Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jimmer

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,027

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    32

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    BTW, Tom, what you wrote was a very enjoyable read, thank you. It's nice to hear the Twins are having so much fun. Baseball should be fun.
  2. jimmer
    At this point, some are basically suggesting, in their knocks against their 'negative' articles, that national writers not post anything about the Twins unless they watch every minute of every game lest they have one or two inaccurate things and be dismissed as not knowing what they are talking about. That's asking too much ...and yet for a long time the complaint was the national writers ignore us.
  3. jimmer
    That's not really the same thing at all, but since you said that...you mean like the big positive thread I put up 2-3 days ago and which only had 9 responses? It was all about some of the positive things going for us this year. There were even suggested topics to be expounded on in other threads if one wanted to, as I pointed out in my BTW at the end. I was hoping all the people who like to point out all the negative threads would roll with it and there would be a lot more positive threads for us to discuss... and it got 9 responses. This isn't a complaint, just an interesting observation.
  4. jimmer
    Seems the popular opinion is that any story/article/evaluation that shows the Twins in a positive light is considered well done, well researched, well reasoned, etc. and any that doesn't show the Twins in a positive light gets nitpicked and labeled poorly done, poorly researched, bias against the Twins, etc.
  5. jimmer
    Tulo was the best shortstop by a mile coming into this season and he's having a slow start. Unless he's fallen off a cliff, he'd be a vast improvement on our team and most teams. In fact, even if he only averaged 120 games before having his annual injury, 120 games of Tulo and 42 games of others still makes that combo shorstop situation in the game.
  6. jimmer
    Now THIS is a fantastic post!
  7. jimmer
    I'm as big of a Mauer defender as there is because, hey, what a talent, but he's been bad with the bat this year, overall. He can't even blame a bad BABIP because his is .325. Even with the RBI, he's been below average, overall, in creating runs. Now, he does have a fantastic history which is likely why he gets a pass from some over some younger players because he's proven he can do it in the majors over a larger time period and they haven't. Some people expect him to eventually pull out of this because of it and because it's hard to believe someone who was doing so well as recently as mid 2013 has fallen off so steeply. He may, and he may not.
  8. jimmer
    He was having a very good year in 2013 until he had a concussion and he had a very good year the year before. Maybe it has more to do with the concussion than being married.
  9. jimmer
    Not going to stop me from singing the song
  10. jimmer
    Ow, we want the Funk Give up the Funk Ow, we need the Funk We gotta have that Funk
  11. jimmer
    he's being shifted to pull nowadays though due to his approach early in the season, right? Or is that just in the IF. In any even, he's pulled more than he's gone opposite field this year, I believe.
  12. jimmer
    http://www.fangraphs.com/library/stats-to-avoid-runs-batted-in-rbi/ http://www.fangraphs.com/not/rbi-what-is-it-good-for/
  13. jimmer
    The RBI stat itself, by itself, doesn't tell you how a guy hit with men on base. In fact, if there's a guy at 1B, and the batter gets a hit and and that guy on 1B doesn't score, there is no RBI. The guy on 1B falls under the 'men on base' category, but the batter didn't get an RBI. So how does RBI measure how well that guy hit with men on when he got no RBI? BA/OBP/SLG% with RISP measures how well someone with with RISP. You can get an RBI while grounding out to 2B, he didn't hit well with RISP, but he got one.
  14. jimmer
    I went out of my way to say it was a severe short sample size, and he beat the shift on the hit, which he should get some credit for. Again, I don't overly care about the RBI stat (actually, practically not at all), my post was talking about how he performed in those situations (men on and men is scoring position) in regards to OPS relative to the league. RBI isn't part of OPS, so knock him for getting 3 RBI, fine, but that's more a shot on overvaluing the RBI as a way to evaluate a player than anything else, not a shot in how he performed with men on or men with RISP.
  15. jimmer
