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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    For the league, or just the White Sox? Either way, Alexei Rameriz has been a steal for Chicago. His orignial deal was 4 years for $4.75 million. It was a different time, but he was a known commodity, that was just the going rate for most Cuban bats. His new deal pays him about $30 million for four years. What a bargain for a plus defensvie and plus offensive shortstop. Dayan Viciedo hasn't done a ton yet, but he did hit 24 HR as a 23-year old. The White Sox may not be the Dodgers, but they seem to have a better feel for this Cuban game than the Twins do. In my opinion, if the Twins don't know how to proceed with Cuban free agents, just go after the guys that the other succesful Cuban chasers are going after. It's not a sin to acknowledge another team may know more than you in a particular area.
  2. nicksaviking
    The Twins have enough money to spend that I'd like them to do what the Cubs did last year. Go out right away and overpay for a guy. Set the bar high and let the other teams curse the Twins for doing so. It would also be a sign to all free agents that the Twins are serious which would probably make other guys more willing to come, particularly the few bargains that are left hanging at the end of free agency for what ever reason.
  3. nicksaviking
    Sure but everyone wants those kinds of pitchers, that's why they get nine figure contracts. I'd give Haren a shot, but I doubt he gets three years from any team. Lincecum also probably only gets a two year deal, not sure I want to give up a draft pick for the kind of pitcher whose question marks will likely limit him to a short term deal though.
  4. nicksaviking
    I don't understand the argument. Arroyo will not and should not be considered for number retirement. Ever. Radke got exactly two HOF votes. He is not an all time great player.
  5. nicksaviking
    I for one was never sold on Hrbek getting his number retired. I wasn't against it, but it seemed as much to do with his status as a hometown hero as anything else. However, he was a better player than Radke. At the very least, he was a vital cog of the World Series teams. I want the elite numbers retired, the guys who fans of other teams would also revere as great players. Basically Hall of Famers or those that we may view as close enough for consideration.
  6. nicksaviking
    I think great is pretty exaggerated. I love Radke, but a guy who is off the HOF ballot after his first year of eligibility isn't great. He was very good but had an ERA under 4.00 only four times. I'm not sure how proud I would be of retiring the number of guys who are the "epitome of a Twins pitcher," that's not very high praise. I might even call it a derogatory statement. That's why #57 will be the next number retired by the Twins. Santana was definitely not the epitome of a Twins pitcher, that's why he was two-time Cy Young winner. If Kaat and Viola aren't getting their number retired, Radke shouldn't.
  7. nicksaviking
    Kramer's buddy Bob Sacamanto posted a video he took of Jorge at the FIL. That delivery stinks. Doesn't use his lower half, tiny stride toward home and all the effort is in his shoulder. The Twins don't seem to instruct (or sign) pitchers who take long strides (which usually limits velocity) but I'm surprised the Twins haven't changed this delivery yet.
  8. nicksaviking
    The qualifying offer will be worth $14.1 million. A 2 year deal at $7-8 million would make no sense to Lincecum. You'd need to double that to get considered. 2 for $24-28M is more like it.
  9. nicksaviking
    I'd assume he has MLBTR bookmarked. It summerizes and links to all kinds of articles.
  10. nicksaviking
    No kidding. I could be convinced, but I just don't think Lincecum is worth it anymore. I can't see him getting more than 2 years, especially from the Twins. So then is two years of Lincecum, one of which will almost certainly be another uncompetitve year, be worth the 2nd round pick? Maybe, though it is a deep draft with a ton of hard throwing HS kids.
  11. nicksaviking
    Walker is going to struggle with these rankings as long as he has trouble getting on base in Low A ball. I think we all love his power but he's not going anywhere if he can't learn to take a walk from a bunch of 20-year-old pitchers who have trouble consistantly hitting the strike zone. He was the league leader in HR by 30% yet only had an OBP of .319. That is a monsterous red flag.
  12. nicksaviking
    The Giants have implied they will be giving him a qualifying offer since he isn't interested in talking extension. I don't think I'm in for giving away a 2nd round pick* for him at this point, he just doesn't look like a top of the rotation guy anymore. Without the compensation I'd go for him, but at this point I'd rather go for the likely draft pick free Josh Johnson and Dan Haren. Maybe if the Twins have already signed two rotation upgrades** and Lincicum is still sitting out there in February because no one wants to part with the draft pick, his price will drop. If that happens and he ends up being the third new rotation upgrade for the Twins then I'd be interested. At that point the Twins would have three pitchers superior to what they currently have now and I'd actually expect them to be somewhat competitive. Losing the pick would then be worth it. * Though if next year's #2 choice is another low ceiling Ryan Eades type I'd change my mind. ** Upgrade refers to what a normal baseball team would consider a free agent pitcher, not what the Twins traditionally acquire.
