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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    While I certainly agree with your overall point about being cautious and not giving away the farm, I guess I disagree a little about Kepler and his value. First, I think he is quite a bit more valuable than Meisner. Second, I don't think Kepler is blocked. I don't think Rosario has shown enough to be the default in left field, nor do I think that Hicks has hit well enough right-handed, for long enough, to be the everyday default in right field (Hicks is still hitting just .245/.311/.321(.632) against righties this year, which just doesn't cut it for a corner outfielder). I also think Kepler's upside is higher than both of them. His ability to take walks and his potential for power are both much higher than Rosario, and his left-handedness and less drastic splits are superior to Hicks. I would trade Rosario before Kepler if I were the Twins, although frankly, I don't see the need or reason to trade any of the three (or Buxton obvs.), especially given Hicks continued struggles against righties. A four-person outfield in which Hicks backs up Buxton in CF, and starts and pinch hits primarily against lefties (and occasionally starts against weak righties) would be a fantastic outfield.
  2. nytwinsfan
    You'd have to be a moron not to be elated if Buxton turned out to be McCutchen.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Hoffman is just below Berrios, and I would argue has a higher ceiling. And Castro is at least a Gonsalves-level prospect. And Reyes' salary is not great, but at least it is limited to two years. If Tulo starts to decline in 2017 or 2018, which is at least a decent probability, the Jays will have 3 or 4+ years of significant salary to eat as well. So yeah, I stand by my characterization.
  4. nytwinsfan
    What elite SS is at a discounted price? Tulo? He would have taken one of either Gibson or Berrios, plus a bunch more. If he were two or three years younger, I might have considered it, but I wouldn't call that discounted. As for SS, it is a combo of Escobar being league average already, Polanco possibly being able to play SS soon, and Gordon possibly in 18-19. Yes, the latter two are big IFs, but the combination of all three means there is not much downside there.
  5. nytwinsfan
    We have much more pressing needs than SS, and our options by 2017-2019 for SS are likely to be even better than they are now (Polanco's D might improve and Gordon might be ready by 18 or 19). Until then, Escobar can hold down the fort. If Turner or Garver turn into league average catchers and a number of our relief prospects turn the corner, then maybe SS would become the top priority. But unfortunately I think that is unlikely to happen, so C and RP are by far the bigger priorities right now, for both the short and medium term.
  6. nytwinsfan
    I'm fine with standing pat. I think trading for a good reliever is a good idea, but if they are just going to go get another Tim Stauffer, then no thanks. Unless we are going to legitimately upgrade, let's just give some internal guys a shot. As for catcher, I'm ok with (1) a low-cost rental to share the role with Suzuki and give him more days off, or (2) making a bigger trade for a longer-term upside catcher that has a few years left, if the price is right but I think that is unlikely to be available. Otherwise I'd wait until the offseason to pay or trade for a long-term solution at catcher. No interest in trading for a SS unless someone offers a great deal. The only thing I would trade Kepler, Berrios, Rosario, Arcia, Polanco, Gordon, or Gonsalves for at this point (I'm assuming Buxton, Sano, May, Gibson and Hicks are off limits) would be as part of a deal for a high-upside catcher with multiple years left. Otherwise I'd just keep them. I might trade Stewart, Walker, Meyer, Hu, etc. as part of a package for a legitimately good reliever.
  7. nytwinsfan
    Great stuff. The bad news is that the BABIP is pretty high (.438), so if he is going to sustain anywhere near the current level of production, he is going to have to cut down those Ks quite a bit.The good news (besides the BBs, which you aptly document) is that he is very young and has so much room to grow as a hitter, despite already having great plate discipline.
  8. nytwinsfan
    Great stuff. The bad news is that the BABIP is pretty high (.438), so if he is going to sustain anywhere near the current level of production, he is going to have to cut down those Ks quite a bit. The good news (besides the BBs, which you aptly document) is that he is very young and has so much room to grow as a hitter, despite already having great plate discipline.
