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Everything posted by DocBauer
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What you all have said. Surprised, thrilled and really enjoying this "light on" play from Plouffe. Could I take a moment to toss Hicks in here as well? He's not anywhere close to the Plouffe level...(ever thought you'd hear someone say that? Ever?)...but like Plouffe, something is going on. He's not hitting like anyone wants as of yet, but he's not embarrassing himself at the plate. He's making some contact, fouling off pitches, and most importantly taking walks to keep his OB over a 100 points higher than his Avg. Now it could be agued he's actually being TOO patient. But it's interesting to see the sudden change in approach by both of these guys. Is this Bruno's influence? Molitor's? Carew in Hicks's case? Who and whatever, very refreshing.
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Article: The Twins Lineup Is Producing
DocBauer replied to DocBauer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
And you might, and probably are, correct my friend! Unfortunately, he does have to get healthy first. Then he has to get back in a groove and continue his march to Target Field. But even then, there are few rookies who jump effectively right in to the 4 hole. I still think the Twins will need to take Hammer money, plus a little more I'm sure, and make a trade or FA move for a veteran bat. Have to confess I still like the idea of Morales. Either this year, or next if he signs a one year elsewhere. -
Article: The Twins Lineup Is Producing
DocBauer replied to DocBauer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree with you on Hicks at 1, and where I hope he ends up. But he's not hitting well enough yet, obviously. Yet, his OB and much better approach clearly shows he's moved on from where he was last year. My thought on him hitting 2, eventually anyway, was to be protected by Dozier and Mauer. Possibly see a few more fastballs as well. And as to cleanup, I also agree that the right guy probably isn't on the roster right now. Whether we make a move yet this year or next off season remains to be seen. -
Article: The Twins Lineup Is Producing
DocBauer replied to DocBauer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I guess I'm a little old school when it comes to lineups.I remember Downing and Boggs providing the Angels and Red Sox quality Avg and ON with some power but little to no speed. In fact, Boggs is probably a very good comparison to Mauer. Both these guys helped their teams lead off and were effective in a non conventional way. Mauer could perhaps do the same. But to my way of thinking, you want a good overall mix of hit/OB/contact in 1 & 2, ideally with a little speed and or power. This lets you set the table as well as put pressure on the pitcher and defense. My school of thought is for a teams very best hitter, Mauer in this case, to hit 3. Your very best overall hitter at 3 accomplishes two goals. One, he can drive in runs. Second, his own good Avg and OB and power helps keep an inning going for the hitters behind him. -
You can view the page at http://twinsdaily.com/content.php/2867-The-Twins-Lineup-and-Production
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The season is still very young. I don't want to get too wrapped up in early optimism, but something has to be said about the lineup and production thus far, especially considering the generally pessimistic nature I think most of us felt at the close of spring training. There was a lot of gnashing of teeth, despite the "they can't be any worse, therefore they must be at least somewhat better" mantra. There are flaws and concerns still to be sure. (I'm not here to necessarily rehash the shortstop argument at length.) But let's take a moment to offer up props where due. What impresses me most is that a year after setting records for strikeouts, our Twins are suddenly among the leaders in on-base percentage, something I never dared dream. Jason Kubel has gone from a small investment/good flyer to washed up to performing well not only at the plate, but also reminding us that despite somewhat limited range, he is and always has been an OK defensive outfielder. The jury is still very much out on Josh Willingham. But even he looked pretty good the first few games after looking like overdone toast in ST. What more can be said about Chris Colabello? He's not just a good story any longer, he's become a great story. I've been converted from a hopeful fan of his to an actual believer. At his age, he's just not going to be a long-tenured major leaguer. But he's gone from a small independent league signing news blurb to someone who raked at AA. And still he was doubted. He raked upon his promotion to AAA and was again doubted when he finished in the majors last season. (Again, not the first or