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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. I like him a lot. I think I read a Matt Lawton comp on him somewhere, which is reasonable considering his patience at the plate. The fangraphs guy likes Baddoo probably the most of the prospect gurus out there and has suggested enough arm and instincts to stick in CF but also having enough bat if he needs to move to a corner.
  2. shopify was a nice stock that I'm pretty sure I bought on advice from some guy on a baseball message board. I've made 15k on that one. I almost bought nvidia for my IRA but bought T instead. That was a big mistake. (Adobe has been on a heck of a run the last few years as well). My wife and I have a nice pile of cash right now so we're starting to look again at stocks and funds to buy but we might hold for a bit. I'm still considering TESLA but probably won't. Big oil stocks might be worth buying if you're ok with owning oil.
  3. GM had a rough day and blamed it on the trade war Trump's making. Might be worth watching the stock a bit and see if it'll fall more and buy relatively low. Nice dividend stock, too. Not sure I really want GM in my portfolio.
  4. I'm not sure this is fair. He'll turn 24 after the season. Yes, strike outs are a concern and I think most of us have noted that. But he's still a darn nice prospect. He was in BA's top 100 pre-season and Sickel's list as well. My guess is that next year he'll be a back end top 100 guy on most lists after this season. He's not Kris Bryant but that doesn't mean he's not a good prospect.
  5. Too early to tell but Feliz got 260k in 2016 to sign. Heredia signed the same year but his bonus isn't listed. I couldn't find anything on the other two guys but most of these guys are Venezuelan. Twins have had good in-roads to Venezuela for years now and that country is going through a lot of rough things so I think - and this is just a guess - that the Twins are probably nabbing a bunch of bodies from Venezuela, hoping that a few end up sticking.
  6. Three of our prospects made the Tuesday top prospect list at mlbpipeline. https://www.mlb.com/news/stephen-gonsalves-leads-tuesdays-top-prospects/c-287240092?tid=151437456
  7. Since May 9th, Rooker is hitting .292/.362/.594 with 28% k-rate and 10% walk rate. I'm still concerned about the strike outs but I hope they push him to AAA. Kiriloff is just killing high A pitching. .370/.397/.571 in 29 games. Wow. And only a 15% k rate. He's not taking any walks right now but if you're hitting .370, that's not a problem. He's clearly taking good at-bats. Honestly, promote him to AA and see what happens.
  8. Agreed. He can flat out hit. The fangraphs scouting guy is pretty big on Kiriloff and he'll probably be a consensus top 50 prospect this offseason on all the ranking sites.
  9. Yeah, that's my feeling too. I have some friends who own it and love it - they're almost cultish on it - but ...
  10. Anyone have thoughts on Tesla?
  11. Pretty much the AAA relief arms plus Gonsalves and Romero are all ML ready right now. Gordon will probably be up 2019 and maybe Rooker if things go right.
  12. I think Davis was basically a toolsy lottery ticket that might pan out. Some of them do.
  13. This is probably more an "eye of the beholder" type thing but looking at the elite systems over the last few years, this current group isn't there. Twins, Cubs, Astros, Braves etc all had a bunch of truly elite guys. A little harder to go through the lists now that BA is behind pay walls but prospect guys were gushing over those systems as containing not just future starters but future all-star/mvp/cy young types. The 2015 BA top 100 was insane. I'm not sure the minors is as stocked right now as it was a few years ago. Those teams had (and have) loaded systems. Right now, maybe Lewis would have fit into the Buxton/Sano tier? Graterol might get there. Kiriloff will have to hit like crazy to get to that level and he's not there yet.
  14. Nice write up. Graterol is really intriguing and I hope the Twins push him a bit. It will be interesting to see how the national publications rate him in the coming months. Lewis has high upside but this review has certainly shown that, at least for now, the Twins have depth but they don't have a ton of true elite guys in the system. Lewis, Graterol and Kiriloff might be and a few other guys could get there but it's mostly a deep system as opposed to high end. IMHO.
  15. They haven't had a lot of successful moves yet, have they? We liked their draft last year but they had a lot of advantages with extra picks and we're a long way off from finding out if it was a solid draft. This years draft was boring but ok. They sold at the deadline last year, pissing off the players. I liked most of their off-season moves (understanding that the Pohlads weren't going to give them Darvish) but few of them have worked. The biggest problem for me is that they chose to bring back Molitor who is obviously not the right manager for these players. This is the second time in three years that the players look absolutely lost and ill-prepared for the season. It's not just one group - it's everyone. It's an utter mess. I think Molitor is as good as gone and Levine should get one more season to make his mark before I start calling for his head but we learned some stuff about the new FO in the last year and it wasn't good. Next off-season will be huge for them.
  16. Yeah, I almost sold last week but decided to hang onto it through this. Hope I made the right decision but it's certainly a fun stock to own. My wife and I have some cash on-hand right now but we're sitting it out for a bit. Not sure what/where to buy in this economy.
  17. I think the Twins would be wise to let Buxton have his full rehab assignment in the minors before bringing him back up. One of his problems over the last several years is that he's been in and out of lineups too often, either because of injury and/or demotions. He hasn't even about 120 at bats in the majors and AAA this year and only played in 35 games. Last year he struggled a bit but was able to make the adjustments a couple different times as needed and the team let him work it out and he remained more or less healthy.
  18. Minorleague ball has a nice small report on Kiriloff in their prospects to watch segment. https://www.minorleagueball.com/2018/6/24/17498108/the-minnesota-twins-red-hot-alex-kirilloff-highlights-3-prospects-to-watch-this-week
  19. Several reasons you don't want to do that. The first is that the FO probably hasn't quite given up on this season so sending a guy with a 7.50+ ERA for the last month is telling fans they don't care about the season. Secondly, Romero could use some confidence. Getting beat up regularly in the majors isn't good for anyone. It creates self-doubt and forces him to overpitch. Let him relax. He'll be up again. And, as others have noted, he'll be on an innings limit this year so a bit of rest right now won't hurt him. Lastly, the Twins have other guys in AAA or on assignments that also deserve chances to pitch in the majors. Mejia made 21 starts for the a playoff team last year and is posting a sub 3.00 era in AAA right now (and has been even hotter over the last month). Keeping him in the minors while someone else is struggling as bad as Romero is right now probably sends a worse message to AAA ballplayers.
  20. Nearly every org would do the same thing. Young pitchers often go from the majors to AAA multiple times. The ones that come and stick are the exceptions.
  21. Is Biloxi a good AA team? I imagine Sano is working on conditioning issues and the team probably wants him to work on that more than hammering some A ball pitcher. Nice the Kiriloff got the promotion. Looks like he could be a pretty special bat for us. Sweet.
  22. It's only 7 games but Wade has 5 walks against just one strike out in AAA and 31 walks against 21 strike outs in the minors this year. The guy gets on base. I'd be ok if the FO switched him and Kepler tomorrow. Let this kid get a try out in the majors and let Kepler figure some things out in AAA b/c he's been really bad for six plus weeks now.
  23. True, but we don't remember the big names that don't make it unless they are ours.
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