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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    They are estimating that the arbitration eligible players will get over $36 mil. That seems WAY high. Even if Gibson is back, I figure he and Escobar at about $10 mil combined at MOST. Pressly may not be back. If he is, I’d speculate under $ 2 mil. Same with Giminez, but I would guess maybe $1.25 mil for him. If Recker is on the MLB roster, Giminez won’t be. Adrianza maybe $1 mil, $1.25 tops. May would be lucky to get $800 K. Grossman might cash in a little, but even he I don’t see higher than $1.5 mil. Tonkin will not be tendered. So, what B-R calculates at $36 mil, I figure $ 17 mil. And that’s if Gibson, Pressly and Giminez are ALL back. I don’t know where they are getting their arbitration figures, but they are way out of whack IMO.
  2. yarnivek1972
    Failure: The Twins were 12-26 against the other four American League teams that finished above .500. So, the Twins were either the best of the rest or the worst of the best.
  3. yarnivek1972
    Aren’t Dusty Baker and Terry Collins still managing somewhere? Those guys are both way older than Molitor. I think there’s one more. Bochy maybe?
  4. yarnivek1972
    Point of order: Phil Hughes is signed for $13.2 mil in 2019 as well.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Nothing stops them from making a change early next season if the results aren’t where Falvine believes they should be.
  6. yarnivek1972
    I think the greater concern is third base. Eduardo Escobar had a great second half. Expecting anything anywhere close to that again would be shortsighted and foolish. There’s a reason why he’s a career utility man.
  7. yarnivek1972
    I don’t know why people are listing Belisle. Do people think he’ll be back? He’s UFA.
  8. yarnivek1972
    I think Pressly is a good candidate for progression, especially if the Twins replace the pitching coach, which is extremely likely IMO. He had a very good second half. Hildenberger is a candidate to regress. The league has seen him and will adjust. It’s be well documented that most of his success is due to an unusual delivery rather than stuff. Doesn’t mean he can’t still carve out a career. Pat Neshek is still pitching. But Hildenberger will need to continue to make adjustments.
  9. yarnivek1972
    Yes. But a team can’t draft an entire pitching staff and have them ready to perform at the MLB level in 2 years.
  10. yarnivek1972
    I’ve said this before in another thread, but it is worth repeating. Falvey is in charge. He deserves to have a guy of his choosing in the dugout. That’s the bottom line IMO. The decision is less about Molitor and more about Falvey,I think.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Then why was he allowed to play on it? Seems likely that doing so would cause more damage. Kinda curious to hear what those who were defending the Twins medical staff has to say now. IMO, they have a lousy track record compared to other teams.
  12. yarnivek1972
    After two homeruns and a double? Yeah, I think any manager takes the starter out in the playoffs in that situation.
  13. yarnivek1972
    I don’t know that was the case, unless something was said. Adrianza pinch hit for Castro. But since he’s the back up at 3b, ss and 2b, he had to remain in the game somewhere.
  14. yarnivek1972
    And have who instead? A 12th pitcher?
  15. yarnivek1972
    I guess if I were Falvey I wouldn’t have taken the job without assurances of a commitment to spend. 2016 revenue was roughly $250 mil. Attendance was up about 100,000. A good rule of thumb for max payroll is 50% of revenue. Indeed, the year payroll was at $113 mil, revenue was about $220 mil. Payroll hasn’t kept up with revenue because there was little reason to spend on a rebuilding team. So, no, I don’t think $125 mil is an unrealistically high “cap”. As I said, I think the Pohlads would consider that going all in. Are they ready to do that? We’ll see I guess. But, unless they intend to resign Mauer after 2018, I could see the Twins going “all in” in 2018.
  16. yarnivek1972
    The only way the Twins are going to attract a free agent pitcher is by overpaying. That’s what you have to do when your organization doesn’t draft or develop it’s homegrown talent.
  17. yarnivek1972
    Well, that’s a typical month from Rosario. So...
  18. yarnivek1972
    What do people think the payroll will be in 2018? It was around $108 mil in 2017. Mauer, Hughes, Santana, Dozier and Castro is roughly $68 mil. My personal guess is that a max figure is $125 mil. I would consider that going “all in” from the Pohlad’s perspective. As always, it will be key to get bang for the buck.
  19. yarnivek1972
    Well, you never want to hurt a guy. And if Granite steps on his foot, he could just as easily turn his own ankle. But, yes. It does rank up there in Fred Merkle territory.
  20. yarnivek1972
    Anyone think that Mejia might be a guy that is dangled? Seems to me he would be exactly the kind of guy other teams want. Young, some positive MLB exposure, controllable, upside. I am not sure what I would want or what other teams might offer for a Mejia led package. Not even sure what comes back is going to be enough to make trading other pieces worth it. What is the consensus on Mejia’s upside? Is he realistically a future #2? He was almost dead on league average this year, which kinda by definition makes him a 3, 4 at worst. Just throwing it out there.
  21. yarnivek1972
    Yes, I have. Average MLB salary is $4 mil. He’s making over $8 mil. Is that not double? As I said, it seems to me that a guy who is literally a roughly league average all around catcher (1.6 fWAR) should be making closer to average salary. He’s making $2 to $3 mil per year more than he should be IMO. Is it “my money”? No. So, why does it matter? Because it’s $2 to $3 mil the Twins won’t spend to upgrade pitching. Similarly, some advocate eating Hughes’ contract. That’s fine. But it is still an expense that has to be paid. Eating that contract won’t make that $13 mil available to help improve the team. When we, as fans, are contemplating roster decisions, it needs to be remembered. The 2018 payroll $ is probably already set. My personal speculation is a max of $125 mil based on 2016 revenue being $250 mil. I expect that 2017 won’t be much different. Attendance was only up about 100,000 people for the entire season.
  22. yarnivek1972
    So, if I am understanding the skinny regarding Burdi correctly, he has to be on an active MLB roster for at least 90 days or be offered back. In that case, I think he’s a definite no add. He would have to be pitching at the MLB level by early July. And even then not have a setback after that. No way that happens IMO.
  23. yarnivek1972
    I figured it was here somewhere. Interesting info to say the least.
  24. yarnivek1972
    If someone out there knows what minor leaguers will need to be added to the 40 man this offseason or exposed to rule 5, that would be helpful info to have. I know the list is pretty long. And it is a foregone conclusion that the Twins will probably lose at least one guy with considerable upside. That is definitely part of the decision making process this offseason. Perhaps the list is already here somewhere?
  25. yarnivek1972
    I don’t see the players in the minors that are going to fetch controllable, quality starting pitchers. The Twins would probably need to trade 3 of their top 10 guys to get a league average starter. I’m not sure they can afford to do that. This franchise is always going to be primarily built on “homegrown” talent. Start trading 3 to get 1 and pretty soon you are left with nothing.
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