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AKTwins

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  1. Paddock is a talent that is worth the risks. This trade tells me the FO has a lot of faith in Duran. He could have a K-Rod type rookie impact. I have wanted our young pitchers to get a chance. It looks like that chance will be in the bullpen, which could work out well. Alcala, Winder and Pagan, along with Duran, that is a lot of high velocity. I think Archer should be bumped from the rotation. Archer really intrigues me as a multi inning reliever. He was throwing 94-95 this spring. I would hope the bullpen would help save his arm.
  2. I’m happy Rooker may have more of a chance. I am mixed about including Rogers on the deal. Paddock is a worthwhile risk, but not sure about trading Rogers for him. The PTBN may change my mind.
  3. If you want a Padre pitcher from the lists going around you need to take Hosmer and pay part of his salary.
  4. My guess is the 4 non- roster invites are assigned to minor league camp. The either Winder or Duran is sent down and the other begins the season in the bullpen. Cave had hit the ball hard this spring. I could see him opting out a another MLB team using him as a 4th OF, I’m thinking the Marlins, who were interest in him a couple years ago and don’t have a CF. The issue for the Twins is they have a lot of prospects on the 40 man that you don’t want to lose. It would be nice to have another LH in the bullpen, so Coulombe makes a lot of sense. If they add him to the 40 man, I think Stashak os the one who is outrighted.
  5. Bundy’s fastball was between 86-88 mph yesterday. Maybe he’s a guy that needs to build up his arm strength in order to increase velocity. If not, I don’t see him being a viable option as a starter. I would write in Jax and Thorpe for the last 2 relief spots. Not much left in the RP FA market. I think the team will be creative wit the bullpen and starters, like the Rays. Jax and Thorpe could pitch 2+ innings in relief or pitch after an opener. However, I am concerned Thorpe was sitting at 87-88 with his fastball yesterday. Hopefully, just building up arm strength. With shortened spring training injuries are even more inevitable than usual. I think Strotman, Winder, and Duran need to be ready to pitch in whatever role is necessary. Probably throw Jordan, Henriquez and maybe Canterino into the mix as well. My concern is that a trade for Montes or Manaea will deplete that upper level minors depth. However, you need to make that trade anyways.
  6. If we can’t get Montas, Manaea or one of the Marlins starters, I think they should look into Zac Gallen. Gallen may not be ready for opening day, but doesn’t sound like his shoulder issue is anything major. Marlins want to compete and need an mlb ready CF. Twins have plenty CF prospects in Celestine, Martin and Lewis, but I don’t think the Marlins want a prospect. Kepler makes sense, if the Twins are good with Larnach and Kiriloff manning the corner outfield spots, or picking up a 4th outfielder that could be a half ways decent starter. Maybe Tommy Pham. They could also use Rooker in Left Filed. With Buxton in Center field that helps balance out the defense. Then the next issue is who is the back-up CF? Gordon? Do you sign Kevin Pillar?
  7. He hasn’t pitched much the last 2 years, so tough to project. I think he can help in the bullpen later in the year after the team sees how his arm holds up. He could also be a a guy who pitches 3-4 innings after an opener. In any event, if he is healthy, i think he pitches at the mlb level this year in some way, shape or form.
  8. Here is my guess on the line-up as things stand: 1. Buxton 2. Polanco 3. Correa 4. Sanchez 5. Kepler 6. Sano 7. Gio 8. LF- Kiriloff or Larnach 9. Jeffers Thoughts?
  9. ESPN+ likes the trade for the twins. If they sign Story, this makes sense. Reading between the lines, it does not appear other teams are willing to give Story the huge contract to play SS. Seems to be a perfect match, he can play SS in MN and the Twins have the money. Maybe a little discount for him to play SS. In a way they would trade Donaldson contract for Story’s contract, but would obviously owe more the long run for Story. But story is around 7 years younger. Seems like a good swap. If they trade for, and extend, Manaea or Montas it makes even more sense. For catcher, I think the FO believes a veteran defense first catcher is the same as Rortvedt. Maybe they think Chris Williams will be ready.
  10. I think Kiner-Falefa is a better hitter than it may seem. He doesn’t have the huge OPS number that today’s analytics salivate over. However, his OBP is over 300. Texas has not been very good the last couple years, which I think is why Kiner-Falefa batted 1 or 2 in their line-up. Last year, Kiner-Falefa has 677 plate appearances. Of the 677, 584 where when he batted 1 or 2 in the line-up. He had 71 plate appearance batting 7. His BA when batting 7 was .343 and his OPS was .873. Kiner-Falefa won’t lead off or bat 2 for the Twins even with Garver gone. I am thinking he bats between 7-9. I am not expecting an batting title or an OPS at .870 for him, but I think he will improve on his career numbers. OPS .730-.750 is reasonable. I think a capable bat for Kiner-Falea is Josh Harrison. Harrison’s life time OPS is .719. A .050 jump in OPS for Kiner-Falea would put him at Harrison’s level, which I think is reasonable.
