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Everything posted by jimbo92107
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Is there a better name in the Twins minor league system than Kerby Camacho?
- 22 replies
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- adam brett walker
- brett lee
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I'm pretty confident in what I saw of Tyler Duffey against the Blue Jays. His stuff is very good, although his command was destroyed by the pressure of his first start and facing a killer first six for the Jays. Otherwise, Duffey is a big, strong guy built a lot like Trevor May. Good tilt on his breaking stuff, downward plane on his fastball, mostly keeps the ball low in the zone. All good signs. I expect him to be what he was in the minors, a horse.
- 8 replies
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- trevor may
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Article: What Happened To Oswaldo Arcia?
jimbo92107 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
A lot of Arcia's power came from his strong hip turn, so a lingering hip injury would explain Oswaldo Arcia's predicament pretty well. Even if it's "healed up," he could be swinging the bat with a less vigorous hip turn for fear of re-injuring it, which would change his swing, killing his batting average and power. Dang, what a lousy way to spend this transition year, stuck in AAA nursing a bad hip. Arcia could wind up going to some other team, then become Nick Swisher 2.0. -
I don't think BABIP takes into account the velocity of the ball off the bat. Sano hits the ball so hard, it reduces the time for fielders to get their glove on the ball. The same thing is now starting to happen for Aaron Hicks since he developed his new kick and bat wave. The ball is coming off his bat harder, too. But not as hard as off Sano's bat... ;-)
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Article: On Pitch Framing And Glen Perkins
jimbo92107 replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The difference between an art and a science is measurements, but the ability to quantify something as complex and subtle as "pitch framing" doesn't sound like it has crossed the line into science. For one thing, we're talking about the perceptions of umpires regarding the behavior of catchers, a combination whose variables themselves vary from one instance to another. Even so, clearly there is something going on. If a catcher stabs his glove away from the strike zone to catch every pitch, his "pitch framing" will probably be awful no matter the umpire. A slightly better technique is to position the glove outside the zone and move it inwards. Then there's the trick of freezing the glove after the catch, having moved it slightly in towards the zone. Then there are other, more subtle tricks, like positioning your body a certain way, knowing the ump looks a certain way over your shoulder, to make certain pitches seem more centered in the zone. Or really obvious tricks like saying, "Wow, that was a great pitch," after a close one. You can seen catchers lobbying in this way, sometimes pointing a finger at the pitcher to say "great pitch," sometimes freezing the glove, etc. Maybe what the Twins need is a catcher that's also a used car salesman. You want a polite, chatty, optimistic, enthusiastic guy that's certain his pitcher has great stuff today, and by the way ump, you're looking particularly good, too!- 30 replies
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Article: Coming Soon: Jose Berrios
jimbo92107 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agreed, but like others I'm a little leery of his innings. TR said he doesn't have Jose Barrios on a specific innings count, but I'm sure they'll be keeping a close eye on him. I like that Berrios already has the makings of a complete pitcher. His delivery is deceptive, he varies speeds on his pitches, and he's even good at picking off runners. Question: Did the Twins really "develop" this kid, or were they just really perceptive/lucky to find him? It sounds like Berrios had the fiery ambition right from the start. Maybe that's a factor the scouts should be looking for. -
Naw, I'm just reflecting the trendy pessimism of about half the guys here. As soon as some "broken" player leaves the Twins, he has a career year. Should have used the /snark tag... ;-)
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- mike pelfrey
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Article: Coming Soon: Jose Berrios
jimbo92107 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I can't wait to see Berrios. The kid sounds like a real competitor with great stuff. -
You guys do realize that Nolasco will have a fantastic comeback season next year, right? Twins give up on an injured pitcher, he goes anywhere else, he shines. Same thing could happen to Arcia. Send him to Boston, watch him become another home run hitter of historic dimensions, tho Boston would much rather have Vargas.
