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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    With the option it might also mean the Twins are getting ready to move on from Mauer after this year. With a good year, top prospect Rooker could be in the plans for 2019 and you still have options for Morrison and Sano under contract. Unless Mauer has a huge season, this could be it.
  2. gunnarthor
    Our current OF options are Buxton, Kepler, Rosario, Grossman, Granite and Morrison. All but Buxton are lefties. Our current DH/1B options are Mauer, Morrison and Vargas. Vargas is a switch hitter but iffy and the others are lefties. I would guess that our final opening day roster will add another RH bat with Granite starting the year in AAA.
  3. gunnarthor
    Wow, pretty nice. Huge bat, he hit lefties ok but crushed righties. Hard to argue with this signing. And I think this pushes the Twins payroll to nearly 120m which is a lot more than I'd have guessed the FO could spend so good for them.
  4. gunnarthor
    The change in drafting philosophy happened in 08 when Deron Johnson took over. He drafted flame throwers instead of control pitchers. Radcliff had more imput on the 12 class.
  5. gunnarthor
    Agreed. Obviously, this is a bit semantics but if by "elite" we sorta mean the high levels of Buxton, Sano, Mauer and if by "really good" maybe a tier below where we saw Kepler and maybe Berrios (Berrios might have moved between the two, depending on who did the ranking) who might be able to make that jump this year? Lewis, Javier and maybe Thorpe with a dominating year? I think guys like Kiriloff, Baddoo, Graterol and Enlow would need more than one big season to jump that high up the rankings and guys like Rooker and Romero might peak at the Kepler tier. And that's assuming everything goes right, which it won't.
  6. gunnarthor
    Yep but I'd probably lean toward Miranda.
  7. gunnarthor
    Leach was a helium guy on draft day but he's still raw and very far away. The concern was that because he was demanding as much an Enlow, he'd be taken if they passed on him. The Twins have taken several HS arms that are risky but have nice upside from non-traditional places like Canada (Leach and Balazovic) or are recovering from injuries (Benninghoff). They won't all work out but they are reasonable risks.
  8. gunnarthor
    They can have a league average or worse starting rotation and still be an above average team.
  9. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure if you're referring to my posts where I've basically said that the Twins down years (11-14) were because of a natural cycle of late drafts catching up to them after a decade of generally late picks. If it is, I've never said you had to draft a pitcher. You're just less likely to get elite talent if you're picking 24th every year.
  10. gunnarthor
    ? Isn't every prospect on social media?
  11. gunnarthor
    Lewis is really the ultimate "Twins" pick. Just a tool shed waiting to be unleashed plus all the intangibles you'd want.. As surprised as I was that we took him over some of those college pitchers, it really isn't surprising that the Twins wanted this kind of guy. Obviously we just have to see him play this year but he does seem to have it and could, like Mauer and Buxton, end up being the #1 ranked prospect in all of baseball.
  12. gunnarthor
    mlbtv just did a quick thing with Peter Gammons this morning and they showed Sano hitting. He doesn't look fat by any means.
  13. gunnarthor
    You forgot to mention that Severino was also knocked out of the wild card game. Sale gave up 9 runs in 9.1ip in his post season. And Kluber was even worse, with an ERA approaching 13 in his two starts. Greinke gave up 7 runs in 8.2ip. Berrios and Santana were a solid top of the rotation last year. They can be again. I expect Berrios to make a step forward this year. But realistically, Santana pitched like a front of the rotation starter last year.
  14. gunnarthor
    And those offensive lineman run faster than you. Athletes have changed. The days of the Jack Clark sluggers is done. Sano is over weight, I don't think anyone is arguing against this. I think there is some serious disagreement over how much he's overweight and how much that affects his play on the field. Since he's recovering from a leg injury, added weight isn't surprising. I suspect he'll be lighter by the end of ST. I don't think his weight has been negatively affecting him.
  15. gunnarthor
    Go and look at old posts about him when he was called up in 2015, played no third base and darn near hit us into the postseason. We all knew that his time at third was limited and we were hoping that he could wait until Mauer was gone to make the move across the diamond. Nothing's changed. He was fine last year. He'll likely be fine by the end of ST this year. He just needs to hold down third base for one more season and then the Twins can make their changes. That has likely always been the plan. His weight is an issue only if it affects him on the field and so far we haven't seen that. I'd also remind you that he missed all of 2014 to TJ surgery and worked his ass off to remain a great hitter. I'm not worried about his work ethic.
  16. gunnarthor
    You're over valuing Gonsalves a bit ....
  17. gunnarthor
    He's a big guy and conditioning is always going to be an issue. I'm not surprised he added some weight since he was rehabbing a leg injury and it's tough to lose weight when you're limited on how much you can walk. Still, he looked serviceable at third most of last year, and as big as he is he's still a heck of an athlete. And his major value was always going to be that bat. Even if he's only a DH, his bat will more than make him worth it.
  18. gunnarthor
    I would think so. Obviously, blood lines are pretty important in sports so that does help Gordon but that wasn't why he was drafted so highly. But even if he was just a fourth round pick, he'd be pretty highly regarded (and perhaps some of the negativity wouldn't be there since, like Gonsalves, he'd be an overachiever). Right now I think the main negatives come from people who are reading the stat line too much and ignoring the scouting reports we're getting. mlbpipeline has him as the #10 shortstop in the game and they aren't as high on him as Klaw and BP are. Pretty much every review has him as at a minimum a starting level regular player. That's a pretty good prospect.
  19. gunnarthor
    Just based on proximity to the majors, I think I probably have him ahead of Lewis (although Lewis' upside is much higher). In some ways, Gordon is a blah prospect. He doesn't do anything elite but he does enough of everything that I think he'll end up a strong starting shortstop for several years. If Polanco turns back into a pumpkin, Gordon will take over and play well, I think.
  20. gunnarthor
    really late to this thread but the trade seems pretty decent to me
  21. gunnarthor
    Not sure. It's certainly not an insult. Remember, before he tore up his knee, Kubel was an elite prospect. The Twins were going to let Jones go to start Kubel before the AFL accident. Prospect wise, Kubel was a 12th round pick that kind of blew up on the rankings at age 22 when he went from AA to the majors. Kubel had pretty good k/bb numbers although his power came and went before that. He was probably a touch overlooked (12th round picks tend to be) but he might have been listed as a "sleeper" or so. Kiriloff is ahead of him on pedigree but a healthy Kubel like outcome isn't too far off, I'd think. Both can probably hit for average and power with decent on-base ability. Kiriloff is probably a better athlete and faster. (I think a better comp might be Cuddyer even if he was a right handed hitter).
  22. gunnarthor
    I like him a lot. It's nice to have a OF slugger in our system again. Arcia didn't quite make it and I think he was last true OF slugger we had in our system. Looks like Kiriloff might project to do a bit more offensively than Arcia. I think both the fangraphs guys and Mayo in his recent questions answered have mentioned Kiriloff as a guy who could jump up the lists next year.
  23. gunnarthor
    I wouldn't but I'm the low man on Archer.
  24. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I'm pretty sure the Twins had a list of guys that they were going to offer overslot money to at the start of Day 2. Enlow was a good one to nab, and I'm glad we have him, but I doubt the Twins planned to have that specific player there as opposed to knowing they'd have a handful of solid draft prospects available. *And maybe Enlow was #1 on their wish list of those guys.
  25. gunnarthor
    His strike outs are a concern but he does draw some walks. We also have to accept that the game is changing and strike outs are that big of problem anymore. We're probably not going to see to many modest strike out sluggers anymore.
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