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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Of course there has always been a gulf, I stated that it wasn't always so large. After all, between 1987 and 1992 the title of "Highest paid player" was held at different times by Frank Viola, Kirby Puckett, Ricky Henderson, Jose Canseco, Dave Stewart and Mark Davis. Those players were being paid by teams in Minnesota, Oakland and Kansas City. Your implication that the gulf was similarly large and affected the small market teams the same as now is absurd. And your statement disregarding the idea that advanced statistics aren't helping players today receive larger contracts seems only aimed to be contentious. Shin So Choo is looking to get a monster payday based largely on his OBP which isn't any kind of advanced metric though would have been considered forward thinking back in 1988. His 1988 counterpart, Chet Lemon had the 134 highest paycheck in baseball.
  2. nicksaviking
    I guess I don't think the Twins need to go out of their way to talk themselves into another outfielder. And I want nothing to do with a HS catcher with a high pick.
  3. nicksaviking
    "What I Didn't Like: Surprised at the lack of command on #Twins Alex Meyer's fastball. Flat from the stretch. He threw 100 mph. once today." Well hell, just strike everyone out and stop having to pitch from the stretch. Problem solved.
  4. nicksaviking
    I agree, though that has not been working in the Twins favor much recently. Hopefully Dozier is the exception, there definately is a high probability his AVG/OBP goes up. Of course it's just as likely his HR drop. If the power is legit though and his OBP gets back to his minor league levels, you're looking at a defensively solid 2B with a +.800 OPS under team control for four more years. That would fetch a pretty nice return I'd assume.
  5. nicksaviking
    I agree with this, but I think the overall question of the article actually is "Are the A's and Ray's actually winning?" Because they are not taking home the championship, once they get to the post season, they fail as the big clubs can match up their high priced and more proven assets against the traditionally young home-grown guys.
  6. nicksaviking
    How long is long term? Because until about 20 years ago small budget teams and big budget teams didn't have the gulf that they do now, players just weren't making that much more than each other and maybe more importantly, good players were often hidden due to the lack of more in-depth metrics and were not paid accordingly. Until the mid 1990's batters generally got paid based on batting average and HR, pitchers for Wins and ERA.
  7. nicksaviking
    While I agree it is very unlikely the Twins will get Tanaka, the $150-$200 million posting fee is pretty rediculous. While the Yankees may go after him, they are trying to get under the $189 million luxery tax threshold. With Arod's 2014 salray in a legal fight, the Yankees may actually have less free agent budget than the Twins do and that's beside the consideration that they surely will still at least attemt to retain Robinson Cano.
  8. nicksaviking
    I'm personally not a fan of Gilmartin. I only assume he gets hype because he's a lefty with good control. He doesn't strike many batters out and gives up way too many hits and runs. Two years in a row he has struggled at AAA. From my perspective, I don't see any scenario where this guy turns into a legit starting pitcher.
  9. nicksaviking
    Again, this is another rental. He's a stud and pairing him with Bailey may give the Twins a decent shot at being competitive next year but do you want to trade in the farm for a one time shot? I'd be interested if the odds were higher for a title chance, but they just aren't. 1988, 1992, 2002-2006, 2010 Twins: yes. 2013 Twins: no way.
  10. nicksaviking
    Great study and a good reference. Though this shows how the good teams are currently assembled, would it look much different than the bad teams? Because while we would all love to have a farm raised stable of lights out starters, the Twins have proven to be very poor at developing the kind of starters who can impact a playoff game. So if you are deficient in one area, don't you then need to redouble your efforts in another, even if it is not ideal?
  11. nicksaviking
    But the problem is, even if a deep class, the pitchers in the second round generally don't have the pedigree of a possible ace like a guy sitting at #5. At #5, even if the Twins still insist on a pitch-to-contact guy with impeccable control, the guy is still likely a hard throwing strikeout machine. In the second round that guy is still probably similar to Ryan Eades, one of only four collegiate arms drafted in the first three rounds last year who actually pitched but couldn't manage to make it to a full season league. In other words, considering what the Twins most like to see in starters, I don't trust them to find front of the rotation arms unless they fall into their lap with a high pick. Hopefully Berrios and Gonsalves prove this idea wrong, but they have a long way to go. Not that I disagree with the sentiment, they need to go BPA, though if it's anything other than a SP or SS I'll probably not be thrilled.
  12. nicksaviking
    People are talking about moving Perkins, Rosario and other top prospects. Why is this even a consideration for a 1 year rental? As Kab above said, if we want him, why not wait until he hits free agency as he appears dead set on? Then you get to keep the prospects and the Twins will hopefully be another year removed from this quagmire. I'm not giving up anything of value for one year of a guy who can't realistically get this club to the playoffs singlehandedly.