  9. nytwinsfan
    More than anyone will offer.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Given how Rosario and Hicks are playing right now, I'm fine with leaving him in Chat. or Rochester until September 1. He's been plagued by injuries for years. Let's let him play every day. If Rosario or Hicks gets injured or goes into a really bad slump, then I might change my mind. But right now both of them are on fire.
  11. nytwinsfan
    Sure. Sounds good to me. Do they have any catching prospects while we are at it? EDIT: Yes they do: http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=murphy004tom
  12. nytwinsfan
    I'm not that surprised. Without Buxton and Sano the Twins are a good (top half) but not great farm system.
  13. nytwinsfan
    This kid is really playing well. Blankenhorn is hitting 284/.376/.446 (.822) with 13 K and 8 BB in 86 PAs at both the Gulf Coast League and at Elizabethton. Since moving to Elizabethton he has been playing all Third Base.
  14. nytwinsfan
    Well, what do you want them to do? It isn't like the Twins have a left-handed power bat that has been on a tear the last 2 weeks just conveniently waiting at Rochester for a callup.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Please tell me Blankenhorn is really this good and that this is not just a SSS.
  16. nytwinsfan
    I doubt they premote him this year.
  17. nytwinsfan
    Yes, agreed. Not much to add.
  18. nytwinsfan
    Really interesting article. Gibson probably makes more sense than Berrios for the Rockies as he is a groundball pitcher while Berrios is more of a flyball pitcher. I would consider Gibson plus another prospect/rookie (say, Polanco or Rosario) plus maybe a B level prospect (Walker or Hu) for Tulo plus some cash, but I doubt they would do that. Honestly, I'd be more interested in trading for a catcher.
  19. nytwinsfan
    Wow, Palacios is a hitting machine. Also, Blankehorn off to a great start at Elizabethton. That's great to see. Seems like they have him playing 3B.
  20. nytwinsfan
    Not sure what is going on either. I admit at the beginning of the season I agreed with letting Santana play SS to see if he could continue to hit almost as well as last season while playing adequate D. That obviously did not work. As of about sometime in May (and continuing to now) I am for putting Escobar back at SS full-time with Nunez as a backup and letting Santana continue to work on his plate discipline in the minors.
  21. nytwinsfan
    Your disregard for Escobar is inexplicable to me, but I agree about being hesitant. No way would the Rockies do that. Not even close. At a minimum it would take Berrios plus something more. Also, as numerous people have noted before, Arcia has more value in a trade to an AL team, for obvious reasons. Just in general I don't think Tulo makes sense as a target and would be disappointed if we mortgaged the future for him. I also think we shouldn't trade Arcia unless we get good value for him, which is unlikely right now.
  22. nytwinsfan
    My vote is for Escobar to be the starting SS the rest of this year. He is an average big league regular, and our needs at Catcher and Relief Pitcher are much more pressing if we are going to make a move. In fact, I'm fine with Escobar at SS until Polanco figures it out in the field or Gordon is ready in 3 years.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Alex Swim guys. I'm telling you. He could be a decent catcher. He's hit consistently well for Avg and Obp at every level, including the pitcher-friendly Florida State League. And he's thrown out 32% of stealers this year at FM, which I think is the same rate Turner threw out at FM. Obviously he's not a top 10 or top 20 prospect, but I think he has as much potential as Garver or Turner, maybe more. I'm still all about trading for a high quality young catcher, but those are costly. If we are just going to trade for another Suzuki, let's not even bother. I think one of the three of Turner, Garver, or Swim will end up being that.
  24. nytwinsfan
    Agreed. In any event, at this point I really don't think just Hicks would get that done, and the Giants don't need a third baseman anymore. Susac would probably take Hicks plus a decent pitching prospect like Gonsalves or something.
  25. nytwinsfan
    I don't understand this. If he doesn't have enough power for outfield, he certainly does not have enough power for 1B. He is definitely a corner outfielder, but has the ability to play 1B on Mauer's days off.
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