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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    It's really early, I think it's more likely than not that they get another pitcher to pitch day 2. Not confident, but hopeful. Maybe 60-40.
  2. nicksaviking
    Kepler has never repeated a good season, if he sticks with the Twins, I hope he does. But objectively, I'm not looking at him any differently than free agents like Jeimer Candelario or Cody Bellinger. They don't interest me as I believe that veterans who have an actual sustained career renaissance is very small. Most revert to their inconsistent and disappointing ways.
  3. nicksaviking
    Losing Polanco doesn't help the offense, just the offenses flexibility in using the DH. I was in favor of keeping him over Kepler actually. As for Soler vs Kepler, I don't really want either, but while both players are wildly inconsistent, Soler is much less so. Soler has a career OPS of .797 vs. Kepler's .753 and Solar's power doesn't up and disappear two out of every three years like Kepler's does. Soler's bad seasons were also his injury seasons, I don't know that there's much of a rationale for Kepler's poor seasons. I think smart teams look for year-in-year-out reliable hitters though and that's neither of these guys. But if I had to choose, I'd take the more reliable one.
  4. nicksaviking
    No, I don’t imagine the Twins have any interest in another left handed corner outfielder, particularly one that’s out of options. They grow on trees around here.
  5. nicksaviking
    Why Berroa? The Twins just traded for one Mariner reliever and signed/claimed a half dozen other AAAA caliber relievers who also have terrible control problems. No idea about his options, but he's been around for ages so I'm guessing he's out of them.
  6. nicksaviking
    Joe Smith Retires ...... no batters, yet again. It must have been contagious, because the guys they only gave MiLB free agent contracts to didn't fare any better. Tim Beckham hasn't played in any level since and Jharel Cotton moved to Japan. At least Aaron Sanchez gave the Saints another go without once being considered for the big league call up in 2023. Alas, he was released for what appears to be the final time last August having never faced another MLB batter. Shockingly, Billy Hamilton managed two ABs with the White Sox last year. But unfortunately for him, those two ABs were against the Twins, and it appears that was all it took for the initiation to be conusummated. Surely, they all watched in awe as Gary Sanchez promptly signed a with a new team that offseason, on April 1st.
  7. nicksaviking
    It's possible it was DeSclafani's contract. Most of our off season trade speculation threads had a post or two about moving both Kepler and Polanco to the same team but those were usually met with refuting ideas that no team wanted both of their contracts. Well if the Mariners actually were willing, maybe DeSclafani's full salary was the thing that pushed it over the edge.
  8. nicksaviking
    Sorry, I disagree with that as well, I think the teams do understand it. It's not even February, I think some of these guys WILL be moved. Right now it's just a waiting game and in about a month or so from now I hope the Twins come out with one of them like they do most years. If not the Twins, some other teams almost certainly will.
  9. nicksaviking
    I'm not disagreeing. The original take was that there would be no streaming. If Bally/Diamond/Amazon won't stream Twins games but will stream other teams' games, I'd say the Twins are being taken advantage of. No clue if that's the case, I'm guessing it's all just negotiation ploys since the Twins aren't currently under contract. And if it is and that avenue doesn't work, there's no reason MLB shouldn't be streaming them. But a "reasonable price" probably shouldn't matter. The Twins are operating as if they're getting no revenue, so they should be streaming the games even if they aren't getting a nickel. I'm not saying they need to take one on the chin now, I'm not impatient, but if no one is offering to pay them a fair price come the season opener, an unfair price should still be accepted.
  10. nicksaviking
    If the Twins passed up one of Seattle’s real pitchers for Kepler, I’ll be upset. With that salary savings they could have signed Hoskins or Turner and put Kirilloff back in the outfield.
  11. nicksaviking
    That's a different take than the one about having no streaming whatsoever because Bally/Diamond/Amazon stuck their tongues out at the Twins. And I don't disagree with you. If the Twins ditch streaming all together because the Wall Street suits are giving them the business, than the Minnesota brain trust is every bit the backward, fly-over country, push-overs the rest of the country thinks we are.
  12. nicksaviking
    I don't know if more will be traded at the deadline or this offseason, but I will guess that just about all of them that ARE traded at the deadline are available now. If teams don't get the offers they want for Cease, Burnes, Luzardo, Bieber, they'll wait. And aside from Burnes who is on a one year deal, the price likely won't go down come July, because that's when the buyers are more desperate. And this is not a disregard for risk mitigation, it's a long term look at risk mitigation. Pay today's prices up front for extended production, instead of paying more over a period of years for repeated short term production. That's pretty much how all owners wanted to pay every player between Bobby Bonilla and Shohei Ohtani. Give up a Brooks Lee now, or an Emmanuel Rodriguez every single year. It's a no brainer.
