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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I'd like to see a skilled technition like Parker break down his swing to see if it has changed recently, because most of the numbers just don't add up. His K% is below his career norm so he's putting the ball in play enough. His BABIP is high but it has greatly fluctuated in his career to the point where I don't know that any correlations can be made. His FB% is just 1% below his career average as is his GB%. Both the career and season FB% and GB% are nearly identical numbers. The biggest number that sticks out is his terrible HR/FB%. It is at 3% down from his career average of 13%. Bad luck? The high RF fence? I don't know if those contribute. With my extremely untrained analysis, I also notice one other thing that sticks out slightly. The last three years (post concussion) Morneau has been swinging at more pitches out of the zone, 37% this year compared to 31% for his career though previous to 2011, that number was never higher than 31.1%. In 2011 and 2012, this may have contributed to his poor hitting however this year his contact percentage on pitches outside the zone is at a career high of 73%. So he's hitting more balls outside the zone and his .331 BABIP indicates he is likely putting a higher percentage of these in play. Of course balls hit outside the zone generally do not lead to many HR. Unless you are Vladamir Guerrero.
  2. nicksaviking
    That goes to show that some of us that are critical of the coaching staff or the front office don't see everything only in black and white. We don't blindly critique. There are plenty of us here who have dogpiled in the past but know this isn't an issue to take umbrage with. Though the idea of the Twins drafting and developing a team of androids does have me intregued.
  3. nicksaviking
    How do you actually go about comparing a pitcher to an offensive player? They have zero relevant skill sets in common.
  4. nicksaviking
    I'm sure he'll be just fine but it's still a bummer about Baxendale though we probably shouldn't be surprised. We all like to talk about how well Sano, Rosario and now Vargas are doing in the Florida State League and we often mention they are putting up these numbers despite playing in a pitchers league. On the opposite end of the spectrum, we never really qualified Baxendale's success with that caveat. Though as I said, I'm sure he'll be fine.
  5. nicksaviking
    I still have a hard time buying the Moran talk. A likely 1B with little power potential is nowhere near the top of my wish list. Perhaps all the Moran steam is simply a negotiating tactic with Gray. If KLaw has Gray dropping that far (no way past the Twins!) perhaps he and Boras would be more reasonable in their demands.
  6. nicksaviking
    Or they could grow some stones and make a decision on Plouffe instead of waiting him out five days and playing with 24 players. It's not like the question is to DL Mauer or Willingham, I like Plouffe but his production is not that much greater than his replacements. Besides, it's a calf injury for an infielder. When do those not require rest?
  7. nicksaviking
    Jeremy's list of recent HS righties drafted top 5: Dylan Bundy, Baltimore, 4th overall, 2011 Jameson Taillon, Pittsburgh, 2nd overall, 2010 Matt Hobgood, Baltimore, 5th overall, 2009 Mark Rogers, Milwaukee, 5th overall, 2004 Chris Gruler, Cincinnati, 3rd overall, 2002 Clint Everts, Montreal, 5th overall, 2002 Gavin Floyd, Philadelphia, 4th overall, 2001 Markos' list of recent HS righties drafted 6-10 Strange that the guys picked 6-10 are better than the guys picked top five. Perhaps this just indicates that teams have been more cautious than needed with HS pitchers. Many of the guys picked 6-10 would have been well worth a top 5 pick.
  8. nicksaviking
    I haven't been to positive with Gardy lately but if your lineup is broke of course you need to try something new. Obviously batting Mauer 3rd wasn't his first choice seeing as Mauer has been batting 2nd all year and stayed that way for an entire 10 game losing streak but he had to try something. When the Yankees were slumping Billy Martin used to create his lineups by pulling the names out of a hat. There was no rhyme or reason to it other than to mix things up and hopefully to create a spark with the players.
  9. nicksaviking
    As I think four of the top five players are pitchers, unless Bryant is on the board, the BPA will be a pitcher. Lately the debate has been should the Twins take the BPA or go underslot. If they go underslot I will be very upset.
  10. nicksaviking
    Hicks has not gone deep since May 9th. Without developing power he's not likely to go far. He is continuing his strikeout trend and he only has one extra base hit in the last ten games. Like the rest of the Kernels he's in a funk.