    Mauer's got an sOPS+ (which is OPS + relative to the league) of 158 with men on (and 175 with RISP which might be more applicable since we are talking about RBI). Remember league average is 100. So, while I'd disagree with the idea that Mauer has only been a bit better with men on, I'd agree with the part that it can't last because it's so high. And we need to remember, severe short sample size. It's only 52 PAs.
  16. jimmer
    And this is why I like wRC+ more than traditional stats. Gives us a better picture of how many runs the player created with his offensive contributions, not just HR and RBI. And I will go back to this scenario, which comes up quite a bit. Guy gets a walk, the next guy gets a single to RF and the guy goes from 1st to 3rd. The next guy creates an out by hitting the ball just deep enough to score the guy on 3B. The guy on first gets a run scored, the guy who flew out gets an RBI, and the guy who put the runner at 3B where he would be able to score on a SAC fly gets no credit, at all, in traditional stat line in regards to that guy scoring, yet he was vital to the guy scoring.
  17. jimmer
    Brock, I get what you're saying and I'm just enjoying the conversation. BTW, for his career, Mauer's OPS is 20% better than his normal OPS with a .362 BABIP.
  18. jimmer
    all I'm saying is this, and I probably wasn't clear, just because a league does a bit better as whole in RISP doesn't mean 'almost every batter does better with RISP'. Some do way better, which skews the numbers, some do slightly worse or way worse, etc. I think what's mostly been determined is that over the course of a long career, hitters will bat close to their career overall numbers norms, whether it's with RISP or not. So the great hitters will hit great with RISP and the bad hitters won't.
  19. jimmer
    And even so, how many do better than Joe has done over the course of a career so long? Because that's truly the main point in regards to this thread when talking about how he's all of a sudden become and RBI guy this year or clutch this year.
  20. jimmer
    The year is early, some players do so much better that it skews the averages But to say almost every batter does better with RISP for a few months and then can maintain that kind of much better numbers over a long career is a different thing, IMO.
  21. jimmer
    Please read this http://stats.seandolinar.com/risp/ in the wrap-up the writer says: ' I don’t exactly have an explanation, but it appears that there are more MLBers that bat worse with RISP than overall. My one thought is that pitchers are pitching more cautiously or that fresh relief pitchers are more likely to come into the game when there’s a runner in scoring position.'
  22. jimmer
    Do you have supporting evidence to support that theory? Please read this http://stats.seandolinar.com/risp/ in the wrap-up the writer says: ' I don’t exactly have an explanation, but it appears that there are more MLBers that bat worse with RISP than overall. My one thought is that pitchers are pitching more cautiously or that fresh relief pitchers are more likely to come into the game when there’s a runner in scoring position.' In any event, how many have players have numbers that are that good over the course of a career that long. Even if the theory is correct, which I've never heard until now, they'd still need to be a better line than Mauer's numbers with RISP, on average, to show he hasn't been very good in those situations.
  23. jimmer
    For his career, does he take a lot of walks in those situations because some pitchers/teams would rather not give him anything decent to hit in those situations (especially if it's in a critical situation). because he does so well in those situations (and because he's such a good hitter, period)? Notice 1/3 of the walks he has in those situations are intentional walks? I wonder how many more are because they nibble around and say, 'well, if I can get him to swing at something bad and get weak contact or a strikeout, that's fine, but If not putting him on base isn't as bad as the alternative?' If I was someone who thought the RBI stat was a good way to judge a hitter, I would be pretty happy with the amount Mauer has right now, but he's been below average at creating runs this season, so overall, his overall offensive performance has been bad, which hurts me to say.
  24. jimmer
    For his career, Mauer bats .333/.457/.480 with RISP. Those numbers are better than his career slashline in every category. Yes, this year his numbers with RISP are even better, but it's not like he's always been a slacker in RBI situations. RBI is a stat this is dependent on opportunities. Dependent on other players getting into scoring position. His clutch numbers are also very good across the board for his career, for those who talk about how clutch he has or hasn't been in his career. http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=mauerjo01&year=Career&t=b
  25. jimmer
    totally my fault.
×
×
  • Create New...