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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. I agree it's a lot of cash, but what is a bigger risk, handing a 5/90 deal to the next Sanchez, who will be 29/30 ish, a fairly established player, and most likely well into his decline phase when the contract ends or giving a 5/60 deal to Gonzalez who will likely finish out the contract in his peak years, but might need a bit of ML seasoning in the first year where the Twins won't be competitive anyways? Also, separate question for the contract hounds, but wouldn't they technically still have his arb years/options available if they signed him? If that's the case, the contract would effectively have a mandatory 6th year option if they signed him to a five year deal. You can front load that contract with a signing bonus to make the option year more favorable.
  2. Pat Reusse columns > watching the Twins play the Yankees?
  3. There's 30 teams... so yes. It means that we have five guys that would be top prospects on a lot of teams.
  4. Being league average will get something. By definition, leage average means half of the teams in the league don't have something as good as Morneau. Given the issues at hand, I suspect Morneau won't generate much of a return, but they should get something.
  5. Here's the big difference: Cubans don't count against the international budget. Tseng will count against it. They still have money left over in their international budget, and more than others such as the cubs, so if they want Tseng, they can get him. With Gonzalez, signing him does not count against the cap, and given the need for high impact pitching, if there was a guy worth taking a calculated risk on, it would be him, probably even more so than a guy like Sanchez given his age, the two year suspension, and the lack of milage on his arm.
  6. That number isn't a number I pulled out of my rear. It has been quoted by many a prospect hounds on many of sites. It seems about right too. Go look at every team's rosters and see how many guys on it are guys they drafted and developed... The disparity is likely due to all those guys teams let go who latch on to other teams as AAAA types and have a few year careers. You also forgot about intl. free agents when you did your math... But yes, 2 guys is generally considered a decent draft. Some drafts can get a few more, and has we've seen, some don't do that.
  7. They have enough money left in the pool to get Tseng. Gonzalez doesn't count against the pool, but Reusse's 40M figure, from what I've heard, is low. It's going to be closer to 60M. I wouldn't mind the Twins going after Gonzalez than for no other reason that payroll is low this year and getting lower. I'm not sure I see the need for Alvarez.
  8. Nice game for Rosario and Gonsalves.
  9. yeah, several high end pitchers and short stops.... That would be a tough decision. Personally, I always side with pitchers, but given the org's inability to get a high ceiling SS in the draft taking one in the top 5 would be smart.
  10. Law likes his tools. Buxton and Sano go 1-2. I'm trying to remember where he had Meyer, but I thought he ranked him favorably. Wouldn't be surprised if he was an HM or in the 40s.
  11. Personally, if they can get a nice haul for Perk, I'd install Fein as closer and try to repeat that next year... Given the age of both, I don't see them continuing production when the next wave really gets going.
  12. The Twins are in no position to be giving away draft picks... especially in what is being called a very deep draft. They will likely be in the top 5, meaning they can still find a nice difference maker in the 2nd round. I like Hughes in Minnesota, but I don't see trading a pick to make it happen.
  13. Here's the problem. Most teams already have an AAAA pitcher or 4. You might get someone to bite on Hendricks due to his age and giving this season the benefit of the doubt for injury, but even then, you won't get much for him.
  14. The one thing I'm not sure everyone understands is that it's a fairly good draft if you walk out with 2 major leaguers... Just something to think about. Also, for all the talk about St. Louis, I really wonder how many people would flame the Twins if they used their methods. St. Louis loads up on high floor, lower ceiling guys from tough college conferences. I know a lot of people on this forum who would be up in arms about that type of draft. I think it makes sense given that they have consistently picked in the lower part of the first round. Right now, though, given where MN is picking, they need to be focusing heavily on star potential. They can augment in the safer guys once they have some established stars.
  15. Both have been quoted in the press. Ryan has said he has fielded calls on Perkins. He's also told Perkins that he wasn't likely going to be traded.
  16. I'd be careful with this line of reasoning. Prior to the recent CBA, big market teams had no problems grabbing guys who slid because they could throw money at them to get them to sign. Yankees and RedSox did this all the time.
  17. Perkins should net top prospects... Not sure a package of some of these guys (who will be marginal upgrades) will net much in terms of top prospects. Some of them should bring in some decent prospects. I'd caution on trading... It's highly unlikely that all of these guys get traded. Time doesn't permit that. If the Twins move more than 3 guys, I'd be pretty impressed.
  18. Beresford is not on the 40 man and will be due to be added next season. If he goes up to the bigs now, he has to stay or else they waste an option sending him back down. He's a September callup.
  19. I'm not sure never is the right phrase. There were lesser prospects exchanged by teams in the few trades that have already happened. Rare, yes.
  20. You need to re-read my posts before misquoting me. Zach Lee is a very good prospect, I just rank him a notch below the RedSox trio. I've made it abundantly clear that Perkins should not be traded for the sake of being traded.
  21. While Castellanos is a great prospect, the Twins already have a log jam at those positions in the next few years. Detroit's system, outside of Castellanos, sucks. I'm not seeing the benefits of this arrangement, especially with the intra-division thing. I think I pass here.
  22. Zach Lee is pretty close to a blue chip prospect. I'd rather have one of the RedSox trio of starters, but Lee isn't a bad consolation prize.
  23. He can OPS around .800 and not embarrass himself in the field. That's a valuable asset. He could easily play as a super utility type guy with the next wave or get plugged in at a position where a prospect fails.
  24. Here's why: 1) He put up those numbers as a 19 year old in AA, and I might add, he's posted a > .800 OPS at every other stop (granted AAA was PCL, but he's doing that at age 20). 2) Excellent defense. 3) OBP is about 90 points higher than BA. Excellent K/BB ratios in career. 4) Double digit home runs in 2011 and 2012 with a crap load of doubles. Did I mention he's only 20? His power is only going to improve from here. This kid is a difference maker at short, especially when you consider that a guy like Florimon is your average ML SS.
  25. Here's the thing. Texas has a pretty good SS in Andrus, and an excellent prospect in Profar. For now they can hang on to him, but at one point they can dangle him for something they need or figure out a way to trade Andrus. Unfortunately for the Twins, I don't see this as a match, unless there's a way to pull off some sort of three way trade.
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