  11. Here is what I hope for and think is realistic for FA signings. I assume these guys would be willing to play in MN: - Trevor Story. ESPN has predicted he will sign with the Twins. Looking at $25 mil per year. I suspect a contract 3 years or less or one with a player opt out. - Kikuchi. No sure what he yearly value is, but I suspect a multi year contract. He is no ace by any means, but he would be a left handed starter. At a minimum he would be an innings eater. At best, he is a solid #3. - one year contract for a bounce back candidate. I am thinking Archer or Boyd. - for relief pitching, I don’t think this FO officer will make any sort of splash or even offer a multi year contract. - 4th outfielder. Herrera makes a lot of sense. He will play a lot as the twins rotate starters through the DH spot. I am expect Kirloff to start out in LF. - everyday LF if Kiriloff does not start out in LF. I am thinking Dickerson, Pham or Peterson. For each I am thinking 1 year 7-10 mil.
  12. I’m thinking it may be time to call Rooker up. Kepler in CF, Rosario in RF and Rooker in LF. Rooker could platoon with Cave.
  13. I agree with this 100%. I still think the deal gets done. It wil, be interesting to see if the twins are the ones who need to add a player. The Twins have several decent prospects that are blocked. Maybe add one of the blocked prospects and see if we can get some international signing bonus money bac. k.
  14. Tough to predict the type of package we would need to give up. Probably similar to what the'stros gave up for Pressley, but he doesn't have Pressleys track record. I'm thinking Blackenhorn and Jax. Maybe Molina and Alcala.
  15. I would out Wade in the fine to trade column, wish he was playing better. I agree with any AAA SP, a rebuilding team will want someone major league ready. I would put Arreaz in there because he is at peak vale and I think we have enough depth at the major league to weather a storm. I suspect Raley has value even with the injury. I would put Celestino and Baboo in the mix. I'd prefer to keep some of the younger pitcher. For a control able I would put Enlow and Jordan on the table.
  16. What do we think it would take to get some of the relief pitcher names? On an mlb trade rumor char I brought up trading Cave for will Smith. San Fran needs outfielders and doesn't want a complete rebuild. The moderator believes it would take more even though smith is a rental, but believed San Fran would be interested in Cave. So maybe Cave and Blackenhorn? Cave and Colina? Cave and Jax? I don't think we go with a top 15 prospect for a rental.
  17. My reasons for brining back Mauer for 2019: - still a very good defensive first baseman - Rooker has not taken an at beatable AA, may take another year before he is ready for an everyday role. - we have a hole at 1B and DH for 2019. Austin should have one of the spots. Sano will spend some time at both. Mauer can rotate in. - who will be the lead off hitter in 2019?
  18. I like the trade. Let's give Curtiss or Bard some innings and see if they figure it out. As an article on this site point out a week or so ago, we lost Rodriguez and Rosario without giving either a chance.
  19. What is everyone’s thoughts on Navarretto? My understanding was always that he had a very strong arm and was a plus defensive catcher. Seems like he is figuring out how to hit a little bit. Could he become a number 2 catcher in the mlb?
  20. Boshers is #1 and everyone else is a distant #2 until they have to make another decision. I can't believe Moyà would even be mentioned. I would rather release Grossman than Moyà. At least we have Granite to replace Grossman. Good Lefties don't grow on trees. There are a lot of Bosher types out there.
  21. Depending on Hughes' health, insurance may cover part of that.
  22. I think Enns could or should be the long man in the bulllen. I suspect they will not get someone that is good enough to stash from the Rule 5 draft. Enns can have the role Dillon Gee had last year. Couple of spot starts. Coming in during blow outs and short starts. He’s cheap, and has some upside. No need to waste the long arm spot on a 30 something journeyman.
  23. I agree that ledger so hound have been given a chance his year. He should have taken the starts from Wilk and even Turley. Colon has pitched well for the Twins, but he is not going to be here next year. Give the innings to Seldgers and see what he can do.
  24. I'm thinking Enns should take Garcia's rotation spot right now. Let's see what he can do. I feel much better about him than the Wilks and Turleys of the world
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