- 75 replies
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- mike pelfrey
- ervin santana
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One encouraging thing is the rise of Bryce Harper. In his first year, some were wondering if Harper could avoid nagging little injuries, much like Buxton. I derive some hope from Harper's progress in that area. Buxton is a smart guy. I'm sure he's aware that if he keeps breaking fingers and whacking heads with teammates, he's not going to do the Twins much good.
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Two things: First, we have little reason to think JO Berrios would have done much better than Tyler Duffey did against the raging bats of Toronto. Which of those two would you rather have traumatized by that experienced, Duffey or Berrios? Second, Duffey clearly was about as nervous and adrenalized as a young guy could get without having a heart attack. His disastrous debut revealed almost nothing about his future career. Despite this one instance, Duffey is not known for hurling a heaping helping of homers.
- 28 replies
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- jose berrios
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Article: We Wouldn't Have Lost If You'd Beaten Us
jimbo92107 replied to formerly33's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Looks like you finally arrived at the place you started, but with a better understanding. Yogi Berra's line, "You wouldn't have won if we had beaten you," already contains within it the seed of the same sentiment you paraphrased. Yogi's team, the New York Yankees have a long history of indoctrinating their players with a presumption of not just superiority, but victory. We see it every time the Twins play them, and Minnesota Nice doesn't measure up. We even see it in former Yankees like Eduardo Nunez, who steps up to the plate against every pitcher like he owns the stadium. Of course, a presumption of superiority/victory looks pretty silly when the Twins are over-matched by a team like Toronto (or is it?), but against average teams, that level of inner confidence and expectation of success can help players apply pressure to the opponent, rather than feeling the pressure themselves. A perfect example was Tyler Duffey's debut. By the time he first toed the rubber, he was already defeated. Why? Because he could see his doom in the first six batters, each of whom he knew was capable of jacking a baseball into the second deck. That knowledge, amplified by the situation (professional debut, packed stadium) made it very unlikely that he would succeed. Duffey felt that pressure bearing down on him, and it completely threw him off his game. Suddenly he was yanking fastballs and falling off on curves, getting behind hitters, then piping a fastball over the middle. Duffey had 'lost it' even before they beat him. The only way to counter that pressure is with a heavy dose of presumption. You have to take that mound like you are friggin' Nolan Ryan, own that stadium like Babe Ruth. Doesn't matter if it's true or not; you have to buy into that illusion for the sake of competing. Obviously it can't be completely an illusion; Duffey is a big, strong, skilled pitcher whose stuff can in fact get guys out. But Toronto first six guys were able to convince him otherwise, before they even stepped up. Unfortunately, you can't maintain that attitude without making it a team policy to constantly reinforce it. That's why people find the Yankees so insufferable. They are arrogant because that's an integral part of their coaching. Yogi Berra may have had that attitude all along, but the Yankees also teach it, and it works. -
You can't run while straddling a picket fence. Don't even try. It is kind of confusing that the Twins neither traded for talent nor called up guys from their own system, until you realize that it probably just didn't matter. The Twins opted for the future value of patient development, judging that it's better to allow minor league players to continue without big league pressure for a little longer. Wednesday we saw what pressure can do to a young pitcher. Tyler Duffey, probably the most mlb-ready arm in the system, got hammered by the most intimidating lineup in the majors. Clearly nervous, he was yanking his fastballs, falling away on his curves, stuff that's doubtless very unusual for him. He immediately got behind hitters, walked some, and then they punished him relentlessly. Toronto has so many power hitters now, you can't pitch around anybody. In this case (big old 20-20 hindsight) it would have been far better to give Trevor May a spot start. Hopefully Duffey woke up this morning, wiped the sweat off his face and said, "What an awful dream!" Probably he won't look so bad in his next start. Earlier we saw what too much pressure did to Danny Santana. Broke the kid down emotionally, and now he's trying to pick himself up in AAA. Same thing happened to Kennys Vargas and Oswaldo Arcia. The pressure to produce broke them down, and now they're trying to build themselves back up. Both Vargas and Arcia lost the confidence to bash balls over the fence, for fear of striking out. Maybe the hardest thing in pro baseball is learning to deal with failure in a constructive way. You can make the adjustments quickly, slowly, or not at all. The flip side of that argument puts the onus on management. The Minnesota Twins have been sending mixed messages to power hitters for quite a while now. Nearly drove David Ortiz crazy, and he was glad to escape to Boston, where they told him to go ahead and bash balls over the fence, and to hell with the K's. The Twins have always worried a lot about strikeouts, which can be ruinous to the mindset of young power hitters, who need to develop an aggressive approach where the green light is almost always on. You take away that aggression, guess what else goes away? The power. This is probably why it is futile to wish for Adam Brett Walker in a Twins uniform anytime soon. The way the Twins abhor strikeouts, why would they ever consider bringing up a guy that whiffs 40 percent of the time?? Problem is, that still leaves 60 percent of the time that something dramatic happens. Most power hitters are not careful card players; their game is high stakes poker, seven card stud. They get good at reading the tells, and they pounce when they see their pitch. You can't tell these guys to back off and play more carefully. It's not their game.
