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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. James is a legend in advanced metrics and the people who continue on and expand in the field rightly give him respect; however, the idea that because he was at the top of the game in the 80s means he's right every time he complains about someone else's theories seems odd.
  2. Mauer should regress. I'd guess a minimum of 125 wRC+ and wouldn't be surprised if it was in the 130s or even the 140s.
  3. We saw some of that in the 2nd half. Dozier just raised his OBP.
  4. 2015 Positional Power rankings. Twins #9 at 2B. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2015-positional-power-rankings-second-base/ 'The surprising thing about Brian Dozier in 2013 was his power. It was only natural to wonder if he could maintain it into 2014, and sure enough, he did. In 2014, then, the surprising thing about Brian Dozier was his plate discipline, and now we get to wonder if he’ll keep that up too. Dozier posted a top-15 walk rate among qualified batters last season, completing a three-year transformation from “no power, no discipline middle infielder” to “some power, no discipline, average second baseman” to “good power, good discipline, solid starter.” Then there’s the underrated part of Dozier’s game — his baserunning, where he was bested only by Ben Revere and Dee Gordon last season. The forecasts expect a good deal of regression from Dozier, most notably in the on-base department, but Dozier’s already fooled everyone the last two seasons, so who’s to say he won’t make it a third in 2015?'
  5. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/brian-dozier-twins-agree-to-a-safe-contract/ Fangraph's take on the Dozier contract.
  6. I liked how Dozier adjusted to the pitchers' adjustments in the 2nd half. If he can maintain the kind of OBP he had in the 2nd half, that'd be nice.
  7. Are we thinking that slash-line is good, though? OBP of .290.
  8. You think Arcia could be going to Rochester or are you talking Vargas?
  9. I hope a GM considers all the players as assets from a business standpoint. Right offer comes along, you have to seriously consider it even if you never really planed to trade the guy to begin with. Contracts like that will likely see offers coming if he keeps perfroming the way he is. He'd be a low cost guy producing at a high rate and worth a good return.
  10. If it didn't, I would be disappointed. Not that I want him gone, because I don't, but that they didn't consider how well they had set up a trade situation if they wanted to pursue it. I have pretty much zero doubt he'll be well worth what he gets in the next four years.
  11. Yeah, I'd really wait on Arcia. Can't play defense, streaky offense. Maybe he's our future DH? Maybe.
  12. I mentioned trade due to the MI prospects we have coming up. You know, kind of how we traded Span when we had a young Revere and Hicks waiting...
  13. we'll see. I hope you're right. let's hope that by 1 May he hasn't spend any time out in CF.
  14. Ryan didn't concur in public on that. Molitor said for sure, then Ryan said he wasn't sure, then Molitor backtracked. I'm just saying, it's not definitive.
  15. Molitor may have made it clear Santana will be a shortstop to start the year, but Ryan makes the active roster and if the 25 man roster makes Escobar shortstop and Santana CF our best option, we could very well see that right out the gate if not soon after.
  16. Speaking of Substance versus Style. ESPN just released it's top 10 list of CFs for 2015. Span was nowhere to be found. Here's a guy who was 7th in CF WAR and 17th in OF War, period. But they have guys like Wil Myers on there who hasn't even played CF, and Billy Hamilton. Yes, he may not play the start of 2015, maybe, but he's going to be playing. Maybe they think his injury will hurt him too much, but he's not even mentioned in the article. Nothing about, 'hey there's this guy, Span ,who has been good for a good amount of time, he's not on the list because of this injury and we think it'll affect him all season.
  17. If Escobar can continue to perform how he did last season, I agree. He can play two or three times a week and fill in at 3 spots.
  18. While we're at it, let's return Hicks to pitching.
  19. When I read the title of this I thought it was a Span versus Revere discussion :-)
  20. The guy who is so good he has seen three major league teams, has been traded twice (one time for Sam Fuld by a guy who has a good track record for knowing talent) and yet still hasn't reach arbitration yet. Has an AL FIP around 4.30 and likely had a quality ERA due to a very good pitcher's park and quality defense behind him because he isn't striking out a good chunk of guys.
  21. thanks to you and Brock for the cap space info. I literally had no idea about this. Never heard this and I love to learn, so that's great stuff. And I appreciate you putting out that reasoning so eloquently. I agree May is more polished, I'm not sure Meyer is going to get any more out of being in the minors.
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