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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    if I owned that company, I'd focus some attention on the managers who are telling me their division Is "top 5 in the industry" when they keep posting red numbers year after year.
  2. USAFChief
    i think that's a very insightful and pertinent question. My guess is, losing (more) time developing as a third baseman would be very difficult to overcome. I don't think it's easy to "fail" as a left fielder though...if he hits you live with whatever level of defense he gives you. I would also keep first base in mind as his potential ultimate position when Mauer is gone. The other aspect of this is, if he "fails" as a left fielder, there probably was little chance he was going to be a good third baseman anyway.
  3. USAFChief
    I don't think you can argue either Sano or Buxton will, or should be up on opening day 2015 unless you are (were) willing to say they should have been up opening day 2014. Both are a year older, but otherwise in essentially the exact same position they were a year ago, development wise. Buxton got in a few games, Sano none. Both will have the opportunity to get in a few games before spring training, hopefully. They're both where they were a year ago. They weren't making the opening day roster last spring...I don't see how that's changed much, if at all.
  4. USAFChief
    I don't know how to say this without sounding confrontational, so I'll just say it... I think if you substituted "2013" for every "2014'" and "2015" for every "2014," your post could have been written last October, and probably was, just not by you. "Wait until 2014, when Meyer/Mays/Buxton/Sano/Rosario/pickyournamehere are up and producing...then go get what you need." I'd rather the team goes and gets some of what they need, and hope the minor leagues can supply even more, rather than the other way around. To me that's the less risky strategy. YMMV of course.
  5. USAFChief
    "Soul Platrol"
  6. USAFChief
    My guess is Scherzer costs at least 1.5 times that.
  7. USAFChief
    Vargas can play 3rd??!? Sweet.
  8. USAFChief
    The Cards also offered Pujols $210M to resign.
  9. USAFChief
    I think St Louis, while not spending what the Dodgers or Yankees spend, still finds a way to be in the top half of payroll expenditures year after year, usually sneaking into the top 10. So yeah, it's not just about payroll, but it's not like they're doing it on the cheap, either. That's not the only explanation...but ignoring it misses part of the Twins problem, IMO.
  10. USAFChief
    Quite possibly true. But it would be worth asking, IMO.
  11. USAFChief
    Mauer, .860 career OPS (133 OPS+) Kemp, .845 career OPS (128 (OPS+) 1.5 yrs younger than Mauer, without the injury history. Kemp is overpaid, but not by an "insane" amount, at least not by MLB standards. There's a very reasonable chance he ages well and is an above average big league left fielder through the end of that contract. I wouldn't give up much for him, but at the cost of only money, he fills a need for half a decade. I think we all agree the Twins can spend more. What's the goal here...win actual MLB games, or win the mythical "most wins per dollar spent" baseball prospectus championship? I will agree with you on one thing though...the Twins won't even consider a move like that. I guess my argument is, I'd like to see the Twins change the universe they operate in.
  12. USAFChief
    I got a lot of flack on other forums a few years ago for thinking the Twins should have moved Mauer out from behind the plate years ago. Probably before he even made the big leagues. Now they are paying the price for a physical decline that might not be correctable, as well as losing a lot of time on the field in the interim. I still think it was a mistake having him catch, WAR be damned.
  13. USAFChief
    Perhaps even in LaLaLand there are salary concerns...if they want to pursue Scherzer, having most of Kemps salary off the books might be attractive. I like the idea of Kemp, but only if its costs little except money.
  14. USAFChief
    Two problems with this as I see it: If KC waits to make the Shields trade, the don't win 175 games over the past two years. If they wait, there might not be a James Shields available in trade when they finally decide to pull the trigger. I also think it's convenient to pass off KC's return to relevance as dumb luck. As Mike said, part of being a GM is having some idea of where you are likely to be two years from now, and making moves now to improve on that. That's very hard, I admit, but part of the job. If you wait around and wait around for perfect clarity, afraid of moving without it, you likely have missed some opportunities and might not be able to get what you need then anyway.
  15. USAFChief
    Why isn't 2015 the right time? If they have the ability to be in that 10-15 range, why shouldn't they always be there? If payroll doesn't matter, where are the bottom 10 teams on this list?
  16. USAFChief
    Going from memory, I think the issue is that over the air broadcasters dont want playoff baseball...the ratings aren't there.
  17. USAFChief
    Rumor has it Ashburyjohn and Chief will be in attendance this Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, each with a son in tow. Look for the two old guys...that'll be the two sons.
  18. USAFChief
    yes.
  19. USAFChief
    what are YOUR expectations in terms of wins and losses for 2015, Mr Ryan?
  20. USAFChief
    Drafting low K soft tossers minimizes risk? Minimizes the risk of what?
  21. USAFChief
    How not to manage, by Mike Scosia: you have arguably a more talented offense than your opponent, but you waste three outs with sacrifice bunts (leading to zero runs, btw), thereby giving yourself 24 outs to work with instead of 27, negating a decent portion of the offensive advantage you had before the game started. Then in a must win game, you panic and pull your starter after two outs, requiring you to cycle through your entire bullpen, virtually ensuring you'll run into one or two who are off their game. All that said, it seemed to me the baseball gods decided KC was going to win this series, so maybe it didnt matter anyway. Good for KC, their fans deserve it.
  22. USAFChief
    Honest questions: earlier in this thread you said BP's model showed 40 runs. Is that the "scaled back" number? If that's a scaled back estimate, why should I believe it's now correct, when the same claims would have been made last year, only with a larger number of runs saved? They had it wrong before, but now they have it right? As for what 2 strikes per game is worth, I don't know. Assuming 2 strikes per game is accurate, which is not in evidence by the way, I would say not a lot. Not 40 runs, for sure, IMO. That doesn't pass the smell test, for me at least. I've been wrong before, I could be wrong here. But something like this can't be proven, one way or the other, so I will just have to go with my sense of what's probable.
  23. USAFChief
    Both Dakotas have been pacified, and we have left a small containment force in place, in Sioux Falls and Grand Forks.
  24. USAFChief
    CMat shud have made a pick on Washington, which he left off his picks!
  25. USAFChief
    Yeah, it's harder than it seems at first glance.
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