last ball player to be ill-fit initially). The Twins tried to do him a favor and ship him overseas; he refused, intent on fulfilling his dream. He's made adjustments, had a great ST, and has become, at least, an early season stalwart in the lineup. I'm just not going to bet against him any longer. Despite a couple errors, Plouffe looks much more comfortable at 3B. And while I very much doubt he will continue to hit .300 with a .400 OB, he really looks like a completely different hitter. Has the light finally come on? Dozier is proving he is for real. An on-base percentage over a 100 points higher than his early season batting average? Wait until a few more balls find holes. Same with Hicks. Nothing spectacular yet, but he just looks so much more relaxed and competent than last season. Like Dozier, an OBP over a 100 points higher than his BA. So far, Suzuki looks like the hitter he used to be. Pinto is showing really good signs. Mauer is Mauer and is just beginning to hit like Mauer. I can't wait to get Arcia back, and probably Hammer as well, though he should be primarily a DH. A couple questions and concerns. I still believe Mauer is best in the #3 hole. When do we consider Hicks for the #2 hole between Dozier and Mauer, with his patience and Mauer behind him? And long term, who is our #4 hitter? Even if Hammer comes back strong, he's not a long term answer by any means. Despite the angst involved with hoping for a long term solution at shorstop, I think that a batter to hit 4th is a primary concern to be addressed soon. But a tip of my cap to hitting coach Tom "Bruno" Brunansky, the staff, and especially the players thus far.
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The season is still very young. I don't want to get too wrapped up in early optimism, but something has to be said about the lineup and production thus far, especially considering the generally pessimistic nature I think most of us felt at the close of ST. There was a lot of gnashing of teeth, despite the "they can't be any worse therefore they must be at least somewhat better" mantra. There are flaws and concerns still to be sure. (Not here to necessarily rehash the SS argument at length again) But let's take a moment to offer up props where due. What impresses me most is that a year after setting records for strikeouts, our Twins are suddenly amongst the leaders in OB%, something I never dared dream. Kubel has gone from a small investment/good flyer to washed up to performing well not only at the plate, but reminding us that despite somewhat limited range, he is and always has been an OK OF defensively. The jury is still very much out on Willingham. But even he looked pretty good the first few games after looking like overdone toast in ST. What more can be said about Colabello? He's not just a good story any longer, he's become a great story. I've been converted from a hopeful fan of his to an actual believer. At his age he's just not going to be a long tenured major leaguer. But he's gone from a small independent signing news blurb to someone who raked at AA. And still he was doubted. He raked upon his promotion to AAA and was again doubted when he finished in the majors last season. (Again, not the first or last ball player to ill fit initially). The Twins tried to do him a favor and ship him over seas and he refused, intent on fulfilling his dream. He's made adjustments, had a great ST, and has become, at least, an early season stalwart to the lineup. I'm just not going to bet against him any longer. Despite a couple errors, Plouffe looks much more comfortable at 3B. And while I very much doubt he will continue to hit .300 with a .400 OB, he really looks like a completely different hitter. Has the light finally come on? Dozier is proving he is for real. OB over a 100 points higher than early season Avg. Wait until a few more balls find holes. Same with Hicks. Nothing spectacular yet, but he just looks so much more relaxed and competent than last season. Like Dozier, an OB over a 100 points higher than his Avg. So far, Suzuki looks like the hitter he used to be. Pinto is showing really good signs. Mauer is Mauer and is just begining to hit like Mauer. Can't wait to get Arcia back, and probably Hammer as well, though he should be primarily a DH. A couple questions and concerns. I still believe Mauer is best in the #3 hole. When do we consider Hicks for the 2 hole between Dozier and Mauer, with his patience and Mauer behind him? And long term, who is our #4 hitter? Even if Hammer comes back strong, he's not a long term answer by any means. Despite the angst for a long term solution at SS, I think that one bat to hit 4th is a concern to be addressed soon. But a tip of my cap to Bruno, the staff, and especially the players thus far.
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Will Kyle Gibson be a first ballot hall of famer?
