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Fangraphs is out with their top 50 free agents today.  They also have crowdsourced projections on their free agent tracker now.  I think their contract projections have generally been pretty good in recent years.

A lot of their projections feel out of the Twins range now with the new payroll constraints we've recently learned.  I think their could be potential fits for starting pitchers in the 2-3 year and $20-$50 MM total value range.  These pitchers are: Wacha, Giolito, Lugo, Clevinger, Maeda, Manaea.

Personally I like Lugo the best out of that group.  Fastballs play well, isn't a huge flyball/HR guy, and even with the age maybe there is some room for improvement as a starter if he can get better with the changeup to lefties rather than relying so much on the curveball.  He's projected at $13 MM AAV, though Ben Clemens projected 3 years vs the crowd's 2 years.

I'd have some interest in Wacha too. I don't really see a great case for a Giolito bounceback so I'd be out on him.  Maeda and Manaea would be fine to stabilize the back end of the rotation, but probably wouldn't have huge upside.

Where else are there potential fits?

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