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Alex

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Everything posted by Alex

  1. Alex
    Because anyone can play it. Players with better bats who can no longer play other positions because they aren't athletic enough stay anywhere but 1B.
  2. Alex
    Doubtful that they fall off a cliff, but I read an essay by Gabe Kapler that cites research that indicates the average peak age for MLB players is 28, especially in terms of power. So, it wouldn't be surprising if Fielder's (not unlike Pujols) best years are behind them. Even more reason to take a pass on Morneau, btw.
  3. Alex
    So, the TLDR version of this thread is, "No."
  4. Alex
    The problem is signing Morneau doesn't give him or Colabello the chance (someone else used an excellent descriptor: stagnation). The OF will hopefully be more crowded next season with Arcia out there permanently, hopefully. The more I think about it another issue with re-signing Morneau at any price means he becomes the defacto starter. He'll be a year older and likely producing less and no ones going to sit him if he does in favor of a younger player because of his pedigree here. Another team could probably take that risk and then benching him if he's not performing, but that's a big part of the problem with signing him for "intangible" reasons. Heck I wasn't big on re-signing him in the first place, but I'm getting to the point where I think it's almost crazy.
  5. Alex
    Please feel free to share whatever evidence you have. I don't watch every 1B in the league play as I don't have the time, so I rely on people who are paid to analyze it and put it into a measurable form. EDIT: I'll also point out that the post I was responding to used ZR (and the last time he ranked highly was 2010). Morneau still looks very good in RF, but the problem there is that the Twins strike out fewer batters than anyone else in the league. This means he's getting more chances which is what range factor measures -- it doesn't actually measure range.
  6. Alex
  7. Alex
    Here's an interesting comparison: Morneau the last two seasons (age 31-32): .267/.333/.440 19 HR (570 PA) .267/.321/.431 15 HR (508 PA) Josh Willingham - (age 31-32, prior to getting 3 years at $21M) .268/.389/.459 16 HR (451 PA) .246/.332/.477 29 HR (563 PA) While these numbers don't look all that different, Willingham put up a better SLG both of those seasons (thanks to more HR power) and a significantly better OBP. So, is it realistic (or wise) with any objective reasoning to bring Morneau back on a deal that is more than a couple of million a year at best? Also, think about it from the angle of if Morneau weren't a Twin. Would we be happy seeing the signing of a .750ish OPS 1B on the FA market for a decent contract? Dare I say we'd treat it like a certain pitcher signing...Further, I'd argue that people would be rooting for more chances for CC and CP.
  8. Alex
    No one else? As G+G pointed out in their podcast, fill in first baseman are available on the FA market and a Parmelee/Collobello platoon would be fine for next season to fill in and give them a chance to get some at bats.
  9. Alex
    It's true that Mauer is most valuable catching. However there's no value in putting wear and tear on him behind the plate in non-competitive seasons.
  10. Alex
    Agreed Seth. And even one of the things I thought that would have been another good reason for trading Morneau is the ability to save his health for future seasons by allowing him to play a bit more 1B.
  11. Alex
    But he's giving fascinating insights on the value of the RBI as within a player's ability, maligning Plouffe's lack of RBIs in Rochester and Mauer's lack this year.
  12. Alex
    The better question might be, who should the Twins move this offseason if at all possible. i'd like to see Doumit, Hammer, and Correia all moved to make room on the roster for other younger players, either those in the Twins system or younger FA. I realize these guys have little value, but it would be nice to open up some space.
  13. Alex
    I think it's partially this, but I think it's also that teams realize that the value of a guy they'll only have for a couple of months at most is less valuable than the chance of decent prospect succeeding. I think that's a recent paradigm shift (last few years) one the Twins used to be good at exploiting but other teams have gotten smarter, and I think the Twins are struggling to adjust.
  14. Alex
    Hendricks? I don't see them adding anything in FA unless they trade someone away.
  15. Alex
    Love the Florimon bunt. The Twins way of manufacturing runs is really working out for us....
  16. Alex

    Morneau

    Alex replied to DaveW's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk

    It's a tough situation the Twins are in. They have essentially three aging corner/DH players who are aging and not hitting all that well (Willingham, Doumit, and Morneau). This logjam has occasionally blocked some young (Arcia) and/or interesting players (Colabello) from moving up and getting regular time or at least decent looks. Unfortunately, Doumit and Willingham are back next year for sure. Signing Morneau again puts us right back in the same spot the team was in this year, with no flexibility at any of those spots and Arcia up full time. Personally, I'd like to see Parmelee get one more shot (he's only had a season's worth of MLB PAs) and would like to see a bit more of Colabello (not saying full time but he's been adjusting well to big league pitching) and that's pretty much impossible with Morneau. The other thing that isn't being discussed here is that while we all like Morneau, there are likely to be cheaper options at his position that can be signed and fill in and aren't the risk that he is. A multi-year deal would be a mistake. You just can't have a player that has been this inconsistent locking up a spot on your roster multi-years. It's a problem that's shown itself with the Doumit extension (signed while playing really well), not trading Willingham (at peak value), and giving two years to Correia.
  17. Alex
    Turns out it was a brilliant move...set up the grand slam perfectly...
  18. Alex
    Sorry to bring us back to the game, but I hate the bunt in that situation. In a tie game, fine, but no outs two on...
  19. Alex
    Probably tough to be "definitive" (because everyone is different, physically and in pitching styles and mechanics) but there are plenty of studies and articles that show correlations, especially with younger players. And while people always go back to TJ, it's not just about TJ but lots of other injuries and an overall loss of effectiveness. Albers in particular may not have been in a situation that was worrisome (though he admitted to being tired), but I wasn't specifically discussing that. I was referring to a couple of posters pretty blindly arguing that decreased pitch counts increase injuries. There certainly haven't been studies that show higher pitch counts keep pitchers healthier. Of course, one of the interesting things to follow in the coming years will be pitchers that go through the same training that Steve Delebar went through in his accidental return to the MLB.
  20. Alex
    If you really believe this you should look into the studies that have been done on the matter. Especially look at the career case studies of Mark Prior and Kerry Wood, who had a holdover manager who didn't believe in pitch counts early in their career at a time when most managers had been convinced they were important.
  21. Alex
    Seriously bunting? Shields is showing a complete (and uncharacteristic) lack of control and you're going to give up an out with a 3-0 lead in the second? Seriously, if they think this little of Bernier's bat there's no way he should be in the majors.
  22. Alex
    Albers clearly didn't have any nerves, probably due to seeing Sensei Carroll retiring the side with no trouble on his 78 mph fastball last night.
  23. Alex
    I see Shields is trying out for the Twins rotation.
  24. Alex
    We traded Butera....
  25. Alex
    At least we got him on the bench for bunt situations!
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