  13. nicksaviking
    Well, Mayo, Pierce and Morris just got jobs, that's pretty good. I would worry for Mayo and Pierce in particular, that they were given the jobs as a token gesture with ownership knowing it's time to rebuild and these guys are just stewards overseeing things until the organization gets back on track at which point they'll be scapegoated and the club can hire their real king. Like the Dolphins did with Flores and the Cardinals did with Steve Wilks.
  14. nicksaviking
    Well if they're not streaming games, it was probably the last chance for most Twins fans to hear him talk this year. He might as well promised us we were all going to win the lottery then. Why would the Pohald's agree to this though? They aren't forced to do any of this. This isn't going to go over well, but I think Dave St. Peter is really bad at his job and has been for quite some time.
  15. nicksaviking
    Mike McDonald going to Seattle to be the head coach. That's four DC turned HC guys, which is shocking to me. I really can't see owners wanting to water down the trend of high flying areal attack offenses, but maybe I was wrong in the above post. Maybe there will be a new era of ground and pound, run-out-the clock offenses. And yet, no interviews for Flores. I know the Vikings defense fell apart at the end, but plenty of teams interviewed Leslie Frazier for HEAD coach just to satisfy the Rooney Rule. The league is clearly blackballing Flores.
  16. nicksaviking
    When the front office starts to get frightened of trading prospects for controllable top end MLB players, that's when it's time to replace them. But Mahle was a midseason trade when there were only three options available, there are more options in the offseason. Additionally, midseason trades are far more likely to pay off for the sellers. The less information the other team has on your prospects, the better off your bargaining position is. At midseason the players are that much closer to the majors and the scouts have that much more data on them. Your team's insight into their strengths, weaknesses and makeup is that much more dragged from the shadows. I mean if the Twins make that trade in the offseason instead of midseason, who's headlining that deal? Austin Martin? Trever Larnach? Spencer Steer probably barley crosses the Reds radar.
  17. nicksaviking
    I have no interest in Duvall, but at least I can see why some do. But Lorenzen, and his ungodly 13% K rate? No way, he's just flat out awful. Small sample size hero like Dallas Keuchel. He doesn't make the rotation better in any way.
  18. nicksaviking
    Better than Gray last year? That's a really high bar. And even so, go get someone who's more likely than them to be a front line starter, and then if Ryan/Ober/Paddack turn out to be as well, you're just that much better off. The good teams don't sit on their laurels and hope for the young pitchers to develop, they continually trade for and sign top of the rotation arms pushing the already good arms down the pecking order.
  19. nicksaviking
    I have no interest in rental pitchers. Why would this team even bother with one? Then they'd have to do the exact same thing next year, and the year after and the year after. You'd be wasting way more prospect capital in the long run by chasing your tail like this, and your risk reduction strategy would be shot because you'd have to hit on the trade target every single year as opposed to hitting on it once. And with the expanded playoffs, we've seen the pool of available players shrink significantly midseason. Also if the front office doesn't believe that this team would be a contender with the addition of a #2 pitcher now at the start of the season and has to wait until midseason to decide, than ownership needs to be looking for new people to run the show.
  20. nicksaviking
    I'd love a big bat for the middle of the order, but I don't see any on the free agent market that I like at all. Either they strike out 30% of the time, which is a problem with this club, or they are wildly inconsistent players. Or both.
  21. nicksaviking
    I hope the Twins found a diamond in the rough, but his control was brutal even before he was injured. If it's at all still a question during spring training, I don't think he breaks camp with the team.
  22. nicksaviking
    A mid season trade will cost more. Plus, this team has nailed the offseason trades while blowing the midseason trades (not blaming, I liked them at the time). Get a guy now and have him for 162 games.
  23. nicksaviking
    I agree that it seems to stick out. Maybe the Twins don't like the Marlins pitchers, but maybe those talks haven't been fruitless so they didn't want to spoil the apple by specifically calling that club out.
  24. nicksaviking
    They don't have other needs. The lineup is all but locked, anything else is a luxury. A top of the rotation arm is what they need and they have prospect equity to get it if it's available. And what's the point of putting together a competitive team if they aren't trying to win in the playoffs? Might as well sell all the vets and tank for prospects if losing in the Wild Card round is the goal. Ryan isn't a #2, they clearly didn't trust him or Ober in the playoffs last year. They need someone to slot ahead of those two.
  25. nicksaviking
    Weird he doesn't say the Twins have talked to the Marlins, the one team that has come out to say they are willing to trade top end pitching. And a team the Twins dealt with last year. I mean it's weird unless one supposes that the very secretive Twins noisily leaked their interest in Milwaukee and Chicago pitchers to prod Miami into action.
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