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DocBauer

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  1. We all know the baseball draft is the biggest crapshoot of all sports drafts. Despite scouting, rankings, performance, potential, athleticism, velocity, raw power, etc, etc, the dipping and darting of a high velocity round ball being hit by a round bat still remains a complex mystery of success to predict. You still draft for potential. But is it so wrong to also draft a pick that feels "safe"? I am not knocking Greene or McKay in any way. Both could turn out to be high quality major leaguers. But Greene, so young, so far away, even with his tremendous FB would seem to be the greatest risk of the three without solid confirmation of at least that second pitch. McKay seems to be a quality pitcher, is LH, and offers at least decent velocity. But it seems to me Wright offers the frame, velocity, and quality secondary pitches to not only have a high ceiling, but to be the more "proven" and "safer" pick to succeed. Without a Clemens, Strasburger or Harper available, I think you balance potential and safety of your choice and that just seems to say Wright to me.
  2. I know spoke people have doubts about the Twins having managers, coaches, instructors, etc who they hire from within the Twins family. There is a sense, from some, that these guys won't think outside the box because they played within the system during some down times, and perhaps they will carry on old ways of thinking from those struggling teams. I do not agree. I find that good, quality people are just that. And I enjoy the sense of care and organizational family that these guys bring. And it should be pointed out that many of the guys the Twins have brought back to coach, manage, instruct, etc, have played with other organizations besides the Twins. I won't heap platitudes on Watkins as a manager, at this point, simply because he's a rookie at the job. But he sure is off to a great start. And it sure seems like Mayer, Mientkiewicz and Watkins are a trio of up and coming manager possibilities.
  3. I agree fixing Gibson brings greater value than a trade at this point. The hope is for Mejia to be ready by mid season, (possibly Slegers), but they will need a 5th starter way before then. I hate rainouts, but if one did happen, could it provide a rotation boost as we wouldn't need the 5th starter for another week and give Gibson at least one more AAA start to work on things? Sorry to see Tanner English struggle at AA this season. I had high hopes for him. Hopefully he can get right and get back up again.
  4. The more I read about Wright the more I like him. I know people are enamored with Greene and his high 90 to 100 heat. But I still keep reading inconsistent reports here and there about his secondary stuff. I also like McKay. He's ON, which is nice, throws consistently in the low to mid 90's and is proven. He seems to have a solid floor and a decent ceiling. But Wright throws harder, probably has the higher ceiling, and would probably be every bit as close to the majors as McKay. A possible 4 pitch mix right out of college with that frame and potential? I think I'm starting to lean a bit the "Wright" way.
  5. Great game by Berrios! I mean, really, what more could we have hopes for or asked for? Now, he's still young and inexperienced. Even the best pitchers have off days. But what a boost he gives the rotation! Now, if Santiago can keep plugging along, and Hughes can continue to refine his latest approach and offerings I feel we have at least 4 "decent" if not good starters. But who is the 5th starter when we need one. Or should I say, the first guy to audition? Experience and contract, I'd almost have to say Gibson, though I think he's better off in AAA a little longer. But the same could be said for Slegers and Mejia. I doubt Haley is stretched out enough. Mayer is trending, and hopefully that will continue and we'll at least see the '15-'16 versions of him this season. Am I crazy to suggest that even if we do the lineup is better...assuming Buxton ALSO keeps improving...with Mayer hitting 8th, ahead of the catching platoon, providing a veteran presence at the bottom of the order and ahead of Dozier?
  6. Just as a reminder, here is the pen as it stands today: Kintzler, Belisle, Rogers, Duffey, Pressly, Haley, Breslow and Wilk. Honest question...who do you remove? I see us needing and wanting a better pen, and I too am worried about burn out. Right now, Kintzler, Rogers and Duffey are a given. Pressly is in a bit of a funk, but we've seen what he can do, and it's pretty good, and relievers do have somewhat volatile moments over a season. Haley is a rule 5 and has shown something at times. Even in limited action, Breslow hasn't been bad. Believe had a couple really bad games, but has otherwise been solid. Wilk is completely "meh" and seems to be the obvious first man out. But sooner or later, we're going to need a 5th starter as well. So honestly, who legitimately gets taken out of the equation here?
  7. With all the "free Burdi" love out there, I wonder if there shouldn't be some "free Bard" cries out there as well. Maybe not to the majors, but soon to Rochester. I get that injuries curtailed his career early, and even made any sort of career questionable, but he really seems to have found himself. Very glad the organization resisted Romero beginning the season back in A+. He seems to have accepted the AA challenge and is getting better and better. Considering his stuff and potential along with his youth, and previous time missed, I'd be OK if he spent most, if not all season, in AA and just kept working and improving.
  8. With all due respect for his work behind the plate to help the Twins, I wonder about a trade of Giminez at some point when a team out there needs catching help.
  9. Ever have that one Christmas present that you save to open last because it's something special that you really, really wanted and you are just sure that one box had to be it? And then you open it...and you were right...and your holiday is complete. That's how I feel right now.
