 2026. However, the final three spots are completely wide open.

    I expect team decision-makers to prioritize high-volatility young relievers who could blossom into the club's next crop of high-leverage arms. Marco Raya, Connor Prielipp and Andrew Morris have all had success at the Triple-A level this season, but each has warts that make them unlikely to thrive as big-league starters any time soon. A quick conversion could be best for both the team and their careers.

    Prielipp and Raya possess the potential of becoming Minnesota's next primary closer. Abel and Bradley could also figure into the high-leverage reliever mix, if they continue to struggle as starting pitchers in 2026. Regardless, Minnesota's bullpen configuration is nearly a complete unknown, with a significant number of young, high-upside arms possessing the opportunity to capitalize on extended opportunities in Spring Training. In that way, the pen is a microcosm of the whole roster, present and future.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    Josh Naylor will cost somebody $80-100M over 4-5 years. The Twins are not going there.

    There will be some potential for 4-7 trades this offseason. The roster churn will continue. The current roster is a surefire 100 loss outfit. The late July purge will continue rendering most of the guesses from this article and the comments far off.

    We should take another look in a couple of months.

    Until then, I hope everyone is enjoying watching the current Twins and finding a little time to follow the last week of regular season games across baseball.

    17 hours ago, DocBauer said:

    Totally get where you are coming from. And at some point, a signing like we're speaking about doesn't make sense. But considering how low the Twins payroll projects to be once Larnach is presumably moved out...$90M...and factoring in the minority cash flow to eliminate debt, the Twins have room to add to the payroll and still end up less than the approximate $140M that the BEGAN 2025 with.

    Again, you logic makes sense but if I am the owner, I have been hearing the same stuff for the last few years. 

    5.25 for Santana, 10 plus for Farmer, 6 for Margot, 4 for DeSclafani, How many tens of millions on CC, how much on Donaldson, 3.5 for Bader, 11 for Gallo. 

    If I am the owner I fire this FO and would be willing to do what you say, but if I don't fire, I am done with spending money.

    Here is my concern: our current lineup is deficient in scoring runs, fielding and team speed. Adding Josh Naylor doesnt fix this mess. The lineup needs better production from every position except catcher and CF (second base if Keaschall is for real). Some of this could come through guys like Lewis playing better but that is what they counted on this year and we can see how that worked out. Realistically this is a 2-3 year fix and that is assuming Jenkins et al pan out. I think the FO knows this and is why they were comfortable blowing up the pen, and why Ryan and López shouldn’t be buying lake homes. 

    20 hours ago, TwinsDr2021 said:

    If the Twins are actually going to try next year, why in the world would 28 year old McCusker be part of that team (His speed and defense, lol)? He played the whole season as a 27 year old in AAA with a .795  which was 10th on the St. Paul team with players with more than 128 at bats. (lower than Gasper,  Julien, Bride, GG (who is 21),  Erod (who is 22) , Fitzgerald, Fedko, Martin and Cardenas) and a whole .24 higher than Keirsey, and less than Roden had in AAA for Toronto (.918)

    I wish him the best of luck but I sure as heck hope it isn't in a Twins uniform. Same with Outman and Roden. 

    Any at bat they would get would be taking at bats away from a REAL prospect that needs those at bats. 

    The Twins generally keep 5 outfielders on the active roster and the locks seem to be Martin, Buxton, Wallner or Larnach, which leaves 2 spots, one should go to a rookie and the other should go to a defender/speed player. 

     

    Austin Martin is the speed guy and Rhodes or Outman with McCusker as option 3 for the last spot.  Or if Larnarch or Wallner get moved to DH or 1B then 2 of those 3 start the season.  I think. Walker and ERod and Gonzales are up pretty quickly and Martin could get moved to backup…..

    13 hours ago, beckmt said:

    Saw tonight that Festa should be ready for spring training.  Do not know if this makes a difference, but if healthy would give him a good chance of being on the roster.  

    Does Fitz play SS, that may be the short term solution.  Don't see the Twins spending any major money this winter.  Expect Ryan to be traded, since he does not seem to want to be here.  Rest will sort itself out next season, as we need to get most of these hitters to 1000 mlb plate appearances and  see what we have. Outside of a reclamation project or two, don't see signing any bullpen help.  They will just see what they have.  

    Fitzgerald has been primarily a shortstop in his career with over 380 games played, He has also played over 100 games at third and second base plus some outfield time. I think he would be a good utility player for the team. The word from ownership that has come out about what they are doing this winter or next year seems too be non existent. No body on the team knows what they doing, the front office does know, and ownership hasn't committed to anything. Heck maybe they are going to sell washers and dryers.

    The article is Opening Day roster - there will be no Culpepper, Jenkins, Emma or Gonzales for at least a few weeks to manage team control. Keaschall did not get brought up until April 18 and that took an injury to Castro to make it happen. I also do not see any FA signings on the horizon based on the looming lockout in '27, though some 1 year contracts for lower-level MLB players could happen.

    I would like to see the team keep all 3 of Lopez, Ryan, and Ober because it's too early to tell what the team's coaches/system can get out of Abel and Bradley and because it doesn't look like Matthews or Festa are MLB SP, time to move them to the BP like the team did with Jax, Duran. and Varland, amongst others.

    Rotation (5): Lopez, Ryan & Ober. 2 of SWR, Abel, Bradley, Matthews and Festa. 

    Bullpen (8): 3 of SWR, Abel, Bradley, Matthews and Festa. 5 of Fundeburk, Topa, Sands, Tonkin, Lawyerson, Ohl, Raya, Prielipp, Morris and any other MiLB pitcher I may have missed.

     

    Catchers (2): Jeffers & Pereda

    Infielders (6): Keaschall, Lewis, Lee, Clemens, Julien, Fitzgerald

    Outfielders (5): Buxton, Martin, Wallner, Roden, Larnach 

    Pereda over Gasper for back up C, I can't imagine any metric would suggest Gasper is better, and he missed too many sweepers and pitches in the dirt.

    Wallner should be given a 1B glove the minute he starts his off-season rehab work - it's the only way he sticks with the club given the mass importation of OF coming over the next 2 seasons.

    Larnach - see Wallner, but about 2 weeks earlier as he is not currently injured.

    McCusker - see Wallner & Larnach. The team needs a RH bat with power potential.

    Julien is making a push to be a part of this team next year, but his skill set is redundant and very replaceable with internal options, though it looks like I had a hard time finding one.

    The position players pool does not inspire a lot confidence, but promotions of the top prospects sometime around 2 or 3 weeks into the season should pay off going forward.




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...