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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    Team started their tailspin when they made the big trade. And forgot how to take advantage of power plays. The hottest team going into the playoffs was the Blues. Unfortunate timing.
  2. jimmer
    Im guessing Mike was talking about him being in the HOF.
  3. jimmer
    they should look at that play...cause he was out.
  4. jimmer
    doncha know... Forgot that part ;-)
  5. jimmer
    Dick and Bert can see what's going on behind Ervin Santana's eyes. Kind of like Trump knowing what Jackson was thinking during the civil war :-)
  6. jimmer
    Ervin Santana knows what he'd doing out there. Quality information brought to us by Dick and Bert
  7. jimmer
    frustrating
  8. jimmer
    They should all wear their pant legs high and wear stir-ups too.
  9. jimmer
    Joe. Do something this time.
  10. jimmer
    maybe if the guys in our broadcast booth talk about Hicks performance this year during the broadcast, they won't blatantly give us incorrect 'facts' about it like last time. Nah, they probably would. :-)
  11. jimmer
    Hicks had another HR
  12. jimmer
    I like how he's claiming credit for getting the temporary budget done. Saying he and the Republicans won, even though he didn't get most of what he wanted AND another Republican said the Democrats cleaned their clock. Of course, prior to claiming victory, he said the country needed a good government shutdown because of the budget not going the way he wanted it. But hey, now that it's done, it's a victory for the Republicans due to Trumps leadership. No contrary thoughts going on there.
  13. jimmer
    Not sure why fWAR would be what you look at over eras, but not season to season. As good as FIP is, it doesn't take into account league average or the league the pitcher pitches in. It would make one think a NL pitcher with a FIP of 3.00 is just as impressive as an AL pitcher with a FIP of 3.00. And we've been doing the adjustment in our heads way before fWAR or bWAR existed anyway. We all do that adjustment when talking about pitchers who move from league to league. Say things like, the NL pitcher is coming to the AL so we shouldn't expect him to do as well, and vice versa. fWAR just takes it into account for us. But if it's a rate stat you like, at least FIP- would get us closer than FIP (and way closer than ERA) But, anyway, I appreciate the discussion.
  14. jimmer
    exactly!
  15. jimmer
    for me, if looking at a pitcher's performance, FIP. If looking at pitchers performance along with things quite a bit of of his control (to include other players' performance), ERA.
  16. jimmer
    Its the sound of the Hulk's bat hitting the ball that makes me shudder.
  17. jimmer
    In regards to fWAR, because fWAR takes FIP (a stat you like) and then factors in league average and league adjustment.
  18. jimmer
    The Hulk can flat out smash!
  19. jimmer
    not sure if you saw my edit earlier Why FIP: Ultimately, we want to use statistics that allow us to isolate the performance of the player we are attempting to analyze. ERA or RA9 do a terrific job telling us how many runs were scored while the pitcher was on the mound, but they do not necessarily tell us how well the pitcher performed because the number of runs a pitcher allowed is also dependent on their defense, luck, and the order in which events happened (often called sequencing). FIP is an attempt to isolate the performance of the pitcher by using only those outcomes we know do not involve luck on balls in play or defense; strikeouts, walks, hit batters, and home runs allowed. Research has shown that pitchers have very little control on the outcome of balls in play, so while we care about how often a pitcher allows a ball to be put into play, whether a ground ball goes for a hit or is turned into an out is almost entirely out of their control. As a result, a statistic (FIP) that estimates their ERA based on their strikeouts, walks, hit batters, and home runs while assuming average luck on balls in play, defense, and sequencing is a better reflection of that pitcher’s performance over a given period of time. This is highly related to the reasons why we care so much about Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP), specifically the fact that pitchers have very little control over their BABIP allowed. So, for me, if looking at a pitcher's performance, FIP. If looking at pitchers performance along with things quite a bit of of his control (to include other players' performance), ERA.
  20. jimmer
    over a long career FIP and ERA can get close, but I thought we were looking at season versus season.
  21. jimmer
    See, I don't buy ERA is what happened. ERA is what happened if you want to include team defense and 30 different scorers opinions of what is or isn't an error. Why FIP: Ultimately, we want to use statistics that allow us to isolate the performance of the player we are attempting to analyze. ERA or RA9 do a terrific job telling us how many runs were scored while the pitcher was on the mound, but they do not necessarily tell us how well the pitcher performed because the number of runs a pitcher allowed is also dependent on their defense, luck, and the order in which events happened (often called sequencing). FIP is an attempt to isolate the performance of the pitcher by using only those outcomes we know do not involve luck on balls in play or defense; strikeouts, walks, hit batters, and home runs allowed. Research has shown that pitchers have very little control on the outcome of balls in play, so while we care about how often a pitcher allows a ball to be put into play, whether a ground ball goes for a hit or is turned into an out is almost entirely out of their control. As a result, a statistic (FIP) that estimates their ERA based on their strikeouts, walks, hit batters, and home runs while assuming average luck on balls in play, defense, and sequencing is a better reflection of that pitcher’s performance over a given period of time. This is highly related to the reasons why we care so much about Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP), specifically the fact that pitchers have very little control over their BABIP allowed.
  22. jimmer
    So then you don't like FIP because it bakes in IP?
  23. jimmer
    I HOPE he can continue to be close to league average. I haven't been impressed with his defense this year (or, at least, when I compare it to many 3Bs). For HIM, he is playing decent so far. Again, hopefully he can maintain that through the season. Would I bet on it? No.
  24. jimmer
    Sano's wRC+=210, Trout's is 221 (leading the AL). So if they both play the same as they are now, Trout still wins.
  25. jimmer
    oh, he'll blame the Democrats if it happens.
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