DocBauer replied to DaveW's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Would Gardy let him play SS on his off days? If so, he will be the first active hall of famer. -
Article: Pedro Florimon's "Limbo Line"
DocBauer replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The one thing that frustrates me about the Twins SS position is a seeming stubborness against trying anything/anyone else. I understand Santana's athleticism and potential, but he's just not ready yet it appears. I understand Florimon is an excellent fielder, and the Twins hope he can hit like he did last year, at least in the first half. He doesn't really have to "improve" as a hitter really. Just do what he did the first half of last season but over a full season. That in itself would show improvement and progression. But until, or unless, that happens, why is Escobar just sitting on the bench? He is a SS by trade, and since the day the Twins acquired him, Gardy has been very positive as to his fielding abilities. Don't the Twins owe it to themselves to see what he could accomplish on a daily basis? -
Article: Pedro Florimon's "Limbo Line"
DocBauer replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Point: Never had my appendix removed. While not a "serious" issue medically, nonetheless, it was time away from the field, conditioning, routine, practice, batting practice, etc. Im not certain the 3 weeks he had to close out the spring was fair to him, and I still believe he may have been better served getting a little rehab time. That being said, 13 games or so is not enough time to evaluate anyone really, pro or con. But it is the almost complete lack of being able to help in any way that is frustrating. Not even successful bunts or hitting behind the runner is painful. However, we did see some of those positives last season, especially the first half. With due respect to Guzman, I believe Florimon is the best defensive SS the Twins have had since Gagne. And defense remains his primary asset as well his primary responsibility. As such, the Twins can very much afford a weaker hitter at 9 if they can continue to produce offense even close to what they have been producing so far. Some will regress, but others will escalate. So what IS acceptable for production from Florimon is the question? Career milb numbers don't tell a complete story. Some players maintain, others advance, others regress. But if you took Florimon's milb numbers and projected them over 500 ab's, you would have the following: .249 Avg/ .323 OB/ .672 OPS/ 26 Dbl's/ 3.5 triples/ 6 HR's/ 19.5 SB's Now, I'm not going to pretend he can achieve those numbers at a ML level. With his defense and numbers like that he'd not only be a stalwart, but possibly an all-star. But a regression to .240/ .310 & .650 ish with similar XB and SB numbers would be very acceptable. In other words, pretty much a full season of what he did the first half of last season. -
If there was real logic to the vernacular in baseball, Nishioka would be a four letter word.
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"And now batting clean-up for the Royals, just newly signed........"
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Personally, I love the potential of this kid. I think he was primed for a very good season last year before his injury setback. He held his own, in my opinion, in the AFL and learned a lot. He also looked very solid in his brief ST appearances. The season is still very young and I have no doubt the numbers will begin to climb for him soon.
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Setting the record straight on Eddie Rosario
DocBauer replied to Trevor0333's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I think I'm going to disagree with you on this one. Now, to be fair, I have strongly advocated leaving Rosario at 2B for as long as possible to allow for various possibilities including: A) trading Dozier (which I'm really not in favor of at this point) moving Dozier back to his original lifelong position of SS now that he has gained comfort/experience/success/confidence at the ML level (a younger, better Drew for all the Drew proponents out there?) C) good trade value of Rosario as a 2B. I don't believe a move back to the OF for Rosario would be difficult if that is the direction the Twins would eventually take. The problem with Rosario is he is a talented enigma. He is such due to the suspension and rumors that are hopefully unfounded. And he is because while he shows real potential offensively, his talent remains largely untapped. Untapped, I believe, because while he has clearly deserved his promotions to this point, his most productive season was his first full as he has been, and is, young for each level. Using Trevor's comparatives, for instance, he clearly shows the ability to hit, but his power numbers and production have slipped. But how good could he be when given a chance for talent to equal out with age and level? Not only should he probably continue to hit well, but I believe his power numbers, (not just HR's) will begin to climb again. And to join Buxton and Hicks in the OF, play an excellent LF with range, hit, steal bases, and produce 30+ doubles yearly with a handful of triples, and say mid-teen HR totals, (assuming 20+ is beyond him) would give the Twins one of the best all around OFs in the league. You'd have tremendous defensive range, and a great mixed bag of hitting, OB, speed and power at the top and lower third of the order. Arcia, and possibly the aforementioned Kepler and Walker at DH, OF and 1B fill-in would be tremendous. -
Dozier is NOT being traded. Kubel? He's younger than Willingham, and quite frankly, better defensively. Let's assume for a moment that his strong-ish end to ST and early start this season are not an illusion. Is there a market for him? Or as a DH and part time OF with a smallish contract is the team better off keeping him? He can semi-platoon with Colabello, or Plouffe maybe when Sano moves up next season, and still get that occasional day in the OF.
