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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I thought Tampa was an overlooked contender for the NFC championship coming into this year. Now I'm not sure they can hold on in their division with next to no wide receivers. Also, I'm a bit concerned about the Rams this week for the Vikings. That's a bad team, but McVay vs O'Connell has me a bit on edge.
  2. nicksaviking
    **********Moderator Note************* Stay on topic.
  3. nicksaviking
    Or a long tenured non major market owner to rally the same-positioned owners (who are the vast majority) to tell the big market owners that parity is happening whether they like it or not. If only there was such an ownership group…..,,,
  4. nicksaviking
    Do you realize how much more 50% of the Yankees revenue is compared to 50% of the lower teams? But really, it hardly matters if the parity is real or artificial. Nothing will change until there are salary floors and caps. And that’s likely not happening until the lower tier clubs lose enough value to profit from flipping them and contraction is a threat to the MLBPA. Which probably isn’t far off considering the lower tier teams are making less and less from their local TV deals.
  5. nicksaviking
    I don’t disagree that they can win it, but I’d still put my money on KC, Baltimore and Buffalo ahead of them.
  6. nicksaviking
    https://www.visualcapitalist.com/u-s-sports-leagues-by-revenue/ Not going to work. 66% of the NFLs revenue is shared, 41% of the NBAs revenue is shared. The MLB share is 26%. Meanwhile local media makes up 23% of MLBs revenue. 23% of NY and LA media is exponentially greater than Minnesota. I'm fine blaming greedy owners, but even if the Twins floated a payroll with zero profit for the owners, they'll still be spending way less than the big market teams. And again, that local revenue is going to be less and less if the mid and small market teams can't keep fan attention due to being uncompetitive or in a market with demographics that can't or won't access the product.
  7. nicksaviking
    And it's not sustainable because those payrolls did not last, just like the Twins 2023 payroll didn't last. And even at those peaks, the top teams are still spending nearly 100M more than them. It's nearly impossible to build a year-in-year-out contender like the top teams do, You end up talking about 'windows' and wringing your hands about whether it's time to 'go for it'. If the Yankees and Dodgers can always go for it, the rest of the teams need to have that option too or this league is going to continue to circle the drain. This league is royally screwed up at the moment and this is the main culprit. And again, with the new lower paying TV deals, it's going to get worse and teams that can't scrap together a team that competes most years is going to have fans that lose interest and TV streamers who will lower what they'll pay to show their games.
  8. nicksaviking
    The lack of parity is going to get worse before it gets better based on these new, lower paying streaming deals. If the mid and small market teams continue to see the gap widen, the small and mid market teams are going to continue to generate less interest. Less interest will continue to generate less TV revenue and at some point, the value of those organizations is going to start to stagnate. If the value stagnates or drops, the owners won't be able to flip them for a profit and contraction will be back on the table. My hope is that if it gets bad enough, the owners and MLBPA will finally get together and fix it with revenue sharing on the level of every other pro sports league instead of letting MLB cannibalize itself and collapse.
  9. nicksaviking
    And someone in the AFC is probably going to lose ten games and make the playoffs. Crazy how the balance of power in this league can switch in a year. I still have my money on an AFC team winning it all though.
  10. nicksaviking
    Agree. I think the run blocking of the interior OL is the problem, but they've had two years to address that issue. The other issue I have with him is end of half time management. He needs to stop trying to run out the clock when they get near midfield when there's still ample time left. Every capable offense in the league can get into at least field goal position if there's a minute left on the clock. Until they hit the two minute warning, getting first downs and keeping possession needs to be the priority. Stick to what has worked all game long, don't do predictable handoffs trying to kill time until the two minute mark. Edit; I see the prior posts and realize paragraph two has been discussed.
  11. nicksaviking
    I guess we'll see. My thought is they'll pack the stadium for the first few years and then there will be a dramatic drop off. NFL fans travel, but those teams play once a week, usually on weekends, and their games are an event. They also can go up to eight years between visits to an opposing team. And most of the fan bases that travel are the northern city teams who love to find a reason to vacation November through March. They'll get fans who are going to Vegas because their favorite team is playing there. Hey, the Vikings play in Vegas, let's make a weekend of it. After the novelty wears off, I think the A's are going to have to rely on tourists who were already going to Vegas anyway and are dedicated enough baseball fans that they'll go regardless of who's playing. And it won't help that outside of Seattle, the rest of their division plays in southern CA and Texas. The perception is that those fans don't travel like northern city fans do. Though last I recall you were in Austin, so you'd know better than I about that.
