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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Eh. I think we just agree to disagree. The farm system when he took over had 4 top 100 prospects in it, now we have two according to BA midseason top 100. The system had Kiriloff, Garver, Baddoo, Arraez, Chargois, and Wade who all look like solid MLers as well as a number of UI/AAAA types plus a few more who are still around. There is no Buxton/Berrios in that group but it's a solid group. Looking at our current list, we still don't have any Buxton/Berrios types* but a few that could certainly turn out to be solid MLers. But several of the players you listed I'm already souring on - Sabato is overwhelmed at low A, Enlow might not be protected on the 40 man this offseason. I like Balzovic (who Falvey inherited) and I like Windor and the pitchers we got in the Cruz trade. But I don't think the farm system has improved that much in five years despite being given more payroll than previous teams. The Larnich/Jeffers draft was great and COVID mucked a lot of things up so it's hard to grade the 2020 draft of the development of recently drafted players. But the nucleus that Falvey got was going to win some games, no matter who was the GM. I don't think he did enough to keep that window open and I don't think he's done a good job creating a pitching pipeline. * I loved the Petty pick, but too early to put him in the Berrios category.
  2. gunnarthor
    I would think the Padres getting Scherzer would push the Dodgers to improve their rotation but I'm a bit surprised not to hear a lot about the Phillies. I don't think they'd be in on Berrios but maybe Pineda? They are only 4 GB from a very catchable Mets team. I came into today thinking it was a coin flip on whether Berrios gets moved but now it looks pretty certain. I really hope we nail this trade.
  3. gunnarthor
    The rumors keep coming
  4. gunnarthor
  5. gunnarthor
    Falvey took over a team littered with an incredible nucleus of top 100 talents, that was a year removed from nearly making the playoffs. The farm system when he took over was arguably in better shape than it is now. But the question is what do we want from him. The answer was simple - he was hired to recreate the Twins pitching pipeline that they relied on through 01-10. He hasn't done that yet.
  6. gunnarthor
    Padres seem more in on Berrios than others but the Twins have had calls on Pineda and Maeda as well. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/07/jose-berrios-trade-rumors-twins-mariners-mets.html
  7. gunnarthor
    I think Windor as well as both the starters we got for Cruz will get some starts down the stretch here this year and, unless they are complete bombs, will get slotted in to start the season behind Maeda. Ober, Barnes, Jax and Dobnak will get looks as well but I think Barnes and Ober are the only two that could be back of the rotation starters. Balzovic and Duran seem to be a bit further away but both, barring injuries, will probably make the majors next year at some point. They have enough payroll to get a Pineda type on the market but they won't be in on Gausman or Rodon, for example. A buy low candidate might be Dylan Bundy. Then there are guys like Jon Gray, who I have no idea what he'd get in free agency. And lastly, if they do trade Berrios, it's likely they get one starter back who could fill a slot next year as well.
  8. gunnarthor
    That sounds about right.
  9. gunnarthor
    I think we had a thread about good TV shows but I can't find it. We have HBO Max and just finished The Outsider and just started Lovecraft Country. Both are really good.
  10. gunnarthor
    Yeah, that's true.
  11. gunnarthor
    Sounds like Berrios will get moved after teams lose out on Scherzer
  12. gunnarthor
    I agree with No. 1 completely. Levine has had trouble figuring out the talent in our system and the talent in other systems. Other than the Odorizzi trade, I'm not sure the Twins have won a trade under him. But No. 2, I think needs clarification. From 01-10, the Twins got 117 starts from FA pitchers. And 59 of them were from re-signing Radke. The Twins simply couldn't get FA starters, instead getting starters from solid drafting, trades, rule v, and waivers. That's what Falvey, from small-payroll Cleveland, was supposed to create again. So far, it hasn't happened. But there is no way that the checkbook is open in a way that the Twins can compete for in their prime free agents. We've had three GMs in the last decade. Donaldson was by far our biggest FA signing and his salary will probably limit what the FO can do in free agency this offseason as well.
  13. gunnarthor
  14. gunnarthor
    Cool, and by WAR, they are equal.
  15. gunnarthor
    Nice article. I really like Gordon and I agree, he'll make a nice bench UI type, sorta of like an affordable Marwin Gonzalez and/or Ehire Adrianza type.
  16. gunnarthor
    It's great your fantasy baseball team did well, I have no idea if anyone drafted Berrios in a keeper league and I can spend the rest of my life not remotely caring. Max ain't a learjet anymore.
  17. gunnarthor
    The 2019 team was bound to happen. It was loaded with former top 100 prospects and the FO made a number of smart moves that helped (Cruz, Pineda, even Cron and Schoop in FA and the Odo trade). But this year is not a fluke either. The pitching staff has utterly collapsed and I don't think that was a huge surprise.
  18. gunnarthor
    Through age 26 seasons A- 36-35, 109 ERA+, 617 ip 10.1 WAR B - 48-38, 104 ERA+, 659.6 ip, 10.9 WAR This season - A - 7-4, 135 ERA+, 105ip, 2.5 WAR B - 7-5, 121 ERA+, 121ip, 2.3 WAR Obviously, Berrios hasn't had the ten year run that Max eventually got (although he's on pace to have the better age 27 season as well). But maybe pitching in the NL will help him as well. But right now, Berrios is arguably the better pitcher and he comes with an extra year of control for less then the amount of money Max will make in the second half of this year alone.
  19. gunnarthor
  20. gunnarthor
    Seattle and Mets are mentioned here https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/07/jose-berrios-trade-rumors-twins-mariners-mets.html Hancock or Kirby would be logical targets.
  21. gunnarthor
    I'm not sure we have depth enough to cut him but, generally, yeah, he should be gone.
  22. gunnarthor
    That's true, I would assume/hope that the FO makes a good trade which might be wishful thinking on my part. It does sound like the Twins want to be blown away - https://www.si.com/mlb/yankees/news/why-the-new-york-yankees-should-trade-for-minnesota-twins-outfielder-max-kepler
  23. gunnarthor
    I don't necessarily disagree with you but I think Kepler has some value in trade with other teams despite some mediocre stats. He's a good piece but he's not a vital cog like Buxton or Berrios. He's already 28. I wish we had more depth in the corners right now but we have some depth. And if Buxton doesn't stay healthy, it doesn't matter. This team has almost no pitching so they have to start moving bats to get pitching. Kepler and one of Polanco/Arraez is a good start to get pitching.
  24. gunnarthor
    I'd move on from Kepler and plan to have a Larnich/Buxton/Kiriloff OF next year. I think someone might give up some nice pitching potential for him. Even with him gone, we'd still have Rooker, Cave, Celestino, Gordon and Arraez around. (This is really where getting nothing for Wade and Baddoo really hurts). I think I'd trade one of Polanco or Arraez as well. Both play second well enough but I'm not sure they should be our starting MI next year. Not sure what the market for them is though. I'd move Rogers if we can as well as all of our free agent to be pitchers. Even with those trades, we should have enough offense next year and I like Miranda as a bat coming up. The problem is we have a bad rotation and a useless bullpen.
  25. gunnarthor
    Twins should be able to make some good FA signings without getting rid of Donaldson. I'd rather the Twins move Kepler and Rogers and keep Donaldson.
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