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Willingham is trade bait if he continues his good start. Something I hoped for but doubted after such a poor ST. Question: if Willingham continues his rebound, and the offers for him, straight or part of a package, are limited, is the team better off just keeping him to play out the season and help the lineup for 2013? Not sure he couldn't be somewhat easily replaced next off season.
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(Heavy sigh) Come on guys. I truly love all of you. And I love to read all comments and opinions. It's why I'm on here to begin with, to share our mutual love and opinions for the Twins. Losing our second game with a lead and Perkins blowing it stinks! And I'm not happy about it in the least. And today we blew a lead but battled back and one, in another game played on the road and in terrible conditions. But we are ONLY three games in now. I refuse to get too wrapped up in the positives or negatives of a handful of games, especially on the road in inclimate weather, but Colabello, Hicks and Pinto's homer today does put a smile on my face. And surprise, surprise, but Willingham and Kubel actually hit the ball. Despite weather that is far worse than it was a week ago when ST was wrapping up, the calendar says its spring, baseball has started, and that makes all the world a little bit better.
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A younger, better, slightly harder throwing version of Diamond? Hard to predict the future, but only 23, healthy again, back at AA to re-establish himself and get his legs under him. Not another Santana type pitcher or steal. But perhaps a second coming of Alan Anderson?
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This is one of the young kids I'm most excited about. There were some very good write ups after being signed by the Twins originally. But when he didn't show a lot with the bat initially, and being signed the same year as Sano, he sort of drifted to the background until 2012 when he began to blossom. He's coming off a solid year and a great year, only 20, and already at high A. Absolutely crazy how young so many of the top Twins bats and arms are! it would be awesome if he could stick at SS long term, his original position when signed. You have to believe he's not only maturing as a ball player, but physically as well. As I've stated before, even if his arm never develops to anything elite, hands, range and getting rid of the ball quickly and accurately are still the most important aspects at SS. I have been and still am very much a fan and believer in Dozier. And I would absolutely keep Rosario at 2B for as long as possible for a couple reasons. (Position movement and trades, etc) But Polanco is one of those guys who I believe is going to force his own issues, whether that be as a starter or excellent utility player.