  13. nicksaviking
    As the draft is eight months away, I think it's unlikely that the top four will be Rodon, Hoffman, Turner and Kolek. The Twins will likely have their choice of a couple of these guys at #5 assuming they still remain top picks.
  14. nicksaviking
    I would tend to think the Twins go for the low risk, less flawed guys. At least toward the top of the draft. Gibson wasn't thought to have flaws other than injury concerns, same with Wimmers. Berrios was a mechanically sound prospect, his concern was his size. In the middle rounds the Twins seem to get the guys with flaws, but really, don't all pitchers have them at that point? Sounds like they already helped Gonsalves work out some kinks from HS. On the other hand, what ever flaws they "fixed" with guys like Summers, Melotakis, Baxendale, Duffy, Boer and Boyd sapped a ton of strikeout potential despite having strong pitches and pre-draft beliefs that strikeouts would be their major attribute.
  15. nicksaviking
    I wasn't sure about how he would adapt to US culture and the nature of American interviews, but I guess Crash Davis taught him well: "I was seeing the ball well," Kepler said. "I'm getting my knocks and doing what I can." The must have left out: "I just wanta give it my best shot and, Good Lord willing, things'll work out." I wonder if a good AFL might make some of the scouting wonks re-consider him for top 100 lists.
  16. nicksaviking
    He's going to be cheap for many years in terms of money. Or did you mean cheap in terms of what the other GM would have to give up to get him? If that's what you meant, well, I think the answer is quite obvious as to why the Twins shouldn't trade Hicks.
  17. nicksaviking
    Because Japan fears that if they don't change it, the high profile teenagers are going to go straight to the MLB instead of sticking around Japan for a few years to develop. A secondary concern is that MLB teams have the ability to screw everyone over by posting a large bid only to not make a good faith effort to reach an agreement with the player. The A's were accused of doing this with Iwakuma simply to keep rivals from signing him. I think the bigger question is why would mid-market Midweast MLB teams agree to this. What high-profile Asian free agent is going to choose Minnesota or Kansas City?
  18. nicksaviking
    The Twins have plenty of budget and plenty of rotation spots to fill, they can go do both.
  19. nicksaviking
    Good stuff, but for once I'd prefer this team go after quality not quantity. I'm curious though, by all accounts the Twins were below budget this past year, so where is the $30 million budget coming from? To get back to the expected Target Field payroll, they should have over $40 million to spend should they so choose. Not that they are likely to.
  20. nicksaviking
    Yes, at the very best, Pelfrey is an impulse buy when you're standing at the checkout line at the supermarket. You get him if you've already loaded your cart with the main course. You don't first go to browse the tabloids and gum.
  21. nicksaviking
    As far as I know, WAR doesn't consider save percentage at all. Relievers have low WAR mostly due to low innings pitched. Perkins has a good WAR for a reliever because he has terrific stats that are dependant/derived from a stellar ability to strikeout batters.
  22. nicksaviking
    I guess it probably depends on what is agressive. Teams would pay a lot of money to have Kuroda on their team. In fact, I'd guess if Kuroda was Tanaka's age and on the market now, he likely would have gotten the same or larger contract than Darvish did. $10-12 million per seems like it would be a bargain for a 24-year-old Kuroda.
  23. nicksaviking
    Don't eat crow about Marcum, lot's of us were interested and he would have been a worthy gamble as he had a reasonable degree of upside. Had the Twins signed him and he failed, I would still be applauding the effort, just as I would if they'd acquired Jackson, Dempster or Haren. But it wouldn't only be like-minded fans who would have appreciated the effort, it would also have been the players on the roster who saw that management was trying to throw them a life-line. It would have been current and future free agents would see that the Twins were serious suitors.
  24. nicksaviking
    In my opinion the Twins could use a few more Jock and Jr Ewings. They have enough boyscouts like Bobby.
  25. nicksaviking
    I agree, but it isn't hard to change that perception. After all, Cleveland was in the same boat last year but they let it be known that they had money to spend and were looking to right the ship ASAP. Perhaps the Twins missed their chance as I think Cleveland's turn around happened when they brought in a new and accomplished, well respected, big-named manager. When they did, they had no problems getting interest from free agents. Bold statements can help change the perception I believe.
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