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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    BRef has him with 15 such PAs, Fangraphs with 7. Weird. In any case, the man K's way too much to be an effective hitter, no matter how thinly one slices and dices the data.
  2. USAFChief
    horrible AB, period.
  3. USAFChief
    Where are you getting this? BRef shows him at .795 coming into tonight. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=sanomi01&year=2019&t=b Of course, that's for the tiny sample size of 2019. More telling, IMO: career: when behind in the count: .465 OPS after 0-1: .632 OPS after 0-2: .418 any time with 2 strikes: .524 The man can't hit if he falls behind. And he falls behind a lot.
  4. USAFChief
    Yeah, and honestly Buxton's success always seems so...fragile. Fleeting. Easily disrupted. A week and a half off (if that's all it is) for most hitters is no big deal. I hope it isn't for Buxton either, but...
  5. USAFChief
    Maybe it's just me, but this is very worrisome.
  6. USAFChief
    Indeed. Good catch. Per baseball ref https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/split.cgi?t=b&team=MIN&year=2019 814 PAs for the team with runners on 1st, 1st and 2nd, 1st and 3rd, and bases loaded. I don't know how many of those came with less than 2 outs. Still, I think the point stands. There is only a small chance of hitting into a DP, small enough to basically be ignored, IMO. Particularly when coupled to the times that a sacrifice (or sacrifice attempt) does not lead to a run. Like last night, for example.
  7. USAFChief
    Well even if they weren't expecting the bunt the first time he squared, I'm guessing the second time he squared it took nobody by surprise.
  8. USAFChief
    The infield was in.
  9. USAFChief
    Parker has appeared 7 times in June, for a total of 5 IP. Four times since June 7th. He's not being overused, he's simply not very good. It's 2019, every reliever will be used, used fairly frequently, and often pitch in situations where runs are extremely likely to impact the game. Who should be pitching those innings, if not Parker?
  10. USAFChief
    He may have made the decision to bunt on his own, but it wasn't a bunt for a hit. He squared away earlier in the AB, any element of surprise was gone, and he squared away so early there wasn't any question his first objective was to sacrifice. The "entire side of the infield" wasn't open. Boston wasn't in a shift. I don't think anyone has said that one play lost the game. IMO it certainly contributed, however. As for the DP, Polanco has grounded into 3 DPs this year, in 274 ABs...a little over 1 percent chance. He's hitting in the .330's, so he had roughly 30 times more chance of a hit than grounding into a DP. If you just take ABs with runners on 1st, 1st and 2nd, or bases loaded, he has 67 ABs, so about a 4 percent chance of grounding into a DP. And that, of course, ignores the possibility of a walk. He might also have advanced both runners, or one runner, while making an out. And, of course, he might have roped a double into the corner, setting up a big inning and putting the game away. The entire subject of DPs, for that matter, is too insignificant to worry about. The Twins have grounded into 41 DPs this year, in over 2700 PAs. Too rare to give up one out intentionally on the chance of not giving up two. BTW, it's not "convenient" to point out the strategy failed. Simply moving a runner from second to third is no guarantee the run will score.
  11. USAFChief
    a couple points about the bunt: If it had been more a try for a bunt hit, I wouldn't mind as much. IMO, intentional outs do more to relieve pressure off the pitcher than anything else. In this case, I felt that's exactly what it accomplished. I was watching Boston's broadcast, they were both surprised to see Polanco square off there. A sacrifice reduces the chance of multiple runs. With the Twins bullpen, I'm not so sure playing for a tie there is good strategy. And finally, I can only speak for myself...but I will never second guess a decision not to sac bunt. There might be times late in games where I don't hate them, but I will never question not using them. You only get 3 outs per inning. Giving away one of them intentionally just doesn't appeal to me. I'm way more concerned about the bullpen than last night's offense anyway.
  12. USAFChief
    Wut?
  13. USAFChief
    At least we caught a break missing Sale.
  14. USAFChief
    yuk.
  15. USAFChief
    probably unimportant...but why do you suppose the table is upside down?
  16. USAFChief
    0-2. Put it on a tee, Parker.
  17. USAFChief
    Tell her nobody goes to Fenway anymore, it's too crowded.
  18. USAFChief
    http://comps.fotosearch.com/comp/PHT/PHT106/paa106000047.jpg
  19. USAFChief
    His floor is dominant 8th inning guy.
  20. USAFChief
    Anyone remember the last big hit from Rosario?
  21. USAFChief
    Not a good night for Cruz. And I hate bunting Polanco. Hate it.
  22. USAFChief
    He's among the most popular DBacks here in AZ, too. Almost instantly a fan fave.
  23. USAFChief
    Not that serious.
  24. USAFChief
    Limited market (AL contenders only), Yankees supplied money.
  25. USAFChief
    How the heck does Cleveland not top that offer (basically, "some money") for Encarnacion??
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