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Article: Minor League Opening Day Primer
DocBauer replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Despite being a huge Twins fan, or more reasonably BECAUSE I am a huge Twins fan, I look forward to the start of the minor league seasons as much as the ML season. My morning ritual each and every day is to pop on TD and read about the games the day/night before. Back before the Internet I would scramble for news and stats from the Sporting News and Baseball America on the Twins minor leagues, as well as tidbits from John and Herb during broadcasts. For a few years in the late 80's there was a newspaper, I don't recall the exact name any longer, that my father and I subscribed to that had a feature, roster, and full stats on the Twins minor leagues that was put out on a periodic basis during the season. Thank you Seth, and everyone else, so much for all the information you all provide to us fans in general, as well as this colum and the previous roster breakdown a few days ago. I almost wonder how you can even pick your hitter choices as the top three levels in particular, (especially New Britain and Ft Myers) have so many young bats to consider. Im a little surprised where some of the pitchers are begining their seasons. There are more than a few arms that in years past would be a level higher based on achievement the previous season, a taste of the next level in August, and general need. It clearly speaks to the overall depth in the system, as well as the Twins giving Rochester something other than just AAAA fodder to march out to the hill. Dean and Wheeler are a couple that rather surprise me. But I really like Gilmartin starting the season in AA. No matter that he came from the college ranks, he was promoted pretty quickly by the Braves. That and his injury problems last season allows him now to gain confidence and get back in a good groove at a level he should succeed at. I know some aren't too high on him because he doesn't have dominant stuff, and there is no way to truly predict his floor or ceiling at this point, but he's still young, barely out of college, and was a 1st round pick for a reason. -
Article: Twins Minor League Opening Day Rosters
DocBauer replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Very excited for all the clubs! I can see playoff possibilities for the top three clubs, or at least winning records. I have a few concerns about the offense at Cedar Rapids. While I am very pleased at all the pitching talent throughout the minors, I have to confess that my eye is looking at New Britain and Ft. Myers for the tremendous position players between those two clubs. -
Seth, Steve and Twins, I actually find strong merit in all of you takes on projected numbers. Just a few of my own thought; I agree with Mauer hitting more in the .320-.325 range of his career as his legs should be stronger out from behind the plate. Healthy again, more games. I agree with the power numbers, but wouldn't be shocked if he hit around 18. I generally agree Hicks will be around .250ish, give or take about 5 points, with an above .300 OB. But I believe the Twins will run him more, and I think 20 plus SB should be expected, especially with a general lack of speed throughout the lineup. I also feel, while he provides some good all around ability at the bottom of the order, I could see him hitting 1 or 2 after an acclimation period. And I feel 30 Dbls or more should be expected, as well as closer to 15-16 Hr's. I hope Dozier's power doesn't decrease, but whether it does or not, I definitely see an upturn in Avg and OB and SB's. Taken as a whole, I find these numbers to be acceptable, predictable, and pretty much in line with my own. Which is very positive overall on the one hand, much better than the team's overall performance last year, and a general, potential upturn in scoring. However, the bad part of these practical expectations is Willingham and Kubel, the veteran power hitting producers that, in theory, we would like to count on in the heart of our lineup. IF we can take Seth's numbers for Kubel and Colabello, sandwich them together, and call them our primary DH platoon, then I feel better. (Though I have doubts as to what Kubes really has left in the tank) The real concern here is Willingham. He doesn't have to be the 2012 version of himself, and quite frankly probably can't be, to be effective. Just rebounding to his career norms for one more push would have him hitting about .260 with a decent OB above .300 with high 20 Dbls and about 25-26 HR's. But I'm having real doubts he's capable of reaching those numbers again. And that leaves a real hole in the heart of the lineup, potentially, not having any proven veteran run producers. I can't advocate trading young talent for a big bat, unless there's just someone cleaning payroll out that would make acquiring a quality producer in the 30 or younger range advantageous. And while I also don't like the idea of losing our 2nd pick in a draft where claims are made the Twins could still aquire an equivalent 1st round talent in this upcoming draft, I have to say that I really like the idea of adding Morales still. As an overall team, top to bottom, I feel that our biggest question mark and weakness is the 4 and 5 spot in the lineup.
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Article: The Old Man and the Wall
DocBauer replied to AJPettersen's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Reading this, upon many reflections of my own life philosophies, I was instantly reminded of a surprisingly nice though but breezy day last week when my 14yo son asked me to play catch. This time with glove and ball rather than a football. And as we joyously did so, I was reminded of two things. I remembered time after time of playing catch with my own father, often under street lights, and the movie Field of Dreams when Costner spoke of refusing to play catch with his father. I know the latter is a drama, but how real it must be for some. Thank you AJ for your sharing. You write beautifully and share honestly. Without knowing you, but speculating the type of man you appear to be, I not only have moved you to the top of my Twins "hopeful" list to root for, but you have reached the top of my "respected" list. I'm sure your whole family must be very proud of the man you are. Best of luck this season! And while I hope for the very best success for you in baseball, I believe, eventually, you have a wonderful career waiting for you in journalism.

