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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Any chance that Thorpe would be sent to the AFL to get some innings?
  2. nytwinsfan
    This is an awesome fangraphs article about Max Kepler and how he seems to be really good at pitch recognizing: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/a-case-study-in-pitch-recognition-with-max-kepler/ Really worth a read.
  3. nytwinsfan
    (1) Great backup plan if the Byron Buxton experience fails. (2) Great fourth outfielder/late-inning lead outfielder/pinch runner to have on the bench. (3) Great trade bait . . .? How good is his defense? He clearly has the speed to be a plus CF defender, but there is a lot more than speed to that. Would he be an average CF major league defender, or above-average?
  4. nytwinsfan
    hahahaha
  5. nytwinsfan
    As Nick pointed out, the truly amazing thing about this is that Buxton continues to be terrible behind the plate and Sano is slumping (relatively speaking). Imagine what this offense could be if those two reach their potential.
  6. nytwinsfan
    Who among these other than Berrios has the most upside? Romero, Ynoa? Also, Seth, any more word on Tyler Jay's injur(ies?) would be really really appreciated. I'm really worried about his shoulder.
  7. nytwinsfan
    I really really REALLY hope the Twins consider platooning Centeno and Garver next year (or this September).
  8. nytwinsfan
    Uggh, I thought it was just a hamstring? WTF happened?
  9. nytwinsfan
    Seth, Cody, Jeremy, any word on Wander Javier's recovery? Really a bummer that he's losing most of the season.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, but you are forgetting that unlike Nolasco, the Twins don't have to tender Santiago a contract or they could move him this offseason if they think Mejia is ready to take his spot next spring. That leaves open some serious options. Even if you do tender Santiago a contract, he's much easier to move mid-year next year when Gonsalves, Stewart or Jay is ready. He's not going to block anyone who is genuinely ready. I think you're missing the value this added flexibility brings. And the reality is with Molitor, Meyer wasn't going to get much of a shot here. Losing Meyer is not something I wanted to see, but I think it was worth the value.
  11. nytwinsfan
    Kind of funny that the Twins traded the guy who freakishly underperforms his FIP for the guy who freakishly overperforms it. I guess that's a victory, no?
  12. nytwinsfan
    Some people were saying this is a fake Buster Olney account. So grain of salt for now.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Olney has it: https://twitter.com/BusterEPSN/status/760172600148492292
  14. nytwinsfan
  15. nytwinsfan
    MOAR:
  16. nytwinsfan
    Touché.
  17. nytwinsfan
    Rumor, but, HUGE if true:
  18. nytwinsfan
    I wouldn't count on Gonsalves, Stewart or Jay being ready before late next year, and even then, it is quite possible Jay will be on an innings limit and one or both of Gonsalves or Stewart won't be ready or -- knock on wood -- injured. Mid-2018 is the earliest I would expect to see one or more of them become full time rotation fixtures.
  19. nytwinsfan
    Serious question: so what? What's more important, how Sano performs at 3B during the rest of this lost season or the even 5% chance (I think its closer to 30-40%) that his defense there improves enough so that he can stay there in the future? Also,you do realize he was taken from his primary position and forced not to play it for nearly 4 months, right?
  20. nytwinsfan
    Yes it has been reported that it is an innings limit. He was a reliever in college and they are going to slowly increase his innings to a full season of starting over a couple of years, as they well should.
  21. nytwinsfan
    I was totally just thinking the same thing. Suzuki and Kintzler or Abad for Mejia? Would that get it done? Do the Indians even need a reliever (after getting the far superior Miller)? I realize there is the whole trading withing the division thing, but don't think the Indians would care that much.
  22. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, completely agree with these points. 2012 in particular could turn out to be an absolute monster year.
  23. nytwinsfan
    In relation to my post up above, Naquin has a BABIP of .417 this year and Max Kepler has a BABIP of .241 this year. Another way of looking at this is Naquin's ISO is .313 and Kepler's ISO is .259. Naquin's BB% is 8.7% and Kepler's is 10.1%. Naquin's K rate is 28.6% and Kepler's is 22%. Taken altogether, Naquin looks to have more power and Kepler looks to have better plate discipline, but both look very good in both departments. All things considered, they look to be of comparable value to me. Now of course 90% of rookie of the year voters won't care a bit about BABIP, so if those BABIPs don't both regress towards .300, expect Naquin to win ROY. But if they both regress heavily, Max could still be very much in the running.
  24. nytwinsfan
    Here is what you are missing (although to be fair, so are many other people). Kepler's BABIP has been very low during the entirety of his hot streak. Since June 1st when he returned to the Twins, his BABIP has been .239, which is quite quite low. During his last 15 games his BABIP has been .098. Check Baseball Reference yourself. Despite that ridiculously low BABIP, his OPS is .884 during that time period. That's crazy. During his last 30 games his BABIP has been .231 despite a .906 OPS. So in summary, the last month (and even more so the last 15 games) Kepler is showing tremendous power with very good plate discipline. He is succeeding despite pretty terrible luck, not because of good luck. That is what you and just about everyone else is missing. This bodes very very well for his future. So even if the power goes down, which it probably will, we can reasonably expect his average to go up a bit to at least partially compensate. Now to be fair, he may have a lower BABIP than his prior "line drive swing" would have led one to expect, in part because in the last two months he's been hitting more fly balls, thus leading to more power. But he should still be expected to have a BABIP well above .231, and certainly much much higher than .098.
  25. nytwinsfan
    Diaz seems to have very legit left-handed power, but his BB/K ratio is a bit concerning.
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