  13. nicksaviking
    Pitchers are also aware of the inflated contracts middle of the road arms get in free agency, and with another year like the one he just had, he likely knows he's in line for a contract closer to Anibal Sanchez than he is to Kevin Correia. Mark Sheldon at MLB.com says he isn't interested in an extension. From my experience, our wishes and dreams for quality pitching always gets kicked to the curb as logical reports like this are generally accurate. Besides, Bailey willing to sign an extension would create a pretty big bidding war the Twins would be unlikely willing to win, and it would cost Meyer, and likely much, much more.
  14. nicksaviking
    May and who else, because the Reds will be wanting a top 100 prospect, so you're including Rosario too. But now your arguing that not only won't he cost a prospect like Meyer, but that he will also sign an extension because he simply assumes the Twins will pay him more. If that is his hangup, why wouldn't he at least see what the Reds have to offer? It's just not likely as his refusal to TALK extension means he has his sights on free agency. Whoever gets him, gets him for one year. Contract negotiations start in the 2014/2015 off season.
  15. nicksaviking
    Yeah, 1992 was a pretty decent offseason. Well aside from letting Jack Morris walk through a giant loophole. It was a pretty typical offseason for a champ, they retained most of the players from the winning club and signed a big time free agent to fill the hole of the departing big time free agent. Had the wild card been enacted two years earlier the Twins would have been in the playoffs and then, who knows.
  16. nicksaviking
    That's only because we as Twins fans value Meyer more than others do. A solid arm like Bailey will get a top 100 prospect. Even if it's not Meyer, do you want to give up Rosario and May, or Kepler or whatever other combination of top 12 orgainzational prospects to get one year of a guy on another likely losing team?
  17. nicksaviking
    Yeah, but in 1992 the Twins were looking for a replacement for Jack Morris who just lead the team to the World Series. If the Twins were back in that situation again it would be a wise move as I previously stated, but the Twins are almost certainly not going to be contending next year. Would you really want to trade Alex Meyer for one season of Bailey when the Twins still will almost certainly miss the playoffs?
  18. nicksaviking
    I'd definately like his personality back in the clubhouse. I mean to say I would like someone with a personality in the clubhouse. I think the Morneau dust-up was overblown. Hunter was calling out Morneau to be a better teammate and Morneau credits the incident with changing him in just that way. Those two mended fences long ago. I think Hunter's guts to call out teammates that may be undermining the team is a positive trait, just not one that is common or appreciated in the midwest. If his leadership is manufactured, it's been manufactured pretty well, both of his former managers loved the guy and went out of their way to praise him and lobby for him every chance they got. We damn well know Ron Gardenhire doesn't suffer any Prima Donnas.
  19. nicksaviking
    I don't think Bailey is a fit. The main reason why Cincinnati is considering moving him is because he is refusing to talk extension. Do the Twins really want to give up a top 100 prospect and some other really good pieces just to have a #3 pitcher in what is shaping up to be another losing season? Perhaps if the offseason works out great and the Twins magically get Tanaka, Kazmir and some offensive help that looks to make the Twins an immediate contender trading for him would be a wise move. But that doesn't look to be the case. Bailey is best suited for a contender in win-now mode who doesn't have eyes on him past 2014.
  20. nicksaviking
    I think I'd prefer to believe that Don Draper has infiltrated the Twins front office.
  21. nicksaviking
    Not to mention that had everyone known what Darvish would have become his posting bids would have surely been higher. If free agency over the last 30 years has taught us anything, the best player doesn't set the curve for those that follow, he simply raises the bar with the expectation that the guys following him will raise it even higher, even if their skill is not equal. I just noticed the Asian dating site add on the homepage. Perhaps I'm wrong, but I'm not sure that ad was targeted toward the most appropriate demographic. Or perhaps those marketing geniuses know something about the Twins off-season free agency plan that the rest of us don't?
  22. nicksaviking
    Things always change, see Kris Bryant's rise last year, but at this point BPA at #5 is looking like a pitcher or SS. I'd prefer a pitcher but it's not like the Twins aren't also desperate for a franchise SS too. It would be nice if the BPA was a college player though so the Twins could try to sign one of the high profile, hard-to-sign HS kids in the early 2nd. They haven't had that ability the last two years while drafting high.
  23. nicksaviking
    Great stuff Bob, thanks a lot. Interesting video too, Jorge certainly doesn't appear to use his lower half very much in his delivery and he stays pretty tall. Maybe it was just the angle but he didn't look to extend very much on his stride toward home. One would have to think that negatively effects his velocity.
  24. nicksaviking
    Gotta hang on to Oliveros. He and Duensing are the last remaining branches of the Chuck Knoblauch trade tree. I still have my fingers crossed one of them can gain some future value and be flipped to keep it growing.
  25. nicksaviking
    And each of those three could have been extended longer then they got. He bought out one (1) year of free agency for a 26-year-old left handed Cy Young Award winner. That's not exactly going out on a limb. Same with Mauer, the 23-year-old batting champ catcher. Target Field may increase how much money Ryan can spend, but it's not going to make him feel more comfortable about handing out multi-year deals. I'll give him Radke, that was a nice save.
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