  10. A good read and salient points. And Berrios IS still very young. And it's clear, to me at least and supported by your information, that this is not simply a control issue. The team has simply wanted to work on certain areas of his game, though they haven't exactly informed us as to what that might be. But even with his youth, his stuff seems pretty real, his milb dominance has been real, he has shown the ability to make adjustments at each level, and his desire and work ethic are outstanding. There comes a point where he simply needs to grow and learn at the ML level. Experienced or not, Gibson was afforded quite a bit of time this season to prove himself. Berrios deserves at least as much. Can Berrios become a #1 starter someday. I don't know. Nobody does. I have seen so many top, sure-fire future top of the rotation starters flame out and other "solid" guys become 1's and 2's that I don't think there is any kind of reliable prognostic tool. But I know I wouldn't bet against him become a top starter. Let's just not be forlorn if it doesn't happen this season.
  11. As to the scouting department, like the entire FO, field management and coaching and procedure, the milb players themselves, there is no doubt a lot of evaluation taking place. I am certain there will be guys coming and going. But I also agree with the principal that it would dark near impossible for the new leadership to come in last November and just go down a lost and play a game of "he goes and he stays" until they have time to watch and review.
  12. Going back to the original post, I would tend to agree there seems to be a general lack of impact talent in the Twins system, at least at the moment. But rankings like this, especially only a month in to the season, just don't bother me. Frankly, I find them to be simple kindling. And these things ARE cyclical as guys wash out, become traded, or arrive at the ML level. Mike alluded to it, but I'll take the arrow and say it: "a lot of top Twins prospects HAVE graduated to the ML level. That's a fact. Does it excuse some poor draft choices? Absolutely not. But it is a reality of rankings rising and lowering. Injuries are also a factor. Khirloff is done for the year. Reliever or not, Jay had talent and is hurt. Gonzalez has been hurt. Chargois has been hurt. Granite just started playing. Reliever never seem to rank very high, but they are important. And the Twins not only need some, they have several getting close. Once the draft is done, and the season is done, these types of rankings will change a lot.
  13. For the most part, I like what we've seen from Hughes. Very disappointing last night that he looked good for the first 3 innings against the White Sox before seeming to lose it. He's looked shaky at times, but battled out of most tight situations effectively. There is room for him in the rotation as a "solid" piece. There are comments about him not being able to face teams a second time with his new approach. That may prove true. But then again, what if his new approach becomes that more refined as the season goes along and he even gains a tick on his FB?
  14. Have to agree that the age of the staff is going to be dropping as we go along. Berrios is a big start. (Pun somewhat intended). I am not happy with the retread approach in the pen, but I really think a lot of it is mix and match to buy time for Chargois and Reed to be healthy and get it going again, as well as gaining time for the great group of bullpen arms in Chattanooga. I think...in addition to when one/some of them come up, is do you reach down to AA for one/two arms?
  15. This is great and exciting news to be sure. Just get him to relax...throw...and don't send him down if it takes a few starts to get rolling. If you can give Gibson the starts he got, then you can afford to be equally patient with Berrios. Now...another few weeks to a month...and Mejia joins in as the #5 starter...ahh...a fan can dream can't he?
  16. That bullpen for Chatanooga is absolutely stacked! Doesn't there just have to be promotions to Rochester, or even the Twins, in the next week or so?
  17. I haven't agreed with all the moves, or non moves, by the new FO before ST, during, or so far this season. But I absolutely have a feel for their moves, their direction, and any method to their madness, so to speak. This move, however, just befuddles me! This just screams someone off the street to start a game and then move to the pen, or AAA, or just be a rent-a-game player. Nothing about it makes any sense at all. Are they just trying that hard to give Berrios that one or two more starts? I just don't get it! My fingers are tightly crossed that 2-3 pitching moves will be taking place over the next couple of weeks
  18. Nice post! Always felt Buxton would turn it around eventually. I do find myself still wondering what kind of hitter he is ultimately going to be, however. I used to think he would be a quality leadoff batter but would eventually slide further down the order, similar to Puckett's progression. I'm now starting to wonder if he might be more of a natural 3-6 hitter.
  19. Wheeler is on the other line...says he wants to know what he needs to do to get a shot and would be happy to make an appearance on the 40 man roster.
  20. Grr...was in a rush, but you'd think my tablet would know better by now wouldn't you? Sheesh!
  21. Vargas should be in the lineup behind Sank just about every day between 1B and DH. Everyone has hot and cold spells, and he will have his. But you play him daily and ride through both. Rosario, Buxton and Kepler should play daily. Period. They need the experience, including Rosario and Kepler against LIP, but Grossman is looking good enough defensively this year to play a corner spot here and there to provide the occasional rest day. Additionally, there are enough AB available for Grossman to DH with Vargas playing 1B, or he too getting the occasional day off. Mayer looks to be heating up. We might yet see the '15 and '16 versions of Mayer, which, combined with his defense, makes him useful. But that doesn't mean he should play daily. I'm not entirely sure if Sank should keep hitting 3rd, or if he should drop to 4th with an additional solid/hot bat hitting in front of him to provide more guys OB opportunities. Regardless, Vargas is the perfect fit to hit behind him daily.
  22. Agreed! Dozier Polanco Kepler (Grossmam?) Sano Vargas Thoughts?
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