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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    Raises hand. I thought Bryce Harper would be, indeed, more or less than Max Kepler.
  2. USAFChief
    Thanks. Making it a "counting stat" seems to me a poor choice, tough to evaluate. But what do I know?
  3. USAFChief
    1. He might hit a bomba. 2. He might walk. 3. He might hit a bomba.
  4. USAFChief
    Some questions for those smarter (or more industrious) than me: is this a counting stat? Does someone who plays 1000 innings have a 2 to 1 advantage (or disadvantage) over someone who plays 500 innings? What do they measure against?
  5. USAFChief
    I think what it this shows is either: 1) How little teams (including metrics-friendly teams) value defense (Iglesias got $3M from bottom feeder Baltimore, imagine what Polanco would get on the FA market), and/or 2) How little stock teams put into defensive metrics. I think it goes back to the old saying...shake any tree, and a hundred gloves fall out... There's a minimum level of defense required to play in the big leagues, beyond that, you need to hit. And hitting is a lot harder to find. So...no, don't install an Iglesias into the lineup.
  6. USAFChief
    Chapman isn't even arb eligible unitl 2021. Why would Oakland trade him, instead of Simeon?
  7. USAFChief
    Name 2020's Charlie Morton and DJ Lemahiau (sic) now. Today. Anyone can pick two underpayed players after the season. That's not "assessed value." That's just cherry picking. Tell us now which 3rd baseman the Twins could sign for little money that will allow the Twins to improve their defense, and put up better numbers than Donaldson. "Assessed value" might be fine when you're considering where to invest your retirement nest egg. When you're trying to beat 29 other MLB teams, it's meaningless. The idea isn't to get the most value per dollar spent. The idea is to put together the best team you can. By the way, if "That budget considered AAV and years to ensure key players could be retained," then the same could be said about a Donaldson signing, since all three players will end up in the same ballpark for dollars/money.
  8. USAFChief
    The case against: .264/.322/.414.
  9. USAFChief
    Not rocket science, but let's get our facts straight. He's made the "qualifying number of plate appearances" 2 of the last 4 years, not 1... 2016 and 2019 (700 and 659, respectively.) He missed by less than 10 PA in 2017 (496 PAs). He's 34, a 4 year contract takes him through his age 37 season. DH is open after this season. There are mild concerns about age, but plenty of players play well into their mid 30s, particularly those with power and plate discipline. And Donaldson has a history of strong durability. You're vastly overstating age concerns.
  10. USAFChief
    1. MLBTR isnt in charge of pricing free agents, nor determining the market. Using "various internet sites" as the gold standard from which to measure sets up a false measuring stick that offers no "proof" of anything. 2. In item 2, you ignore length of contract. Would 80 years at $1m per year beat 3 at $25? By your standards, yes. But I doubt it would in the real world. Line item 3 ignores the simple truth that if a free agent rejects $80, and later accepts $90, he and his agent correctly estimated how "serious" teams were in their pursuit. Team 1 didn't, therefore wasnt "serious." In short, I dont think you've provided proof of anything.
  11. USAFChief
    Yup, missed Bailey. My bad.
  12. USAFChief
    Concur. Or in addition to.
  13. USAFChief
    THERE'S OUR LEFTY PEN HELP!!1!
  14. USAFChief
    Do you mean this year (2020)? I come up with $63.8M this year (Pineda 10, Gonzalez 9, Romo 5, Hill 3, Avila 4.75, Clippard 2.75, Cruz 12, Odo 17.8) . Am I missing someone? If you're talking about next year (2021), I think it's $0.25M (Romo's buyout).
  15. USAFChief
    I read it as "it's about money."
  16. USAFChief
    He hasn't signed. 5 seconds on google...
  17. USAFChief
    You should probably do some research before posting stuff like this.
  18. USAFChief
    Nitpic: If Josh Donaldson is "entering his age 34 season (and he is,) and signs for 4 years, he'll be 37 "when his contract is up," not 38.
  19. USAFChief
    ftfy
  20. USAFChief
    White Sox sign Steve Cishek.
  21. USAFChief
    White Sox sign Steve Cishek.
  22. USAFChief
    Heyman and Nightengale are indicating the Nationals are leaving their offer to Donaldson on the table. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/
  23. USAFChief
    Please explain. Donaldson, 2015: 158 games, .939 OPS 2016: 155 games, .953 OPS 2017: 113 games, .944 OPS 2018: 52 games, .801 OPS 2019: 155 games. .900 OPS He got hurt, and it tanked 2018. It happened, sure, but he's been an extremely durable player outside of that. There's zero reason--based on his history--to think you'd get only 2 of 4 productive seasons, "if that." Also, let us know what "impactful" move you'd rather they make with that $110. Take on David Price's contract, which Boston will give you for nothing in return?
  24. USAFChief
    Worst case scenario is this is Falvine's plan for adding "impact pitching." Which appears to be the case.
  25. USAFChief
    I think at this point, you make a final push to get Donaldson under contract. He fits pretty well. Improves the infield defense, adds a middle of the order bat. I'd try really hard to get it done. The money is there. If it takes 4/$110, do it. If, on the other hand, he says no, then I try to add a LH bullpen piece, and call it an offseason. I hope I survive the first half with 40 percent of a rotation, and see what's available at the deadline. It will still be expensive, but there may be more options. They blew the offseason, just tuck your tail between your legs, admit it, and hope for the best.
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