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2wins87

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Everything posted by 2wins87

  1. 2wins87
    Seems potentially useful for college players, but wouldn't seem useful for high schoolers given the level of competition, unless it's only based on showcase games?
  2. 2wins87
    Interesting. Earliest they've taken a catcher since Jeffers. Was not on my radar at all but I can see what they might see reading about him.
  3. 2wins87
    I really like Gage Miller. He's more positionless than a 1B, but he could end up there, and might be more 20 HR vs 30 HR power, but I think he's probably the best bat left.
  4. 2wins87
    My early thoughts on how they fit into the farm now: Culpepper: 11th - Just behind Gonzalez and and Soto and just ahead of Winokur in my ranking. I'm coming around on him a bit more after the fact, and could see arguing for a couple slots higher, but not much, largely due to the improved strength in the top 10 this year. Seems like a great makeup guy which the Twins like. DeBarge: 17th - Behind Cory Lewis and Yasser Mercedes, ahead of Yunior Severino for me. DeBarge does feel a little more utility infielder than Culpepper, and comparing him to Schobel doesn't seem totally unfair. Not sure how much stock to put into the power surge with power up across college baseball this year, but he does seem strong (moreso than Schobel) if possibly maxed out. The contact skills also seem to be a cut above, so I can see the upside. Amick: 22nd - Behind Dameury Pena and DeAndrade, ahead on Rayne Doncon. Could rise or fall quite a bit if the hit tool either flops or proves to be better than expected. Hill: 29th - Behind Eduardo Beltre and Prielipp, ahead of Canterino. This could be way low, but I'm reluctant to put a second round HS arm too high into the top 30. Probably won't get to know too much more about him on the field until next year
  5. 2wins87
    Dakota Jordan still being available probably does indicate that contact probably trumps power in most models. Amick's contact issues aren't nearly as scary as Jordan's. At some point the risk-reward balances out, and I think #60 is a reasonable place for Amick. Wallner and Martin are a good comparison case. Probably in roughly the same FV bucket right now but in completely different ways. I'd still take Wallner overall even with the swing and miss.
  6. 2wins87
    I'm honestly not sure if he would have been ranked higher by the model or the scouts. Scouts certainly like his swing and reports on the defense seem to point to improvement, though I think I saw him described as a stiff athlete too. As much as contact rate is important to models, so is exit velocity and he was near the top of the scale there. I would also think that models might weight track record a little more, if only just because they need as much data as possible, whereas scouting can be more about spotting improvements. Neither Amick or Culpepper really had breakout seasons but they did have track records. At any rate, I kind of doubt he would have been lower than #60 using just a model.
  7. 2wins87
    Like others, I'm not in love with Amick's profile overall, and he didn't particularly stand out to me at the CWS, but at #60 overall it seems like a pretty good pick. The college performance this year wasn't so amazing that you can ignore the likely lack of defensive value, which is probably why he was still available. But he does have a very good multi-year track record of hitting now, including in a brief stint at the Cape
  8. 2wins87
    They mostly just haven't drafted pitchers high, and the ones they have have mostly been injured or traded. Soto and Hill could be a good test of how well they can actually do with sort of a "moldable clay" pitching prospect.
  9. 2wins87
    Yeah, Amick makes a lot of sense for the Twins, and is probably a "best player available" pick at this point in the draft. Kind of would have liked to see a prep pitcher like Oakie or Whitney or maybe a toolsy HS hitter like Burkholder. Hopefully they can still get a high upside pick later.
  10. 2wins87
    Does it make you feel better to know that realistically they probably end up sliding down to 3B and 2B?
  11. 2wins87
    Culpepper was ranked 19th at Perfect Game, DeBarge was 35th at ESPN. Opinions vary
  12. 2wins87
    They didn't have top picks this year ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  13. 2wins87
    Not that into the diversity/upside for the Twins draft so far. I think maybe the theory might be that there is a kind of safety in good athletes, particularly in a weak draft. They will find a defensive home and if they can just get some of the tools to work on offense you end up with something, even if it doesn't end up a complete profile. Kind of makes sense I suppose
  14. 2wins87
    Have to wonder if Brecht will make it past the DBacks and O's
  15. 2wins87
    My reservations on Culpepper were that he seems like he could end up kind of in between. He'll get a shot to play short but probably moves off, and then there will be more pressure on the bat, which is no sure thing either. Not like there are really any sure SS left in the draft at this point though (hardly any to begin with). Have to let the development system cook and see where he ends up.
  16. 2wins87
    Culpepper is not my favorite of those left, but there is a big difference between a college guy and a HS hitter who didn't face much high level competition. Cavaco's bat was pretty much completely untested, whereas they have a good idea of what they are getting with Culpepper's bat. Might not end up an amazing bat but it's not going to be a complete flop.
  17. 2wins87
    And now Braylon Payne to Milwaukee at 17. Yesavage is falling, I wonder if the Twins would be on him. Seems like the kind of guy who could get really good under the Twins pitching development.
  18. 2wins87
    Longenhagen et al saying Morlando to Miami at 16. Getting weird now
  19. 2wins87
    Not a reach for Burns to go #2, but already a pick that basically no one was predicting. I think it could be a chaotic draft.
  20. 2wins87
    Bazzana to the Guardians makes sense. I definitely thought the Wetherholt rumors were a little overblown
  21. 2wins87
    It's almost a certainty that one of the following group will be available at 21: Seaver King, Waldschmidt, Benge, Honeycutt, Gillen In the chalkiest of drafts they could all be gone, but it's much more likely that there will be a few surprises and more than one are available. If at least two are available when the Twins pick, I think there's a good probability that one of them will be the Twins pick, though it's certainly possible for some of them to slide a bit more, particularly Honeycutt. I think Janek and Malcolm Moore could be in the mix, and Cijnte and Brecht possibly too. My gut feeling is that it'll be a bat though
  22. 2wins87
    I do hope he gets one more inning at 3B at some point because then he'd have 100+ defensive innings at 5 positions which would be cool, and I'd assume also unprecedented
  23. 2wins87
    Same. His bat was average to slightly below average for much of the first half of last year and I was skeptical. It's only gotten better and more consistent since. He's really been impressive, and now I'm a Willi-stan too.
  24. 2wins87
    Lot of people seem upset it's not Julien. My guess is Camargo will mostly ride the bench for 3 days then Martin will be back after the All-star break
  25. 2wins87
    There is enough depth that they certainly could trade Julien but I wouldn’t say there isn't room for him. With Santana on the roster this year his role is less clear if everyone is healthy, but I can easily envision an infield with Correa, Lewis, Lee, Miranda, and Julien going forward. There will be enough ABs at 2B, 1B, and DH for Julien even with the others as full time players. I do think this offseason they will have to sort through their position player depth and decide who they absolutely need to keep. Barring a great offer, Julien would be on the keep list for me.
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