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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm a pretty big fan that he's willing to accept responsibility. That seems lost these days. That said, this is a rebuilding effort and you cannot just snap your fingers and it's done. The biggest mistake he made this season was the CF/Bartlett situation, but I don't think that miraculously transforms this team into a 90 win team. He's righting the ship in the minors, for that reason alone I'd keep him around another year... not so sure when the team gets good, but when it comes to building a farm, Ryan knows what he's doing.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    The Twins bull pen will be absolutely stacked in teh coming years. Burdi and Larson are certainly 2 back end guys, but the system is littered with guys who have been flat out dominant in relief roles (though not with 100 MPH stuff). I really hope that the Twins jettison a few relievers this offseason to start making room. There are serveral guys in AAA with very little to prove.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    I have no problems going all in. You don't do it on a pair of 3s though. As others have said, you do it when you know where your weaknesses are, and you don't have that many. The likelihood of Scherzer finishing out his next deal well are pretty low... He'd provide his best years when the team isn't competitive, and his worst when they are.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Jordon Schaffer
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    It's also the downside. If they sign that contract now, you might be wishing 4 years from now that it was never signed.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't care if either is signed so long as the Astros receive some sort of negative consequence to this. I'd have no problem forcing them to honor the original deal for Nix and Aiken, thus taking away their first rounder next year.... I think right answer would be to make them both free agents, though unfortunately that would mean they'd be Yankees...
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    I think the issue right now, is that the Twins need to figure out which core guys are core guys and which ones aren't. At the beginning of the season, if someone had said that we will be set at SS for the forseable future, that person would have been laughed out of here. Now, there's a lot more optimism given how Santana and Escobar have performed this season... enough that people won't be clamoring for a SS this offseason. The Twins have added some new guys, and some of them are going to take some lumps. Some will be good. Some will fail. It's still too early to determine who is going to succeed or fail. I think you let the kids do their thing... If they want an LF, I'm fine with that, but I'd look more to the young, cost controlled, high upside guys... but those are only available by trade and won't come cheaply, as they won't be asking for a Rosario, Duffey, Walker combo.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I suspect this isn't your conclusion goulik (I'm addressing conclusions being made off of the stats you posted here), but I think the idea that comparing a guy's year 1 stats to a year 2 stat and then saying "most guys don't improve after their rookie season" isn't a good way to look at things. I suspect improvement is a fuction of age and skill, and the guys who have been in the majors for a decent amount of time have careers that typically resemble a bell curve of sorts. I have a tough time believing that a guy will do what he does as rookie and then never get better. There may be some truth to that with a 28 year old guy breaking into the league for the first time, but even that is questoinable. Guys like Dozier show that it takes time. It's pretty easy to point to examples like Mauer, Morneau, Gomez, etc. who broke in much younger and got better as they aged. In a nut shell, context is a big deal and managing a team based on broad generalizations such as this one is not a good way to manage a team.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Me thinks Walker is turning into a controversial prospect. To be clear, I like him. He has star potential, which isn't bad for a 3rd rounder. He's also high risk. The big issue is contact. He dosn't make nearly enough of it. He's a great mistake pitch hitter, but those number of mistakes drops significantly as he moves up the chain. Letting him work on that in an area where he's not overmatched is wise. the A+ to AA is one of the hardest transitions to make, and while he's improved a bit in A+ over the season, he's still got some contact issues, and I really don't think these are minor issues at this point, and this isn't just a concern of the Twins, pro scouts are saying the exact same thing. I think the Twins know what they are doing here. As for your prediction, I'll drink to that. I don't think that smaller ballparks are going to have too much of an affect on K rate and contact rate. They might help a few foul balls that turn into outs stay out of play, but beyond that, if he drops is K rate 6% as lightfoot predicts, he's going to rocket up a lot of lists.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure anyone has an advantage. You don't get to see that tougher curve ball in the offseason. I'm not sure there's a good way to determine it too.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    The run is encouraging, that's for sure... I'd be hopeful that he started in AA if he continues the run and does better than 'holding his own' in the AFL. He's already seen his first option burned, so there's probably a bit more incentive than most to push him along...
