This is a reasonable take, but they've lost some players here (and to be fair, we really haven't), and I think there's more "primed for regression" candidates than what we have. Lots of guys had career years. Perhaps that continues for them, but it's also possible guys take steps back. I do tend to agree that Cleveland is (and should be) the favorite... as much as I hate that, but I tend to agree with Levi in that I don't think the gap is that large. I doubt they win 102, especially with a much stronger team here, not to mention a Chicago team that is talented enough to likely not be pushovers. I think Cleveland is a 95ish win team. I've said I think the Twins can win 95... Truthfully, that's my top end projection (probably more 92-95 and pre-Polanco) baring injuries of course. Baring something catastrophic, it should be a good race. While Cleveland can (and should) be the favorite, this is a team that can surprise them and take them down.