  12. nicksaviking
    The Twins are going to rue not using this lost season to let the young hitters get reps against same-handed pitching. Max Kepler is the lone exception to the team's don't-let-lefties-hit-against-lefties rule because he was given the chance to take his lumps against them early in his career.
  13. nicksaviking
    And the Pohlad's are the longest severing ownership group in the mid and small markets. They should have been the ones spearheading broadcasting and financial equity within the league decades ago. Instead they took a backseat and were followers during the collusion era, the steroid era and it's ensuing fallout, the contraction situation, the increasing revenue disparity and then the declining popularity in both their product and cable/satellite subscriptions which impacted the mid and small markets substantially more than the large markets. With their tenure, they should have been THE leaders keeping the sport up to date and relevant. I've been saying all along that we very easily could get even worse owners, but the Pohlad's are a passive, gravy-train group who did nothing to help the sport or this club.
  14. nicksaviking
    Too bad the Pohlad's don't know anyone in the investment banking sector..........
  15. nicksaviking
    Great article! And it definitely defied expectations: the good guys lost! Can't wait to read more of these. Man, that season was quite similar to this one. High expectations but the team flatlined in chasing the Wild Card spot after a slump in September. I'm thinking the unexpected get-away-day lineup construction adds a whiff of 2024 as well. One other thing to add; looking at the box score, Morneau drew a walk in the 9th and was standing on 1B as the tying run, he was then pinch run for by the fleet footed.....Michael Cuddyer. What?!? Most have wanted to keep Luis Rivas fresh for Monday's game.
  16. nicksaviking
    I'd agree that they didn't think the risk was high. My argument is that they should have known it was higher than they thought. Or if not losing Comcast, a disaster just as bad. Nothing good has come from this Bally deal. But then I guess my question would be: If the Twins had a crystal ball and did know that they'd lose Comcast, are we sure they STILL wouldn't have taken the more lucrative Bally deal?
  17. nicksaviking
    But they already did exactly that and lost with FUBU, YouTube TV and Hulu TV. And this game of chicken happened AFTER the bankruptcy and AFTER they failed to make payments to the Twins in 2023. Yet the Twins went back. They might not have KNOWN, but they had to be aware it was a possibility as this company had been knifing them in the back for years.
  18. nicksaviking
    I still can't believe that the MLB actually thinks people are going to book summer trips to Las Vegas to watch baseball games. This league is so short sighted. And it's the smallest TV market too, so it's not like that's going to save the day. See you in Montreal in 2035 Athletiques.
  19. nicksaviking
    Also, the Pohlad's ARE the investment banking sector.
  20. nicksaviking
    I agree, they probably weren't alone. But the TV apocalypse is another reason why they should have replaced Dave St. Peter long, long ago. He had already failed at three broadcasting deals, he shouldn't have been in charge for the fourth.
  21. nicksaviking
    People on this site were talking about how this current model of a streaming service for this one specific product wouldn't work from day one.
  22. nicksaviking
    True the bankruptcy filing happened a month after the Correa signing, but the signs of Balley's demise had been there since 2020 when all the streamers dropped them. Anyone who thought a Bally direct streaming service was going to be just as profitable didn't understand streaming.
  23. nicksaviking
    Good article. I'm happy he's here, but it doesn't make sense. It just goes to show that either ownership never had a long range plan or they were foolish not to anticipate the less favorable revenue situation that was clearly approaching. I mean this would be like if any of us knew we were going to stop receiving our monthly bonus but bought plane tickets to fly the family to Disney World anyway. What, so now there's no more money and we won't buy the tickets to get into the theme parks? We're just going to sit in Orlando and do nothing all week? Thanks dad.
  24. nicksaviking
    Right, that's the matchup I'm hoping for, but don't like to say it out loud.
  25. nicksaviking
    This one I hope. I hate this playoffs so bad!
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