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prouster

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Everything posted by prouster

  1. prouster
    I don’t know a whole lot about the Mets system, but it seems to me that Toronto is the best match on paper.
  2. prouster
    Fangraphs is currently running their annual trade value series. They ranked Kepler at 45. I guess that could meet someone’s definition of “one of the most valuable” trade candidates. I would disagree with that person, but I wouldn’t think they’re crazy.
  3. prouster
    The bad fundamentals seem to be league-wide and not Twins specific, in my opinion. My theory is that it’s the result of the growing influence of showcase circuits at the amateur level. Youth players learn how to flex specific tools rather than how to play fundamentally tight baseball.
  4. prouster
    This kind of thing happens all the time.
  5. prouster
    Not sure if this is the right thread, but here goes: Ken Rosenthal reported this morning that the Twins have made Buxton an offer north of $70 million with escalators built in. It’s not clear what those escalators are or how long the offer would extend him. Per Rosenthal, the team plans on trading Buxton if he doesn’t sign. That could be before the deadline or in the coming offseason.
  6. prouster
    These are all really good points. There would be a lot of risk involved in such a deal, especially given Pearson's injury/performance history. He has some really enticing abilities, but he hasn't figured out how to harness them yet. TopGunn: yes, I think you also bring up some good counterarguments. Hypothetically, if they could get more value than just Pearson, then taking him straight up would be a dumb move. There are definitely prospects on other teams that bring a lot to the table. I guess I'm just enamored by Pearson's unique blend of velocity and repertoire, which is why I wanted the Twins to draft him when he came out. You don't find many guys who throw 100 with the fastball and 90+ with the slider. Two that come to mind are Syndergaard and DeGrom. Now, no one's upside is DeGrom except for DeGrom himself, but if Pearson puts it together he can be a legit ace. This is all assuming the Twins are interested in trading Berrios, of course.
  7. prouster
    Honestly, I would strongly consider Berrios for Pearson straight up. That’s just my opinion—probably not likely to be shared by many others.
  8. prouster
    That’s definitely how pitchers have traditionally done it. These days I think we’re seeing more and more guys work primarily off their breaking pitches, e.g. McCullers and Wisler. Just something I wanted to throw out there.
  9. prouster
    I’d be curious to see if the low raw number of high velocity pitches has to do with usage. Do the Twins throw more breaking and off speed stuff than other teams? That could be a factor. That said, I suspect that even if they throw relatively fewer fastballs, it’s still probably not enough to account for such a stark velo difference from the rest of the league.
  10. prouster
    This is pretty much true of the first round. The further teams get into the pool rounds, the more risks they can take. I’d be shocked if they had a deal in place with Chandler at the moment.
  11. prouster
    Fabian’s power and athleticism are undeniable. The strikeouts are a huge red flag to me. Maybe it’s an approach problem that can be coached out of him, but guys who strike out a lot in college can have a really hard time making contact in pro ball.
  12. prouster
    I personally am frustrated by the lack of 80-grade names in this year’s draft. The best I can find is Kumar Rocker, and that’s a 65-grade name at most.
  13. prouster
    My guess is that for better or worse, this is probably closer to how most front offices think these days.
  14. prouster
    I’m not sure this is the best method to answer the question of Falvine’s deadline track record. Of course the players traded away will accumulate more WAR when you’re swapping major leaguers for minor leaguers—players accumulating WAR for players not yet accumulating WAR. At this point I think all we can do is evaluate the process and wait on the final results.
  15. prouster
    There’s an extremely wide gap between “RBIs don’t tell us much about how good an individual player is” and “driving in runs doesn’t matter.” The point of the game is to score more than your opponent!
  16. prouster
    Cool. Thanks for answering. I indeed had Fangraphs in mind. They seem to be stingier than some other outlets. In any case, thanks again for putting in all the work that must have gone into this.
  17. prouster
    Thanks for the list. This should be an interesting series of articles. I’m wondering where the FV numbers come from. It seems like it would be extremely unusual for there to be fifty or more players with a 50 FV at the time of the draft.
  18. prouster
    Gordon has been a really pleasant surprise. He made a dumb base running mistake last night, but overall he has been impressive. It’s good to see him driving balls to the gaps and using his wheels.
  19. prouster
    Nope. I disagreed with the original post, because I don’t think durability is a skill or ability. I think it’s probably more like a physiological trait, similar to being tall. Guys can do some things on the margins to play up that trait, but ultimately I don’t think anyone has agency over their tendency to get injured. Calling it an ability doesn’t simply suggest otherwise—it states it outright. But, whatever. I’ve said what I want to say as clearly as I can. I’ll concede. You win the internet debate.
  20. prouster
    I think we’re actually in agreement despite all this talking in circles. My point is simply that outside of a few basic things like training and nutrition, injuries are beyond human control. They just happen. I initially bristled and responded somewhat tongue in cheek to another poster who stated otherwise. That’s it. I don’t get why all this stuff about hermeneutics entered.
  21. prouster
    If durability is a skill, then it can be improved. If it’s not, then why debate it? I really don’t think it is, so I’m not interested in debating it. Agree to disagree. FWIW, I think it’s weird that you want to keep going on this. You seem to feel a lot more strongly about it than I do, and I think your feelings are coloring how you’re reading my posts.
  22. prouster
    Buxton is an arbitration player finishing out his rookie contract. As Levi pointed out, he’s costing himself a huge payday in free agency if, as you’re suggesting, he’s somehow choosing not to play.
  23. prouster
    Agree to disagree. “[Staying healthy] is an ability just like being fast or having power” places the onus on the player to somehow cultivate their durability. Obviously there are things all players do for exactly that reason, like working out, eating well, and stretching regularly. But beyond the obvious things, there doesn’t really seem to be anything anyone can do to cultivate their durability other than retiring. It’s not on the player. Some things are simply beyond anyone’s control. FWIW, there are some posters who seem to like taking pot shots at Buxton whenever possible. Not naming names, but…
  24. prouster
    The person was clearly suggesting that Buxton has been doing something wrong, which undercuts the token acknowledgement of the role luck may play in injuries. Running into walls, probably not a great idea. Maybe there’s a different exercise or stretching regimen that could reduce the risk of muscle and ligament injuries. But there’s nothing a guy can do about getting drilled with pitches or colliding in the field with his teammates, both of which have caused Buxton to miss time with concussions and other things. Off the top of my head (I don’t care enough about this to look anything up), the only recent injuries not caused by HBP or person to person collisions have been his shoulder (outfield wall) and his hip. The migraines have been a persistent issue, but we don’t know enough to say whether they are related to his concussions or not. Anyway, my point is that I think it’s stupid and ignorant to blame the player—even implicitly—when he gets hurt. People spewed that same garbage all the time about Mauer. I dunno, maybe there’s something in Minnesota sports fan pathology that causes some people to lash out at the team’s best player.
  25. prouster
    It’s an ability to not break your hand when someone drills it with a 95 mph fastball?
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