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terencemann

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Everything posted by terencemann

  1. terencemann
    The top prospect lists just reinforce my thinking that the new front office has a steep uphill climb. Sure, there are a lot of young players on the MLB roster but, other than Buxton and Sano, none of them have really established the potential to be first division starters that carry a team through the playoffs. The cupboard is getting a little bare and I don't know if the Twins have the players at the MLB level to win the division and they haven't drafted well enough to bring on the next star player or even give them the ammo to trade for what they need in the near future. Just a lot of anxiety on my part about the players at the MLB level and the newest reports on the Twins farm system don't help.
  2. terencemann
    Yes. Please, for the love of God, no more Aaron Hickses skipping AAA based on a month of scrimmages.
  3. terencemann
    This is a really thoughtful article. I enjoy that McDaniel can bring in different references to what he does. It really keeps me going back. He's so thorough...
  4. terencemann
    He's certainly seems like a nice guy but a sub-4 K/9 against 2 walks per 9 innings isn't going to work for long.
  5. terencemann
    I think my problem with Rosario isn't Rosario himself or what the Twins are doing with him from a developmental stand-point. My problem is that the Twins did not acquire a major leauge caliber center fielder for 2015, meaning a guy capable of playing replacement level baseball as the regular center fielder over the course of the season (or a platoon). If you leave a gaping hole in the roster as large as they did, these things are going to happen. Rosario doesn't belong in the majors at this point and that's on the Twins, imo.
  6. terencemann
    The situation in CF is just pretty awful anyway you look at it. If Hunter continues to hit and Arcia comes around, at least they're getting something on the offensive side of the baseball from the outfield.
  7. terencemann
    I'm all for this, for now. Schafer is the kind of player who will get hot for 3 weeks and then you have to waive him just to get the manager to stop using him becuase they won't realize he's still Jordan Schafer.
  8. terencemann
    Mauer's knees might be cooked, too. It might not just be about head injuries. You really don't want to end up with a $20MM player who is just faking it out there.
  9. terencemann
    Schafer put up a .381 wOBA over 146 PAs in the first half of 2013 but it was largely BABIP driven which meant that, when his luck ran out, he was worse than BJ Upton. His speed is a very real part of his game now and he can add value with it but he will need to show me that he can hit well over a long stretch of time before I buy into what he's doing and believe he can make the day-to-day adjustments he needs to be a good hitter. In addition to what might be mechanical adjustments mentioned above, the good news is Schafer has walked as much as he's struck out this month so I'll be curious to see if he can build off that. If he can hit just a little, he'll make for a decent bench guy. That just hasn't been the case for him in his career so far. The problem for the Braves with Schafer was, because of his speed, he could do well for a few weeks and it will buy him playing time with Fredi Gonzalez for a couple months that should have gone to someone else.
  10. terencemann
    Ooops. My bad. In any case, my argument is still that I want to see them continue to drag pitching into the system.
  11. terencemann
    Stewart is so young, I wouldn't worry about blocking him right now. What they need to worry about is finding better pitchers than their current rotation if they want to be a winning team in the next few years. My worry is not that, in the end, the current rotation isn't good enough, it's that this front office is not a good judge of how to spend money on pitching. If this rotation continues to suck all season and they go out and sign another Hughes, I guess I just give up.
  12. terencemann
    I don't know what Dozier would bring back unless he continues to do what he's doing for a couple months but I think trying to sell high on some players is the best bet if the Twins really do want to build a team around guys like Sano/Buxton/Meyer. They still have a lot of holes to fill and it wont' all come from the minors and I don't think they have the resources to plug every hole from free agency. I'd like to see the Twins continue to stuff their minor leagues with as much pitching as possible.
  13. terencemann
    I feel like the only problem with LoMo in Miami was that the team was giving him flack for Twitter at a time when he was performing. That's what caused the personality friction. Since that time, he has been a far less productive player but I don't think the 2 things are connected. If the Twins were to acquire him in order to play the LHB side of a platoon for DH and occasionally an outfield spot with a few starts at 1B, then I can't see why he wouldn't enjoy playing for a team that wants to give him an opportunity to succeed.
  14. terencemann
    I would point out that a lot of those teams, even the ones who have been relevant for a while like the Braves, Cards, and Rays, keep the farm system pumping and don't cling to players after their useful value to the team has expired (at least not by too much). The Braves, Cards and Pirates use free agency and trades to acquire talented players but it's the flexibility their farm systems give them that allows them to do that.
  15. terencemann
    I would be a little surprised to see Rosario and Buxton on the 2014 Twins. Rosario looks like he needs at least another full season in the minors and they probably won't rush Buxton.
