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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    I imagine there's going to be an under the table deal with whatever team signs him to give him an extension worth 100m+ as soon as possible. MLB is supposed to be looking out for that and trying to prevent it but it's probably going to happen anyway.
  2. gunnarthor
    I think the Cook Political guru tweeted that he thinks the Dems have a better than even shot at winning the House next year.
  3. gunnarthor
    He's 17th in fWAR, 21st in bWAR, 28th in fip among starters with at least 140 innings. That's a pretty good pitcher but I don't think he's an ace. I think he's a solid #2 - and he certainly isn't going to get a Grienke, Kershaw or Scherzer (sp) contract. He'd be the Twins best pitcher next year unless Berrios makes a small jump.
  4. gunnarthor
    Can someone share a link to the SDI stats?
  5. gunnarthor
    Nice move for all involved. Good luck to Tonkin.
  6. gunnarthor
    That's horrible.
  7. gunnarthor
    Good for both of them!
  8. gunnarthor
    Good luck to him
  9. gunnarthor
    http://twinsdaily.com/topic/27938-hall-of-fame-modern-era-ballot/
  10. gunnarthor
    Well, sure Guidry's 78 is one of the all-time pitching seasons ever. I'm a big hall guy and I like innings a lot so, to me, short high peaks aren't as good as long competency. But that's just personal preference. Morris, from 79-88, threw about as many innings as Guidry did in his career but not as dominating. And then he threw another 1400 innings. I think those other 1400 innings give him the better career.
  11. gunnarthor
    He's played 6 years in the majors. Three have been interrupted by injuries. I don't think he's an ace.
  12. gunnarthor
    I think he's a long man/spot starter. I don't think he has any trade value.
  13. gunnarthor
    I liked the De la Torre pick. Always nice to nab falling talent. From what I've read, he'll stick at short and the big question is his bat. But true shortstops are rare so he'll get plenty of time to develop. A lot of relief arms and a couple backend starters in this group but not anyone with a huge ceiling. Maybe Leach could get there but he isn't there yet.
  14. gunnarthor
    Well, that's going to be the Johan Santana argument in a few years. Guidry was good but really only pitched 11 seasons.
  15. gunnarthor
    And it's 63 on fangraphs around a bunch of other guys who are borderline - some in, some out.
  16. gunnarthor
    Dang, that's too bad. Hope he's in a better place.
  17. gunnarthor
    I'm not very comfortable ignoring half of his career, especially as he gets older.
  18. gunnarthor
    I imagine most pitchers would have said a 10 inning Game 7 world series shut out would be their top accomplishment. I think he has a pretty good resume, frankly. His 56 fWAR is pretty much right on the line where you have some HOFers and some non-HOFers. He has more WAR than guys like Whitey Ford, Sandy Koufak, Mordecai Brown and essentially ties him with guys like Jim Palmer, Red Ruffing and Carl Hubbell. He wouldn't be the best HOFer, he wouldn't be the worst. He was basically the last of the big inning pitchers. If you think the HOF should be about the famous players of the era, it's hard to not mention Morris since he was a big part of the 80s (a decade under represented in Cooperstown). I dunno. I think he (and Trammel) are close calls but I'm a big hall guy so I'd put them in.
  19. gunnarthor
    Good luck to him
  20. gunnarthor
    Well, let's look quick at the second round picks from 13-16. We had Eades, a safer college pitcher who hasn't really made it. Going to the bullpen now. The next year we nabbed Burdi, who was ranked a top 100 prospect before he got on the injury train. Hard to knock that one. In 2015, we didn't have a second round pick b/c of the Santana signing and our other second round pick - Kyle Cody - didn't sign with us. And in 2016 we had three second rounders who look like really good picks. Baddoo, Miranda and Rortvedt. Baddoo will make a few top 100 lists this offseason and has a lot of helium in prospect circles. Basically, it looks like it's too early to judge those guys. And that's the main problem with your critiques. The Twins tend to draft HS players over college players which means a much longer development arc. And the end of the day, the 2012 draft has given us 5 ML players. Stewart, Gonsalves, Garver and Granite will make it from the 2013 draft although it's too early to say how they'll do. Granite seems like a useful 4th OF/pinch runner type. The pitchers could be solid back of rotation guys. Garver doesn't seem to have much trust from Molly. No stars there but several potential useful pieces. 2014 gave us two bullpen arms already and Gordon and Burdi could absolutely save that draft (it was my least favorite draft). It seems like Tyler Jay is on the cusp of debuting in the pen this year and Wade is a good onbase sleeper type. And the 2016 draft is loaded with young talent on both the mound and in the field. It's just too early to determine how these drafts will ultimately play out.
  21. gunnarthor
    Agree, that's a pretty strong list of names. I'd like to see Miller, Morris and Trammel in.
  22. gunnarthor
    Some of what you are saying is just opinion. The 2012-2016 drafts are going to turn out to be pretty good in the long run, in my opinion. The 2012 draft is more or less done and I think the 2016 draft might end up giving us more MLers than that draft did. It's just too early to judge those drafts. Gordon is a top 40 prospect, Jay is a relief pitcher now (which sucks) but the reports on him from the AFL have been outstanding. He might turn into our version of Andrew Miller. Stewart, despite his lack of strike outs, was still on Klaw's top 100 last year and he is very young for his level. He'll make the majors. Guys like Garver, Wade, Granite, Gonsalves will help fill out a team and we still have some high ceiling guys like Miranda, Kiriloff and Baddoo down in the lower minors. Unsurprisingly, the best drafts have been the ones when the team has a number of early picks and our worst draft - 2015 - we only had one pick in the top 80 who signed. Some of the stuff you are saying is just wrong - Ryan did sign FA. Santana was our best pitcher this year and we don't make the playoffs without him. And we spent our pool in international spending every year. Some years we went quantity over quality and other years it was the opposite. But we are a long way from judging how those guys pan out but it's wrong to say we didn't spend because we did.
  23. gunnarthor
    So if Gonsalves was the first rounder and Stewart the fourth rounder, does that change your opinion? I tend to agree with Howie, the 2012-2016 drafts were more or less better than what should be reasonably expected of drafts and how they work although the Jay thing bugs me. The 2016 draft is extremely exciting, IMHO.
  24. gunnarthor
    I think this is an interesting "eye of the beholder" thing. Darvish has had one season where he was above 4 WAR and that was four years ago. He's had one season where he topped 200ip. He's missed significant parts of three seasons with injuries. And he's been roughed up in the postseason (SSS warning). He'll be 31 next year. Sure, in any game, he can be as good as anyone but that's true of many pitchers. I tend to think of elite pitchers as being a touch more durable and a bit more dominating.
  25. gunnarthor
    I think we're getting a little off track. There is no true elite arm in free agency right now. We're talking about guys like Darvish, Arrieta, Cobb etc. There isn't a Kershaw to be had. The idea that we need an elite pitcher to win in the postseason has been discussed in multiple threads but it's generally not true. We need good pitching but several teams have won the World Series with starters who aren't putting up 5 WAR seasons.
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