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    The problem is that these guys won't get you much. They could all end up being very nice pieces too, but right now, you won't find a difference making piece for one of these guys, which is why I agree with you that I'm not in favor of trading these guys right now
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    Brock is saying that trading prospects will likely delay the time when this team will be cometitive again, not improve it. One guy isn't going to make this team a contender, and by trading away prospects, you trade away the guys who will likely help aid contention down the road, thus delaying it. I'd add that while you would settle for Sheilds, that doesn't mean that there's going to be guys better than that available. You won't build a contender by a few FA signings and trading for some prospects. It doesn't happen very often.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm getting my trades mixed up...
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    They may think they have... I'm not really certain he's gotten a fair shake. Gardy doesn't seem to like him much. If Parm's a 4th OF/PH, that's fine, but I'm not sure how they can come to a conclusion when he rarely gets to play more than 2-3 games in a row before ending up on the bench.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    ABW has a lot more work to do than most prospects, and he's not a 40 man candidate yet as well. I'd add he's not in AA either, and AFL players tend to be AA (though I get that there are exceptions). While I can see the merits of promoting him last season, I see absolutely no reason for him to have earned it this year. He's got some pretty big holes in his game that need adjusting, and High A has exposed that more and more. If anything, it shows that the Twins weren't wrong in letting him play a full season in the MWL. He has to work on his contact issues, and those are already pretty severe. It doesn't get any easier in AA
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    I think you are reading far more into this than is necessary. My guess is that this boils down to a communications goof up and someone jumped the gun.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    I suspect Thorpe starts out repeating the MWL making a case for a midseason promotion. The big issue I see with him thus far is his walk rate being a bit higher. He's had no problems getting hitters to swing and miss, but that's something he will need to correct as he moves up the chain. That said, what he's doing as an 18 year old in low A is impressive.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    I would argue that they need a 1 year CF stop gap. I'd probably let Parmelee audition for LF and move Plouffe there if he fails and Sano is ready.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    Looks like Adam already pitched a game for NB... I don't remember seeing his name announced as the PTBNL for the Willingham trade.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    Mauer defenders.... Mauer attackers. The man has been one of the best baseball players most of us will ever see. He's probably going to the hall, especially with 3 batting titles playing C and an MVP to go with it (along with a second season where he was being considered as well). I get that there's legit criticism to his game, his power never really developed in particular, but he's still a great player, fun to watch, and from what I can tell a class act too. If there was a case for questioning whether or not fans appreciate good baseball, I think a lot of the Mauer criticism is evidence of it.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I know there's a photo or two of him being lost in thought somewhere.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    Couple things I'd note is that Plouffe right now is in the 5-10 range for 3B. To me, that says he has value. The question at hand is whether or not that value is realized in MN or on another team. At 28, the other question is whether the Twins go year to year or get a cheaper extension buying out a year of FA. That might make him more palatable in a trade, assuming he continues to imrpove. I think there's value in that. Even as a utility guy, Plouffe could play a corner OF position, 3B, and 1B reasonably well. Heck, he could play up the middle (not terribly well) in a pinch. They could get a full season in for him in that type of role as a 10th man and justify the cost.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    Ryan's title is GM, not director of player development. That means he handles stuff like this, and he's also in charge of the player development folks... and he's in charge of the manager... and for that matter, he is in charge of all baseball operations. I suspect his plan for the Rochester trip was to handle both.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    I think this tends to be a bit more of a hindsight argument. 29 other teams passed up Cabrera at that price, and the Twins had the 2nd highest bid on him, so it wasn't like they weren't in on it. Like any young player, they came to an idea of what they thought he'd be worth, and they went after him accordingly (and keep in mind, this happened at on a Metrodome budget, not a TF budget). There isn't a team in the league that wouldn't pass up Cabrera today at 2M, yet there aren't teams handing out 2M contracts to international free agents like candy... even the Yankees aren't doing that. Plenty of INT FAs fail, and based on the dollars they get, I think it is safe to say that there's plenty of risk there as it is, which is why Cabrera only got 2M. He was far from a sure thing at this point.
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