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Article: Will The Twins Ever Hit Again?
jimbo92107 replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They refuse to call up the one man that can save them: Oswaldo Arcia. Lefty power bat behind Sano against a soft-tossing rightie pitcher. Boom boom boom boom.- 45 replies
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- joe mauer
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Jermaine Palacios (Spanish for "pertinent palace") sounds like his body is as thin as his bat. Somebody give that kid a sandwich! I still think Der Kid should get hitter of the month. Come on, AA is a lot tougher pitching than that Gulf Coast kiddie pool! Still, it's good that Pertinent Palace looks like a top prospect. Infielders that can hit, can you believe it?
- 16 replies
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- jermaine palacios
- max kepler
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Article: The Twins Prospect Demanding Your Attention
jimbo92107 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You can see why they've been playing Der Kid at 1B as well as the outfield. With Eddie Rosario and Aaron Hicks both hitting now, and Byron Buxton coming back to CF, there's no regular spot for Max Kepler in the outfield. He's too much like another Rosario, which is actually a good thing, but we already have one. Fact is, Joe Mauer's bat doesn't fit a power position like 1st base. Kepler's not a big home run hitter either at the moment, but his numbers keep getting better, and it's looking like his power will continue to develop. With all those triples, we know Kepler's got serious speed, too. Sounds like an offensive upgrade, unless/until Kennys Vargas starts really mashing the ball in AA. Having good young prospects is always a positive sign, even if it means pushing aside former superstars like Mauer. The game has always belonged to the 20-somethings, with just a few grizzled 30-somethings to provide mentoring and leadership. Mauer can still play, but right now I don't see how Kepler wouldn't be an improvement at 1st base. -
Article: Aaron Hicks. He's So Hot Right Now.
jimbo92107 replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Last year I observed Hicks doing what I called "The French Mistake," h/t to Blazing Saddles, where he'd push his butt away from the plate prior to bringing his hands forward to hit the ball. This ensures that your lower half cannot contribute to the force of your swing, making Hicks an arm hitter. Turning your butt towards the pitcher is the secret of hitting a baseball really hard. It compresses the spring of your legs and allows you to create more propeller rotation of the bat, which needs to be more than 360 degrees to get the ball moving over about 100 mph. Watch the swing of Bryce Harper or Prince Fielder. You see more of their back as they lean into the pitch, which means they're turning their butt farther than Hicks, even the Hicks of today. Their bats go through a propeller rotation well over 360 degrees, sending the ball off their bats at over 105 mph. The extra velocity drives more grounders through the infield and more fly balls over the fence, increasing their batting average, just as it does for Hicks. Point is, Hicks can do this more, too. It starts with turning the butt more, which allows more shoulder turn. No more French Mistake for Hicks. He's finally learning to throw the bat, without quite letting go. This is no fluke; these improvements are here to stay. Aaron Hicks has learned how to swing a baseball bat!