  11. nicksaviking
    I feel as though I should recieve a refund of some sort. Who do I speak to about this?
  12. nicksaviking
    So the signal is out on direct TV the last 5 minutes. The paused the game for us folks in Fargo did they not?
  13. nicksaviking
    I've said before that the Pohlad's are better owners than the Griffiths but that's not saying much. Carl gained his fortune through terribly unethical means and put the fans and the state through a gut wrenching ordeal to secure a stadium his family needed only pay for 33% of as opposed to Tigers ownership (66%) or St. Louis (87%). This sentance is difficult though: Another World Series championship may calm things down a bit, but with the way things have gone, perhaps Twins fans will complain of a lack of ticker tape at the victory parade. Surely they want to win another World Series, but unlike a club like Detroit, they do not appear to be willing to make the (financial) sacrafices to aggressively do so. Instead they will passively wait and hope that in the future they will be able to field a team to compete at this level. Do owners have every right to squeeze every possible dime out of their investment? Yes. In turn do the fans have the right to make them the goat if they do so? Absolutely. We certainly have the right to wish our team's ownership was as aggressive and willing as Detroit or St. Louis or San Francisco or Texas or Anaheim or Atlanta or Washington. Edit: In full disclosure I put most of the losing onus on the teams front office, but I'm going to defend anyone who gets a cathartic release from ripping one of the least willing ownerships in baseball. They do not have much of a track record to defend.
  14. nicksaviking
    Ok, ace is hard to define so lets make it simpler, how many times have the Twins had a pitcher who could be considered a top 15 starter in the league? With 30 teams, the Twins should have a guy like this every other year, yet they don't. It shouldn't be hard if the odds are 50/50. Santana certainly qualified, he was a top 15 pitcher multiple times. But why is this consistancy so terrible to expect of our GM? We could expand the peramiters to the top 20 pitchers, even top 30 and we would all too often be coming up empty. Santana is the only Twins starter in 40 years to have made more than one All-Star game. That is not acceptable.
  15. nicksaviking
    Well then I can change my stance to Santana was the only ace caliber pitcher the Twins had sustained success with since Bert Blyleven in the 1970's because while I loved Brad Radke, he was no ace.
  16. nicksaviking
    I know but that's because you alterd the timeline when you and Biff put all your money on the 2018 Twins and became rich. I had to go back to 1955 to undo the mess you made when you created the alternate 2013. Fortunately Stewart turns out OK now. McGuire is still a mess though and often takes a facefull of manuer.
  17. nicksaviking
    Provus is a great addition. I like that he feels his job requires him to be familiar with all aspects of the game, anecdotal, visual and statistical. I think he's the first person associated with the Twins that I've heard utter the word Fangraphs.
  18. nicksaviking
    Not that I'm aware of.
  19. nicksaviking
    Well not to get in the middle of anything, but none of the guys Gunnar listed had sustained success at the top of the Twins rotation. Perhaps you could argue Garza would have, though if he is actually a #1 or #2 may be debatable. Ryan nailed Santana as a great Rule V pick but he's the only ace caliber pitcher the Twins have had sustained success with since Frank Viola. If you refuse to pay an ace in free agency, you need to need to find them in the draft or through trades. This club has not been doing that. Mike may be incorrect as there have been some good pitchers developed, however this team is lacking great pitchers and you need those to win championships.
  20. nicksaviking
    You mean: 1. Yes I'm serious and I don't give a damn 2. Surely Scarlett you didn't call me Frank 3. Are you trying to seduce me Mr. Rodgers?
  21. nicksaviking
    I'm afraid to say you are thinking of a 1990's movie starring Jim Varney from the Ernest movies. The rest of us are discussing the 1960's reality program it was based on.
  22. nicksaviking
    Isn't California full of hippies who go around wearing unwashed t-shirts?
  23. nicksaviking
    I'd say about five years ago.
  24. nicksaviking
    I see the pole vaulter is back. Nice move, I think it classes up the joint.
  25. nicksaviking
    Actuallly my wife got me a Puckett jersey (with name) some years ago. I don't know much about liscencing rights but it's a Majestic brand and the tag says Classic Collection. I've seen others too, mostly the classic powder blue retro version. Mine is the dark blue road jersey.
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