  16. terencemann
    I think Mayo is probably the least credible of the major prospect writers so I have some bias here but I also think his picks in the past seem to be skewed by fantasy baseball in that he appears to choose higher floor players who are more ready to make an impact in the next season over players with higher ceilings. Franco could be an opening day starter for the Phillies but Sano probably won't be up until late in the season, for example.
  17. terencemann
    I think the moral of the story is Jim Bowden says a lot of things and, if he were any good at building a baseball team, he'd be working in a front office and not writing for a website (no offense, Twins Daily writers. You guys are great).
  18. terencemann
    To me it just looks like the front office has no interest in major league talent other than guys who can give Mauer some rest (like Doumit) or filling in a massive black hole (Worley and Willingham). Even then, they're going after replacement level to average talent and not first tier players so it's clear there's really no focus on building a winner at the MLB level. I don't mind being patient I just think it's not worth grinding my teeth over which AAAA player starts in right field on a given night. No matter what they say to the press, it's just clear that the front office knows these players aren't going to turn the Twins into contenders but there are always opportunities for good value players like Doumit or Willingham (at least when they were playing well). If you want to compare the Cubs to the Twins, then I think the Twins need to do more to sell high on players. As far as judging rebuilding teams go, it's not so much about how quickly the team gets back to the playoffs (if they do it in 2 seasons, is it really a "rebuild"?) as it is about what they do once the seeds planted in the rebuild come to fruition. Dayton Moore will be judged on what the Royals do over the next couple seasons because this is the time when he needs to build a team around the young players the Royals drafted and developed. For the Twins, the clock starts when players like Sano and Buxton start to surface: that's when you know if it was worth it.
  19. terencemann
    If they can gain a player they can use in the future and they're not planning to bring Morneau back, then they should eat whatever they have to. It's a sunk cost on a losing season. It can only help them as sliding down in the standings could get them a better draft pick. As a Cubs fan, I know my other team is coming for the Twins' draft slot pretty hard
  20. terencemann
    I have the same concern about the coaches. There's not a lot of evidence behind it, but how many guys have recently joined the Twins from other teams and then suddenly taken a big step forward?
  21. terencemann
    Because it's getting better over time and both Fangraphs and BBREF would probably tell you that the other site's WAR is actually a pretty good estimate of the player's over-all value? It's probably a lot easier to pick up an average offensive first baseman on the cheap (the Rays have been doing it for years - not to make another "be like the Rays" post) than it is to pick up a catcher of equal value. I like what the Twins did by acquiring Doumit to play a lot of games behind the dish and also fill in at other positions and I hope they can figure out how to do something similar in the future. Positional flexibility is actually a pretty progressive idea and a pretty good idea, imho. Playing ~100 games at catcher isn't going to kill Mauer. This wasn't a very common injury and he gives them a ton of flexibility elsewhere by holding down catcher for 3/4 of the season.
  22. terencemann
    The thing is, those trades came down to other factors. The Rays probably didn't trade Young because of stats; they traded him because he had terrible make-up issues (insert pun here) and they got the chance to acquire several mid-tier prospects for him to fill out some of the many holes they had in their lineup going forward. The Santana trade is a well chronicled failure of the Twins to acquire the high-end pieces they wanted. You can ding them for poor negotiating but those are trades that come down to a combination of scouting and judgement and not stats. The issue isn't so much about having an analytic department or not having one. You can have 10 people in that department or none (as the Rangers claim) but if your front office doesn't listen to those people enough or those people can't communicate what they're finding well enough or if the decision makers don't have the acumen to make use of that data then it doesn't matter.
  23. terencemann
    My issue with what Pohlad said is, if they know they have to build for the future, why do they keep clinging to veterans who could bring back players who could help them in the future? I'm not suggesting they don't understand how dire the situation is, but I do think they aren't acting like it is dire.
  24. terencemann
    I don't think money will be an issue because I don't think a lot of teams will have a lot of interest in Morneau. "Since the trade deadline" isn't really a signficant amount of games. Anybody can get hot for a week. I really don't like the idea of the Twins bringing him back but I don't know if they're going to have a lot of options, either. There's a pretty poor crop of first basemen coming up this off-season. Kelly Johnson might be a decent acquisition on a short term deal if they want to bolster their infield. He has more home runs this season than any Twin and that's tough to do when you play half your games in Tampa.
  25. terencemann
    My problem with Ryan is that, once he made the trades, he decided that the team's best option was to sacrifice a year of control on Hicks and rush him up the the majors and then leave him there once it was clear he wasn't ready. It's a wasted year no matter what at the ML level (and if they didn't think it was going to be a wasted year, they would have gone after much better pitching than they did) but now they may have wasted one of the better assets they had in the organization at the moment.
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